Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mount Sinai, NY
June 2, 2024 3:29 PM EDT (19:29 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:20 AM Sunset 8:20 PM Moonrise 2:44 AM Moonset 4:08 PM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 317 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W late. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 2 seconds. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Mon - W winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: se 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Wed night - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Thu - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely with chance of tstms.
Thu night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 317 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure slides south of the area as a weak disturbance moves through tonight and into the beginning of Monday. High pressure then builds back across the area Monday night, lingering through mid- week before heading out into the atlantic for the latter half of the week. A series of frontal system then approaches from the west Thursday through next weekend.
Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 021806 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 206 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure off the East Coast shifts farther out into the western Atlantic today. A weakening disturbance moves through late tonight and into the first half of Monday. High pressure then builds across the region from Southeast Canada through Tuesday night. The high moves out in to the Atlantic for the latter half of the week as a frontal system approaches from the west.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
Forecast remains on track with some minor adjustments to temperatures to account for the latest observations. Despite the sea breeze making its way inland, temperatures remain in the upper 70s to low 80s for much of Long Island and the southern Connecticut coast.
Mid level ridging over the region flattens today with the approach of a weakening shortwave. Meanwhile, surface high pressure centered near Cape Hatteras shifts farther out into the western Atlantic today.
The first weekend of June comes to a close on a pleasant note.
Afternoon highs will be very similar to yesterday's, generally topping out in the low to mid 80s away from the immediate shore.
Despite temperatures running up to 10 degrees above normal for early June, the air mass should remain quite comfortable, with dew points still in the 50s.
Abundant sunshine likely becomes more filtered through a thickening cirrus deck as the day progresses, but dry conditions prevail nonetheless. Light flow backs more southwesterly as the high moves offshore.
As the advancing shortwave progresses east and over the Appalachians it will dampen out and weaken. Any associated shower activity that does make it into the area likely waits until late this evening, generally after midnight, to arrive. Latest CAMs are a bit mixed with coverage and placement, but best chance for seeing drops fall from the sky looks to be over the southwestern half of the region.
It's possible portions of southern CT, or perhaps even the bulk of the forecast area, remain entirely dry as the system weakens and passes to the south. With that said, QPF should be light, likely under a tenth of an inch where it does precipitate.
SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
The relatively tame start to the month continues into the first few days of the work week as the shortwave exits early Monday and ridging quickly begins to rebuild from the west. A weak surface pressure field persists, with a 1020 mb high over Quebec nosing southward into midweek and setting up easterly or southeasterly flow by Tuesday.
Any lingering rain showers on Monday come to an end by mid to late morning and the column gradually dries out through the day. Cloud cover should begin to break up, especially away from the coast, and allow some sunshine by the afternoon. A few diurnal showers or even a thunderstorm could pop up to the west over interior NJ during the afternoon, but this appears limited. Capped PoPs at slight chance at this point, but will monitor the CAMs should coverage prove more expansive.
Dry on Tuesday with high pressure sliding down the New England coast keeping calm conditions in place. With offshore water temperatures still in the upper 50s and lower 60s, the developing onshore flow Tuesday will keep coastal locales a bit cooler than recent days, with highs likely in the low to mid 70s during the afternoon. Away from this influence, mainly the far interior and areas west of the Hudson River, lower 80s is where temperatures top out.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Weather pattern overall turns wetter and slowly cooler during the long term as the area gets more eventually within the control of a large approaching mid level cutoff low. This is shown by various large scale numerical weather prediction models as well as the grand ensemble of the LREF. The 24 hr precipitation spread for Thursday afternoon depicts a range of quarter to half inch and for Friday morning that 24 hr precipitation grows to a half to one inch looking at the spread of the 75th and 25th percentiles of the same grand ensemble of the LREF. For next weekend, the 24 hr precipitation lowers to less than a quarter of an inch looking at the same percentile range.
Mid levels exhibit a transition from weakening ridging around midweek to a large approaching elongated cutoff mid level low Thursday into the end of the week.
Mid level ridging appears to be relatively strongest Wednesday while at the surface, high pressure across the area will be slowly weakening.
For Thursday into the end of the week, a series of frontal systems move across, with the help of the faster steering flow offered by the mid level cutoff low eventually moving near the region.
Forecast high temperatures stay mainly within the range of 70 to 80 during the long term and forecast lows for the first two nights stay between 60 and 70. The following two nights are forecast to have slightly cooler temperatures.
Some elevated instability is depicted by some forecast models for parts of the mid to late week period, which will enable for there to be some embedded thunderstorm activity from time to time.
AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure gradually moves farther out into the Atlantic through this evening, with a weakening disturbance moving through late tonight and early Monday morning. Weak high pressure builds from the N and NE late Monday.
VFR and predominantly dry conditions are expected through the TAF period. The exception would be for 06z Mon until 15z Mon with possible -SHRA, but with VFR ceilings and visibilities expected.
A general S-SW flow at 7-15 kt for this afternoon with sea breeze enhancement for some coastal terminals along with some gusts for KJFK, and possibly KEWR. Some terminals will have wind speeds of 5 kts or less and variable direction late tonight, otherwise light W to N winds into Monday morning with sea breeze development likely towards or just after midday for coastal terminals.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Some gusts 15-20 kt possible through late this afternoon, especially at KJFK. KEWR could briefly get a sea breeze with more of a SE wind late this afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
Monday afternoon: Mainly VFR. Possible shower or thunderstorm near and N/W of NYC terminals for the afternoon into early evening with brief MVFR possible.
Tuesday: VFR.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR during the day. MVFR or lower possible late day into the night with chances of showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: MVFR or lower possible in rain showers, possible thunderstorms afternoon into night.
Friday: MVFR possible at times in showers and thunderstorms.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Conditions are expected to remain below SCA levels through the period.
The ocean waters may begin to approach SCA conditions with 4 to 5 ft waves developing late Thursday into early Friday under enhanced southerly flow.
HYDROLOGY
No significant hydrologic problems are expected at this time.
Heavy rain will be possible with some showers or any t-storms in the Thursday into Friday timeframe. PWATS could reach near 2 inches Thursday into Thursday night.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
With the approach of a new moon this week, astronomical levels will be on the rise. With winds becoming more southerly and eventually southeasterly, this will allow for increasing surge this week. As a result, some locations could get some minor coastal flooding, potentially becoming more widespread Tuesday night and Wednesday night.
Tide levels increase getting closer to midweek. Stevens guidance shows minor flood benchmarks being approached as early as Monday night. Thus, trends will need to be monitored in subsequent cycles as minor coastal flooding will become more likely for the south shore bays of Nassau, Queens, and Brooklyn, along with Western LI Sound for CT, and Westchester towards Tuesday.
Water temperatures remain around 60 degrees around the region.
This poses the threat for hypothermia to anyone immersed in the water. Small boats, canoes, and kayaks should plan accordingly if recreating this and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
There is a low rip current risk through Monday due to low seas on the ocean and winds mainly 10 kt or less.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 206 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure off the East Coast shifts farther out into the western Atlantic today. A weakening disturbance moves through late tonight and into the first half of Monday. High pressure then builds across the region from Southeast Canada through Tuesday night. The high moves out in to the Atlantic for the latter half of the week as a frontal system approaches from the west.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
Forecast remains on track with some minor adjustments to temperatures to account for the latest observations. Despite the sea breeze making its way inland, temperatures remain in the upper 70s to low 80s for much of Long Island and the southern Connecticut coast.
Mid level ridging over the region flattens today with the approach of a weakening shortwave. Meanwhile, surface high pressure centered near Cape Hatteras shifts farther out into the western Atlantic today.
The first weekend of June comes to a close on a pleasant note.
Afternoon highs will be very similar to yesterday's, generally topping out in the low to mid 80s away from the immediate shore.
Despite temperatures running up to 10 degrees above normal for early June, the air mass should remain quite comfortable, with dew points still in the 50s.
Abundant sunshine likely becomes more filtered through a thickening cirrus deck as the day progresses, but dry conditions prevail nonetheless. Light flow backs more southwesterly as the high moves offshore.
As the advancing shortwave progresses east and over the Appalachians it will dampen out and weaken. Any associated shower activity that does make it into the area likely waits until late this evening, generally after midnight, to arrive. Latest CAMs are a bit mixed with coverage and placement, but best chance for seeing drops fall from the sky looks to be over the southwestern half of the region.
It's possible portions of southern CT, or perhaps even the bulk of the forecast area, remain entirely dry as the system weakens and passes to the south. With that said, QPF should be light, likely under a tenth of an inch where it does precipitate.
SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
The relatively tame start to the month continues into the first few days of the work week as the shortwave exits early Monday and ridging quickly begins to rebuild from the west. A weak surface pressure field persists, with a 1020 mb high over Quebec nosing southward into midweek and setting up easterly or southeasterly flow by Tuesday.
Any lingering rain showers on Monday come to an end by mid to late morning and the column gradually dries out through the day. Cloud cover should begin to break up, especially away from the coast, and allow some sunshine by the afternoon. A few diurnal showers or even a thunderstorm could pop up to the west over interior NJ during the afternoon, but this appears limited. Capped PoPs at slight chance at this point, but will monitor the CAMs should coverage prove more expansive.
Dry on Tuesday with high pressure sliding down the New England coast keeping calm conditions in place. With offshore water temperatures still in the upper 50s and lower 60s, the developing onshore flow Tuesday will keep coastal locales a bit cooler than recent days, with highs likely in the low to mid 70s during the afternoon. Away from this influence, mainly the far interior and areas west of the Hudson River, lower 80s is where temperatures top out.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Weather pattern overall turns wetter and slowly cooler during the long term as the area gets more eventually within the control of a large approaching mid level cutoff low. This is shown by various large scale numerical weather prediction models as well as the grand ensemble of the LREF. The 24 hr precipitation spread for Thursday afternoon depicts a range of quarter to half inch and for Friday morning that 24 hr precipitation grows to a half to one inch looking at the spread of the 75th and 25th percentiles of the same grand ensemble of the LREF. For next weekend, the 24 hr precipitation lowers to less than a quarter of an inch looking at the same percentile range.
Mid levels exhibit a transition from weakening ridging around midweek to a large approaching elongated cutoff mid level low Thursday into the end of the week.
Mid level ridging appears to be relatively strongest Wednesday while at the surface, high pressure across the area will be slowly weakening.
For Thursday into the end of the week, a series of frontal systems move across, with the help of the faster steering flow offered by the mid level cutoff low eventually moving near the region.
Forecast high temperatures stay mainly within the range of 70 to 80 during the long term and forecast lows for the first two nights stay between 60 and 70. The following two nights are forecast to have slightly cooler temperatures.
Some elevated instability is depicted by some forecast models for parts of the mid to late week period, which will enable for there to be some embedded thunderstorm activity from time to time.
AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure gradually moves farther out into the Atlantic through this evening, with a weakening disturbance moving through late tonight and early Monday morning. Weak high pressure builds from the N and NE late Monday.
VFR and predominantly dry conditions are expected through the TAF period. The exception would be for 06z Mon until 15z Mon with possible -SHRA, but with VFR ceilings and visibilities expected.
A general S-SW flow at 7-15 kt for this afternoon with sea breeze enhancement for some coastal terminals along with some gusts for KJFK, and possibly KEWR. Some terminals will have wind speeds of 5 kts or less and variable direction late tonight, otherwise light W to N winds into Monday morning with sea breeze development likely towards or just after midday for coastal terminals.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Some gusts 15-20 kt possible through late this afternoon, especially at KJFK. KEWR could briefly get a sea breeze with more of a SE wind late this afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
Monday afternoon: Mainly VFR. Possible shower or thunderstorm near and N/W of NYC terminals for the afternoon into early evening with brief MVFR possible.
Tuesday: VFR.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR during the day. MVFR or lower possible late day into the night with chances of showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: MVFR or lower possible in rain showers, possible thunderstorms afternoon into night.
Friday: MVFR possible at times in showers and thunderstorms.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Conditions are expected to remain below SCA levels through the period.
The ocean waters may begin to approach SCA conditions with 4 to 5 ft waves developing late Thursday into early Friday under enhanced southerly flow.
HYDROLOGY
No significant hydrologic problems are expected at this time.
Heavy rain will be possible with some showers or any t-storms in the Thursday into Friday timeframe. PWATS could reach near 2 inches Thursday into Thursday night.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
With the approach of a new moon this week, astronomical levels will be on the rise. With winds becoming more southerly and eventually southeasterly, this will allow for increasing surge this week. As a result, some locations could get some minor coastal flooding, potentially becoming more widespread Tuesday night and Wednesday night.
Tide levels increase getting closer to midweek. Stevens guidance shows minor flood benchmarks being approached as early as Monday night. Thus, trends will need to be monitored in subsequent cycles as minor coastal flooding will become more likely for the south shore bays of Nassau, Queens, and Brooklyn, along with Western LI Sound for CT, and Westchester towards Tuesday.
Water temperatures remain around 60 degrees around the region.
This poses the threat for hypothermia to anyone immersed in the water. Small boats, canoes, and kayaks should plan accordingly if recreating this and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
There is a low rip current risk through Monday due to low seas on the ocean and winds mainly 10 kt or less.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 16 mi | 59 min | SW 7G | 78°F | 61°F | 29.95 | ||
| NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 23 mi | 59 min | S 8G | 69°F | 64°F | 30.01 | ||
| KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 40 mi | 59 min | S 15G | 77°F | 66°F | 30.01 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KISP LONG ISLAND MAC ARTHUR,NY | 12 sm | 33 min | SW 12 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 79°F | 54°F | 42% | 30.01 | |
| KHWV BROOKHAVEN,NY | 13 sm | 33 min | S 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 79°F | 59°F | 51% | 30.02 | |
| KBDR IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL,CT | 14 sm | 37 min | SW 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 82°F | 50°F | 32% | 29.99 | |
| KHVN TWEEDNEW HAVEN,CT | 21 sm | 36 min | S 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 81°F | 61°F | 51% | 30.00 | |
| KFOK FRANCIS S GABRESKI,NY | 23 sm | 36 min | SW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 57°F | 57% | 30.03 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cedar Beach, Long Island, New York, Tide feet
Stony Brook
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:19 AM EDT 0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:45 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:22 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:21 AM EDT 6.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:33 PM EDT 0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:08 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 08:19 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:44 PM EDT 6.93 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:19 AM EDT 0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:45 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:22 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:21 AM EDT 6.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:33 PM EDT 0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:08 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 08:19 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:44 PM EDT 6.93 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Stony Brook, Smithtown Bay, Long Island Sound, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 0.1 |
| 3 am |
| 0.2 |
| 4 am |
| 1.2 |
| 5 am |
| 2.6 |
| 6 am |
| 4 |
| 7 am |
| 5.3 |
| 8 am |
| 5.9 |
| 9 am |
| 5.8 |
| 10 am |
| 5 |
| 11 am |
| 3.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 6.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 6.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 6.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 5 |
Upton, NY,
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