Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Sea Cliff, NY
June 1, 2024 6:54 PM EDT (22:54 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:23 AM Sunset 8:21 PM Moonrise 2:23 AM Moonset 2:56 PM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 316 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Tonight - SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Mon - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming E around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Thu night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
ANZ300 316 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure settles over the area tonight and gradually drifts to the southeast and offshore on Sunday. A weakening disturbance moves through late Sunday night and for the first half of Monday. High pressure remains over the waters Tuesday and Wednesday before sliding offshore Wednesday evening. A series of frontal systems then approach by the end of the week.
Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 011927 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 327 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure settles over the area tonight and gradually drifts to the southeast and offshore on Sunday. A weakening disturbance moves through late Sunday night and for the first half of Monday. High pressure remains over the area Tuesday and Wednesday before sliding offshore Wednesday evening. A series of frontal systems then approach the area by the end of the week into next weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
High pressure settles over the area tonight. A dry air mass for this time of year with dew point readings primarily in the lower half of the 50s, so a rather comfortable night. Outlying areas will likely not get as cool as the previous night with some air mass modification starting to take place. The winds will be light to calm with the high essentially directly over the region. With deep layer ridging in place look for essentially clear skies, although some cirrus may sneak into far western locations later in the overnight.
Lows should get down into the lower and middle 50s in the coolest locations in the non urban areas, with mainly lower 60s across the more metro areas.
Another pleasant day across the area on Sunday. The mid and upper level ridge axis starts to shift overhead, and with this there should be more in the way of high level moisture starting to intrude, especially for western areas later in the day. Other than some cirrus, look for a good deal of sunshine. The synoptic pressure gradient will be quite weak, and thus earlier sea breeze development is expected. With the high getting further offshore the synoptic flow will have more of a southerly component, and with daytime heating the southerly flow will increase and thus a hybrid sea breeze should be able to penetrate further north and west for the afternoon hours. It will still be a fairly comfortable warm day with dew point reading remaining primarily in the 50s, with perhaps the immediate south shore of Long Island having dew points approach 60 later in the afternoon with more of a wind directly off the ocean.
Temperatures will be very similar to what they were the previous day, with perhaps far eastern and southern locations being a couple of degrees cooler, especially later in the afternoon with more of a sea breeze and wind off the water influence.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
A weakening mid level short wave starts to draw closer during the beginning of the period. As the shortwave progresses east and over the Appalachians it will get dampened out and lose amplitude. Look for clouds to increase Sunday night from west to east as the mid and upper ridge axis gets offshore. As the shortwave gets suppressed it will have difficulty conserving vorticity and thus it undergoes some shearing. The BUFKIT sounding essentially show the higher RH at 10- 15 kft and below, so there should not be a lot of depth the moisture. Therefore any rain shower activity that breaks out is expected to be rather light and intermittent late Sunday night into Monday morning. It does appear that all of Sunday evening will be dry across the entire area, with perhaps the first of the shower activity getting into far western areas towards and just after midnight. The shower activity may briefly get more coverage into the Monday morning commute but instability does appear to be lacking down low and in the mid levels. Thus, at this time QPF amounts look to be under a quarter inch, and perhaps even below a tenth of an inch.
Towards Monday afternoon the global guidance consensus does show the middle portion of the column drying out. Thus look for some clearing, or at least breaks in the clouds Monday afternoon and evening. A light onshore flow however may keep stratus and low clouds in play, especially further to the southeast. Therefore uncertainty in the cloud coverage / sky forecast remains for later Monday into Monday evening. Temperatures should be relatively close to normal, perhaps a few degrees above normal for the most part for Sunday night and Monday.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
*Key Points*
*Seasonable high temperatures for the period.
*Dry conditions expected Tuesday and Wednesday followed by unsettled weather for week's end and into the weekend.
Global ensembles are in generally good agreement with the synoptic pattern through late week. Mid and upper ridging centered over the northeast to begin the period flattens to a more zonal flow by Thursday and Friday. This is the result of a sprawling upper low taking shape over the central Canadian Maritimes, of Pacific origin, slowly moving east Thursday into Friday and settling over eastern Canada by the weekend. This will return us to a cooler and wetter pattern toward the end of the long term period.
At the surface, high pressure centered over New England on Tuesday shifts offshore by Wednesday. Interior sections will be warmest for these two days under dry conditions with east/southeast flow keeping coastal areas a few degrees cooler. Highs in the upper 70s to near 80, with low 70s for the coast.
By Thursday, a surface low north of Great Lakes, associated with the aforementioned upper low heads slowly east. An associated warm front approaches the area on Thursday. The front looks to remain near or just to the north of the area into Friday as the parent low occludes. Shower chances ramp up on Thursday morning and moreso by Thursday afternoon with the front in the vicinity. Have maintained thunder in the forecast as model soundings do depict some elevated instability/CAPE Thursday afternoon. By Friday, the cold front pushes through the area as the surface low heads east. Depending on timing, another round of thunder may also be possible with any precipitation associated with its passage.
After a brief respite possibly late Friday into early Saturday from precipitation, additional showers are possible Saturday into Sunday as the upper low continues to move very slowly east.
AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
High pressure continues to move into the region with its center moving south of the area into tonight.
VFR.
Wind speeds at or below 10 kt through much of the TAF period. Any winds from the N/NW will veer to the West late this afternoon and into the evening. Seabreeze at KJFK, KGON, and KBDR are allowing for a mainly south wind. Uncertain as to how far inland the seabreeze travels into the evening. Light and variable wind expected tonight for most terminals. A light W/SW wind will reestablish tomorrow mid- morning at or less than 10 kt. Sea breeze enhancement expected tomorrow afternoon to allow for a predominantly S wind at coastal terminals, mainly KJFK, KBDR, KGON, and KISP.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Amendments possible for wind direction and timing of sea breeze into this evening.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
Sunday PM - Sunday Night: VFR through the day Sunday. MVFR possible in showers Sunday night.
Monday-Tuesday: Mainly VFR.
Wednesday: MVFR or lower possible for the day into night in showers.
Thursday: MVFR or lower possible in rain showers.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Conditions will remain below SCA levels through the period. Seas on the ocean will be 2 ft or less through Wednesday, and perhaps getting closer to 3 ft towards Thursday. The ocean waters may begin to approach SCA conditions with 4-5 ft waves late Thursday into early Friday under enhanced southerly flow.
HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns throughout the forecast period.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Tide levels increase getting closer to mid week. Stevens guidance shows minor flood benchmarks being approached as early as Monday night. Thus, trends will need to be monitored in subsequent cycles with minor coastal flooding will become more likely for the south shore bays of Nassau, Queens, and Brooklyn, along with Western LI Sound for CT, and Westchester towards Tuesday.
Water temperatures remain around 60 degrees around the region.
This poses the threat for hypothermia to anyone immersed in the water. Small boats, canoes, and kayaks should plan accordingly if recreating this and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
There is a low rip current risk through the weekend due to low seas on the ocean and winds mainly 10 kt or less.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 327 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure settles over the area tonight and gradually drifts to the southeast and offshore on Sunday. A weakening disturbance moves through late Sunday night and for the first half of Monday. High pressure remains over the area Tuesday and Wednesday before sliding offshore Wednesday evening. A series of frontal systems then approach the area by the end of the week into next weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
High pressure settles over the area tonight. A dry air mass for this time of year with dew point readings primarily in the lower half of the 50s, so a rather comfortable night. Outlying areas will likely not get as cool as the previous night with some air mass modification starting to take place. The winds will be light to calm with the high essentially directly over the region. With deep layer ridging in place look for essentially clear skies, although some cirrus may sneak into far western locations later in the overnight.
Lows should get down into the lower and middle 50s in the coolest locations in the non urban areas, with mainly lower 60s across the more metro areas.
Another pleasant day across the area on Sunday. The mid and upper level ridge axis starts to shift overhead, and with this there should be more in the way of high level moisture starting to intrude, especially for western areas later in the day. Other than some cirrus, look for a good deal of sunshine. The synoptic pressure gradient will be quite weak, and thus earlier sea breeze development is expected. With the high getting further offshore the synoptic flow will have more of a southerly component, and with daytime heating the southerly flow will increase and thus a hybrid sea breeze should be able to penetrate further north and west for the afternoon hours. It will still be a fairly comfortable warm day with dew point reading remaining primarily in the 50s, with perhaps the immediate south shore of Long Island having dew points approach 60 later in the afternoon with more of a wind directly off the ocean.
Temperatures will be very similar to what they were the previous day, with perhaps far eastern and southern locations being a couple of degrees cooler, especially later in the afternoon with more of a sea breeze and wind off the water influence.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
A weakening mid level short wave starts to draw closer during the beginning of the period. As the shortwave progresses east and over the Appalachians it will get dampened out and lose amplitude. Look for clouds to increase Sunday night from west to east as the mid and upper ridge axis gets offshore. As the shortwave gets suppressed it will have difficulty conserving vorticity and thus it undergoes some shearing. The BUFKIT sounding essentially show the higher RH at 10- 15 kft and below, so there should not be a lot of depth the moisture. Therefore any rain shower activity that breaks out is expected to be rather light and intermittent late Sunday night into Monday morning. It does appear that all of Sunday evening will be dry across the entire area, with perhaps the first of the shower activity getting into far western areas towards and just after midnight. The shower activity may briefly get more coverage into the Monday morning commute but instability does appear to be lacking down low and in the mid levels. Thus, at this time QPF amounts look to be under a quarter inch, and perhaps even below a tenth of an inch.
Towards Monday afternoon the global guidance consensus does show the middle portion of the column drying out. Thus look for some clearing, or at least breaks in the clouds Monday afternoon and evening. A light onshore flow however may keep stratus and low clouds in play, especially further to the southeast. Therefore uncertainty in the cloud coverage / sky forecast remains for later Monday into Monday evening. Temperatures should be relatively close to normal, perhaps a few degrees above normal for the most part for Sunday night and Monday.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
*Key Points*
*Seasonable high temperatures for the period.
*Dry conditions expected Tuesday and Wednesday followed by unsettled weather for week's end and into the weekend.
Global ensembles are in generally good agreement with the synoptic pattern through late week. Mid and upper ridging centered over the northeast to begin the period flattens to a more zonal flow by Thursday and Friday. This is the result of a sprawling upper low taking shape over the central Canadian Maritimes, of Pacific origin, slowly moving east Thursday into Friday and settling over eastern Canada by the weekend. This will return us to a cooler and wetter pattern toward the end of the long term period.
At the surface, high pressure centered over New England on Tuesday shifts offshore by Wednesday. Interior sections will be warmest for these two days under dry conditions with east/southeast flow keeping coastal areas a few degrees cooler. Highs in the upper 70s to near 80, with low 70s for the coast.
By Thursday, a surface low north of Great Lakes, associated with the aforementioned upper low heads slowly east. An associated warm front approaches the area on Thursday. The front looks to remain near or just to the north of the area into Friday as the parent low occludes. Shower chances ramp up on Thursday morning and moreso by Thursday afternoon with the front in the vicinity. Have maintained thunder in the forecast as model soundings do depict some elevated instability/CAPE Thursday afternoon. By Friday, the cold front pushes through the area as the surface low heads east. Depending on timing, another round of thunder may also be possible with any precipitation associated with its passage.
After a brief respite possibly late Friday into early Saturday from precipitation, additional showers are possible Saturday into Sunday as the upper low continues to move very slowly east.
AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
High pressure continues to move into the region with its center moving south of the area into tonight.
VFR.
Wind speeds at or below 10 kt through much of the TAF period. Any winds from the N/NW will veer to the West late this afternoon and into the evening. Seabreeze at KJFK, KGON, and KBDR are allowing for a mainly south wind. Uncertain as to how far inland the seabreeze travels into the evening. Light and variable wind expected tonight for most terminals. A light W/SW wind will reestablish tomorrow mid- morning at or less than 10 kt. Sea breeze enhancement expected tomorrow afternoon to allow for a predominantly S wind at coastal terminals, mainly KJFK, KBDR, KGON, and KISP.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Amendments possible for wind direction and timing of sea breeze into this evening.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
Sunday PM - Sunday Night: VFR through the day Sunday. MVFR possible in showers Sunday night.
Monday-Tuesday: Mainly VFR.
Wednesday: MVFR or lower possible for the day into night in showers.
Thursday: MVFR or lower possible in rain showers.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Conditions will remain below SCA levels through the period. Seas on the ocean will be 2 ft or less through Wednesday, and perhaps getting closer to 3 ft towards Thursday. The ocean waters may begin to approach SCA conditions with 4-5 ft waves late Thursday into early Friday under enhanced southerly flow.
HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns throughout the forecast period.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Tide levels increase getting closer to mid week. Stevens guidance shows minor flood benchmarks being approached as early as Monday night. Thus, trends will need to be monitored in subsequent cycles with minor coastal flooding will become more likely for the south shore bays of Nassau, Queens, and Brooklyn, along with Western LI Sound for CT, and Westchester towards Tuesday.
Water temperatures remain around 60 degrees around the region.
This poses the threat for hypothermia to anyone immersed in the water. Small boats, canoes, and kayaks should plan accordingly if recreating this and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
There is a low rip current risk through the weekend due to low seas on the ocean and winds mainly 10 kt or less.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 7 mi | 54 min | WNW 1G | 81°F | 63°F | 30.07 | ||
| BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY | 22 mi | 54 min | 78°F | 64°F | 30.01 | |||
| ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ | 26 mi | 54 min | W 6G | 81°F | 30.07 | |||
| MHRN6 | 31 mi | 54 min | W 12G | |||||
| BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 33 mi | 54 min | W 2.9G | 82°F | 58°F | 30.00 | ||
| SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 33 mi | 54 min | W 9.9G | 76°F | 73°F | 30.09 | ||
| 44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 34 mi | 44 min | SSW 14G | 68°F | 66°F | 30.08 | 58°F | |
| 44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY | 49 mi | 44 min | SW 16G | 67°F | 65°F | 30.09 | 57°F | |
| NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 49 mi | 54 min | NNW 8G | 80°F | 62°F | 30.05 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KLGA LAGUARDIA,NY | 12 sm | 63 min | WNW 06G15 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 82°F | 39°F | 22% | 30.06 | |
| KHPN WESTCHESTER COUNTY,NY | 15 sm | 58 min | WNW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 81°F | 46°F | 30% | 30.07 | |
| KFRG REPUBLIC,NY | 16 sm | 61 min | SSW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 77°F | 48°F | 36% | 30.08 | |
| KJFK JOHN F KENNEDY INTL,NY | 16 sm | 63 min | SSW 15 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 75°F | 54°F | 47% | 30.08 | |
| KTEB TETERBORO,NJ | 21 sm | 63 min | WNW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 82°F | 45°F | 27% | 30.05 | |
| KJRB DOWNTOWN MANHATTAN/WALL ST,NY | 22 sm | 58 min | SW 07G14 | 10 sm | Clear | 82°F | 50°F | 32% | 30.08 |
Tide / Current for Glen Cove, Hempstead Harbor, Long Island, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Glen Cove, Hempstead Harbor, Long Island, New York, Tide feet
Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:46 AM EDT 0.97 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:24 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 04:49 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:25 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 08:02 AM EDT -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:59 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:12 PM EDT 0.91 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:57 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 04:59 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:20 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:25 PM EDT -0.73 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 11:23 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:46 AM EDT 0.97 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:24 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 04:49 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:25 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 08:02 AM EDT -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:59 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:12 PM EDT 0.91 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:57 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 04:59 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:20 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:25 PM EDT -0.73 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 11:23 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
| 12 am |
| 0.4 |
| 1 am |
| 0.8 |
| 2 am |
| 1 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.2 |
| 5 am |
| -0 |
| 6 am |
| -0.3 |
| 7 am |
| -0.6 |
| 8 am |
| -0.7 |
| 9 am |
| -0.6 |
| 10 am |
| -0.2 |
| 11 am |
| 0 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 5 pm |
| -0 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.1 |
Upton, NY,
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