Sunrise 5:37 AM   Sunset 8:23 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM   Moonset 9:13 AM

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ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 743 Pm Edt Tue May 28 2024
Tonight - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Isolated showers and tstms this evening. Wed - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. Wed night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Scattered showers and tstms. Thu - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Thu night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Fri - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Fri night - N winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Sat - W winds 5 kt. Waves flat. Sun - S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 955 Pm Edt Tue May 28 2024
Synopsis - Isolated showers and lightning storms will continue to be possible across the coastal waters into tonight, ahead of a weak cold front. The front will linger nearby this week, but shower and Thunderstorm chances will be low, and mainly confined to the treasure coast waters. Generally favorable boating conditions are expected to continue. Onshore winds increase this weekend, potentially leading to poor boating conditions by Saturday.
Gulf stream hazards - None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, may 26th.
37 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 21 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS61 KPHI 290130 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 930 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front approaches the region from the northwest tonight, then moves through later Wednesday into Wednesday night before moving offshore. Surface high pressure builds in thereafter, holding influence over the region Thursday into Sunday.
Unsettled conditions could return late in the weekend into the beginning of next week thanks to the next low pressure system and associated fronts.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 9:30PM: Showers and thunderstorms earlier this evening have dissipated or moved out of the area. However, a remnant outflow boundary has surged southeast over the past couple hours and currently extends on a line from Sandy Hook NJ to Philadelphia PA to Wilmington DE. No more than a subtle increase in clouds and/or a windshift to the northwest around 20-30 mph is expected. As the boundary continues to progress southeast, it will weaken/dissipate as it nears the coastline.
With this in mind, mostly clear skies are expected for most of the area tonight as winds eventually diminish in wake of the boundary. As a result, the biggest changes to the grids with the evening forecast update was to update sky grids, temperatures, and winds basis current obs. Lows tonight will be in the 50s to around 60.

Dry to start Wednesday morning before the axis of a broad upper level trough shifts overhead in the afternoon, bringing showers and thunderstorms back into the forecast. Clearer skies earlier in the day will allow to strong daytime heating, but thanks to the fronts passing through the region on Tuesday, low-level moisture will be on the lower side (surface dewpoints in the mid 50s at best). In combination with high temperatures in the mid-upper 70s, only modest surface based CAPE will result (500-750 J/kg). Model soundings indicate that shear will also be on the lower side (30-35 kts) and unidirectional. Putting all the pieces together, a few stronger thunderstorms will be possible but severe potential remains overall low.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Cold front will continue to cross through the region during the first half of Wednesday night before moving offshore. Thereafter, surface high pressure will look to build in from the northwest with time. Though some shortwave energy may keep things slightly unsettled Thursday, surface high pressure will dominate the region through the rest of the short term.

Not too much to write home about with this forecast. WPC does not have our region outlooked for any excessive rainfall; SPC does not have our region outlooked for any severe weather. Chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue into Wednesday night thanks to the cold front and upper-level short wave continuing to pass through; PoPs diminishing with time. Slight chance of a few stray/isolated showers Thursday thanks to some lingering shortwave energy. Otherwise, with surface high pressure building in, expect high pressure to dominate Thursday, Thursday night, and Friday. Mostly clear skies can be anticipated Thursday onwards.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Ensembles and deterministic models support surface high pressure holding influence over the region Friday night into Sunday as it moves generally eastward with time. With surface high pressure possibly well offshore by later Sunday into Monday, next surface low pressure system and associated fronts should be invited to impact the region. Things look to become unsettled during the time frame of later Sunday into the beginning of next week.

Overall, expect mainly quiet conditions Friday night through Saturday night with things beginning to become unsettled again later Sunday into the beginning of the week. No PoP included in today's forecast through Saturday night. PoPs approach from the west Sunday; slight chance or chance PoPs Sunday afternoon onwards. Around average temperatures expected through the term.

AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Tonight...VFR. An outflow boundary will continue to sink southeast across the area. W winds around 5-10 kt early may briefly increase out of the NW around 15-20 kt, before ultimately settling to 5 kt or less overnight. High confidence.

Wednesday...VFR conditions through the morning with mostly clear skies. Sub-VFR conditions possible in the afternoon with scattered showers and thunderstorms. As of now, confidence isn't high, so left sub-VFR CIGs out of TAFs. W-NW winds around 5-10 kt, locally higher in heavier showers/thunderstorms. Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday night...Sub-VFR possible with showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday...Mainly VFR. Slight chance for isolated/stray showers, mainly in the afternoon.

Thursday night through Saturday night...VFR.

Sunday...Mainly VFR.

MARINE
Sub-SCA conditions through Wednesday. SW winds 10-15 kt gusting to 20 kt into this evening diminish to a light west flow around 5-10 kt overnight. Winds turn SSW around 10 kt again during the day Wednesday with gust up to 15 kt. Seas 2-4 feet Tuesday night become 2-3 feet Wednesday.

Outlook...

Wednesday night through Sunday...No marine headlines anticipated.
Showers and thunderstorms expected Wednesday night.

Rip Currents...

For Wednesday, A west to northwest wind 5-10 mph to start the morning is light enough for a sea breeze to develop by early afternoon. As a result, winds will shift from southerly around 10 mph before becoming light and variable at night. Given breaking waves of only near 2 feet with a medium period swell, there is a LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for the New Jersey and Delaware beaches.

For Thursday, a north-northwest wind around 10 mph is forecast to become northeast and even easterly during the course of the day.
Despite this more onshore wind component developing, breaking waves of only about 2 feet with a medium period swell and therefore will continue a LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents at the New Jersey and Delaware beaches.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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Old Frenchtown Wharf
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Tue -- 12:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:50 AM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:12 AM EDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:59 PM EDT     3.81 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:19 PM EDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old Frenchtown Wharf, Maryland, Tide feet

Chesapeake and Delaware Canal
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:56 AM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:42 AM EDT     -2.22 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:13 AM EDT     0.07 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:56 AM EDT     2.19 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:17 PM EDT     -0.07 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:42 PM EDT     -1.42 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:12 PM EDT     0.05 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:57 PM EDT     1.57 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Chesapeake and Delaware Canal, Maryland/Delaware Current, knots

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