Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cozad, NE
June 2, 2024 9:40 AM CDT (14:40 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:10 AM Sunset 9:11 PM Moonrise 2:34 AM Moonset 4:01 PM |
FXUS63 KGID 021147 AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 647 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected Sunday evening and overnight. Initially, hail as large as golfballs, and winds gusting to 70MPH will be possible with early storms. Storms are expected to become a line with winds to 80MPH possible and the hail threat going down.
- Additional chances for showers and storms are expected through Tuesday night.
- We will experience a drying out period Wednesday and Thursday. Our first 90s of Meteorological Summer will be possible Wednesday afternoon across portions of north central Kansas and south central Nebraska.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 442 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
A few thunderstorms remain early this morning east of Highway 81.
These storms may produce small hail and winds gusting to around 40mph. There are storms currently moving through portions of Dodge City's area that may eventually make their way into north central Kansas. There is still some uncertainty over what impact this may have for those in our Kansas counties. A boundary currently extending from Wakeeney (KS) to Oberlin (KS) to north of Benkelman (NE) could do one of two things to those storms. Interacting with the boundary could have an intensification effect, resulting in some stronger storms moving into the southern part of the Hastings CWA later this morning. The other scenario would be a weakening effect with storms struggling to reach our southern border.
Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible once again late this evening and into the overnight hours for the area. The Storm Prediction Center has put the majority of the area into an Enhanced Risk area for today. Storms are expected to kick off across the Nebraska Panhandle and the Colorado Plains later today. Storms are expected to be discrete at first, congealing into a line as they move across the Hastings CWA Initially, the main threats will be hail up to the size of golfballs, and winds up to 70mph. As storms become linear, the hail threat will go down and the wind threat will go up. A few areas may experience winds gusting to around 80mph. An isolated tornado cannot be entirely ruled out during this event.
Heavy rain will also be a concern, especially for areas that have had heavy rain and flooding concerns already this week. The main timeframe for severe weather concerns appears to be from around 8PM to 1AM.
Monday and Tuesday, an upper trough over the PACNW will progress east-southeast across the Dakotas and into Nebraska. There will be a 20-30% chance of showers and storms during the daytime hours on Monday. Tuesday brings additional chances for thunderstorms in the afternoon. Areas along and west of Hwy 281 will have a 20-40% chance of precipitation, while areas east will have a 40-60% chance.
Although we are not currently outlooked for excessive rainfall, there remains concerns that any thunderstorms moving over areas that have recently had flooding issues may encounter additional problems.
This will need to be monitored over the coming days.
Wednesday and Thursday, northwest flow sets up over the region. This will allow for a needed period of drying out. Warmer air will move in, with possibly the first 90s of Meteorological Summer (June 1st- August 31st) on tap for north central Kansas and portions of south central Nebraska. Thursday's highs will be slightly cooler, with temperatures in the 80s. Lows each morning will range from the mid- 50s to mid-60s.
The remainder of the extended forecast brings back low confidence chances for a few showers and storms. Models are struggling to nail down details on the track and timing of a disturbance or series of disturbances moving through the region.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 639 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
At KGRI: MVFR conditions are ongoing at the terminal, with southwest winds around 10-15kts. Expected winds to turn to the south later this morning, increasing to 13-18kts. Ceilings are expected to lower ahead of a system advancing in from the west.
Thunderstorms will be possible beginning around 23Z and continuing through early morning. A few storms may become strong to severe with hail, damaging wind, and torrential rainfall possible. Additionally, expect wind shifts and rapid increases in wind speeds in the vicinity of thunderstorms due to outflow.
heading into the latter part of the morning, winds become light and variable.
At KEAR: IFR conditions are currently impacting the terminal with BKN around 800ft. There has been some slight reductions to visibility due to fog around HDE this morning. Fog may be possible in the distance of the terminal; however, impacts are not expected to be significant. Winds will become southerly around mid-morning, increasing to around 13-18kts. Ceilings are also supposed to improve to VFR during this timeframe. Heading into the evening hours, winds become southeasterly. A system will arrive from the west, with chances for strong to severe thunderstorms expected through the evening and into the nighttime hours. Storms that develop may become capable of producing hail, damaging wind, and torrential rainfall. Wind shifts and rapid increases in wind speed will be possible in the vicinity of any thunderstorms due to outflow. Thunderstorms are expected to clear out after midnight, with winds becoming light and variable.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None.
KS...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 647 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected Sunday evening and overnight. Initially, hail as large as golfballs, and winds gusting to 70MPH will be possible with early storms. Storms are expected to become a line with winds to 80MPH possible and the hail threat going down.
- Additional chances for showers and storms are expected through Tuesday night.
- We will experience a drying out period Wednesday and Thursday. Our first 90s of Meteorological Summer will be possible Wednesday afternoon across portions of north central Kansas and south central Nebraska.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 442 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
A few thunderstorms remain early this morning east of Highway 81.
These storms may produce small hail and winds gusting to around 40mph. There are storms currently moving through portions of Dodge City's area that may eventually make their way into north central Kansas. There is still some uncertainty over what impact this may have for those in our Kansas counties. A boundary currently extending from Wakeeney (KS) to Oberlin (KS) to north of Benkelman (NE) could do one of two things to those storms. Interacting with the boundary could have an intensification effect, resulting in some stronger storms moving into the southern part of the Hastings CWA later this morning. The other scenario would be a weakening effect with storms struggling to reach our southern border.
Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible once again late this evening and into the overnight hours for the area. The Storm Prediction Center has put the majority of the area into an Enhanced Risk area for today. Storms are expected to kick off across the Nebraska Panhandle and the Colorado Plains later today. Storms are expected to be discrete at first, congealing into a line as they move across the Hastings CWA Initially, the main threats will be hail up to the size of golfballs, and winds up to 70mph. As storms become linear, the hail threat will go down and the wind threat will go up. A few areas may experience winds gusting to around 80mph. An isolated tornado cannot be entirely ruled out during this event.
Heavy rain will also be a concern, especially for areas that have had heavy rain and flooding concerns already this week. The main timeframe for severe weather concerns appears to be from around 8PM to 1AM.
Monday and Tuesday, an upper trough over the PACNW will progress east-southeast across the Dakotas and into Nebraska. There will be a 20-30% chance of showers and storms during the daytime hours on Monday. Tuesday brings additional chances for thunderstorms in the afternoon. Areas along and west of Hwy 281 will have a 20-40% chance of precipitation, while areas east will have a 40-60% chance.
Although we are not currently outlooked for excessive rainfall, there remains concerns that any thunderstorms moving over areas that have recently had flooding issues may encounter additional problems.
This will need to be monitored over the coming days.
Wednesday and Thursday, northwest flow sets up over the region. This will allow for a needed period of drying out. Warmer air will move in, with possibly the first 90s of Meteorological Summer (June 1st- August 31st) on tap for north central Kansas and portions of south central Nebraska. Thursday's highs will be slightly cooler, with temperatures in the 80s. Lows each morning will range from the mid- 50s to mid-60s.
The remainder of the extended forecast brings back low confidence chances for a few showers and storms. Models are struggling to nail down details on the track and timing of a disturbance or series of disturbances moving through the region.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 639 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
At KGRI: MVFR conditions are ongoing at the terminal, with southwest winds around 10-15kts. Expected winds to turn to the south later this morning, increasing to 13-18kts. Ceilings are expected to lower ahead of a system advancing in from the west.
Thunderstorms will be possible beginning around 23Z and continuing through early morning. A few storms may become strong to severe with hail, damaging wind, and torrential rainfall possible. Additionally, expect wind shifts and rapid increases in wind speeds in the vicinity of thunderstorms due to outflow.
heading into the latter part of the morning, winds become light and variable.
At KEAR: IFR conditions are currently impacting the terminal with BKN around 800ft. There has been some slight reductions to visibility due to fog around HDE this morning. Fog may be possible in the distance of the terminal; however, impacts are not expected to be significant. Winds will become southerly around mid-morning, increasing to around 13-18kts. Ceilings are also supposed to improve to VFR during this timeframe. Heading into the evening hours, winds become southeasterly. A system will arrive from the west, with chances for strong to severe thunderstorms expected through the evening and into the nighttime hours. Storms that develop may become capable of producing hail, damaging wind, and torrential rainfall. Wind shifts and rapid increases in wind speed will be possible in the vicinity of any thunderstorms due to outflow. Thunderstorms are expected to clear out after midnight, with winds becoming light and variable.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None.
KS...None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KLXN JIM KELLY FIELD,NE | 12 sm | 25 min | SE 09 | 7 sm | Overcast | 66°F | 66°F | 100% | 29.85 |
Grand Island, NE,
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