Sunrise 6:30 AM   Sunset 8:05 PM Moonrise 7:32 PM   Moonset 5:17 AM

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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 401 Am Edt Thu May 23 2024
Today - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. Sat - S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. Sun - S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. Mon - S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Thu May 23 2024 - Kmia 230617 Wrksyn
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate easterly wind flow will continue through the end of the week across the local waters. These winds will become west southwest across the gulf waters each afternoon during this time frame. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible each day across the atlantic and gulf waters.
gulf stream hazards: none
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 23, 2024 at 12 utc - .
1 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles east of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 231056 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 656 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 218 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024

A broad mid level ridge will continue to build over South Florida through the rest of the week as a departing mid level trough pushes further away from the region into the Atlantic. At the surface, high pressure centered to the north in the western Atlantic will continue to be the main synoptic feature affecting the weather pattern across South Florida during this time frame. With a general light east to southeasterly wind flow in place, the east coast sea breeze will be able to propagate well inland as the day progresses. Shower and thunderstorm activity will be focused mainly over interior portions of Southwest Florida where the sea breezes interact with each other. The steering flow aloft will remain northerly through the end of the week. This will keep the highest chances of shower and thunderstorm development over southwestern areas. The potential for strong thunderstorm development will remain low due to a lack of synoptic scale forcing and rather low instability, however, an isolated strong storm containing gusty winds cannot be ruled out especially over southwestern areas where sea breeze boundaries and thunderstorm outflow boundaries collide.
High temperatures today and Friday will generally rise into the upper 80s to around 90 along the east coast and into the lower to mid 90s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 218 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024

Heading into the upcoming weekend, the mid level ridge remains in place over the region, however, it may weaken just a bit during the first part of the weekend in response to a mid level trough moving through the Mid Atlantic states and pushing off into the western Atlantic. At the surface, a frontal boundary associated with a developing area of low pressure will move across portions of the Southeast. While this frontal boundary will not get anywhere close to South Florida, it may cause the winds to become more southerly over the weekend. Shower and thunderstorm chances will still be sea breeze driven, however, with a drier north to northwesterly steering flow aloft, the chances of showers and thunderstorms will be rather low. The best chances of showers and storms will be focused over the interior sections as well as the metro and coastal areas of Palm Beach and Broward Counties. With the south to southwesterly wind flow developing, hot conditions will develop over the region. High temperatures on Saturday and Sunday will generally range from the lower 90s across the east and west coast to the mid to upper 90s across the interior sections as well as the Lake Okeechobee region. Heat indices will have the potential to range between 100 and 105 during this time frame.

Moving into the early to middle portion of next week, mid level ridging across the region on Monday will begin to break down on Tuesday and Wednesday as a deepening mid level trough pushes into the eastern portion of the country. At the surface, a developing area of low pressure will push into the Great Lakes region and Southeastern Canada during this time frame. The frontal boundary associated with this system will push through the Southeast and into Northern Florida. Uncertainty remains high for this part of the forecast as this is towards the end of the forecast period and guidance remains in disagreement with how far south the front progresses through the Florida Peninsula. With the potential for moisture to increase, the chances of showers and thunderstorms may increase heading towards the middle portion of the week. The bigger concern will be the heat as south to southwesterly wind flow will remain in place during this time out ahead of the approaching frontal boundary. High temperatures could rise into the lower to mid 90s across the east coast metro areas and into the upper 90s across the interior sections. With moisture advection taking place, heat indices could have the potential to range between 100 and 105 across the region with localized interior sections ranging between 105 and 110. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 656 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024

L/V winds early this morning with sea-breeze circulations switching winds to an onshore direction along both coasts later into the early afternoon hours. VFR and mostly dry outside of a few isolated showers across inland areas throughout the TAF period.

MARINE
Issued at 218 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024

In general, a gentle to moderate easterly wind flow will remain in place across the region through the end of the week across the local waters. The exception to this will be across the Gulf waters, where winds will shift to the west southwest each afternoon due to the Gulf breeze developing. Winds will gradually become more southerly across all local waters as the upcoming weekend progresses. Seas across the Atlantic waters will generally remain at 3 feet or less while seas across the Gulf waters remain at 2 feet or less through the rest of the week and into the upcoming weekend. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible over the Atlantic and Gulf waters each day.

BEACHES
Issued at 218 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024

With onshore flow remaining in place, a moderate risk of rip currents will continue across the Palm Beaches through the end of the week and into the first part of the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 89 77 90 77 / 10 0 10 0 West Kendall 91 73 93 74 / 10 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 91 76 92 77 / 10 0 10 0 Homestead 89 75 90 76 / 10 0 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 87 76 89 78 / 10 0 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 88 76 90 77 / 10 0 10 10 Pembroke Pines 92 77 94 77 / 10 0 10 0 West Palm Beach 89 73 90 75 / 0 0 10 0 Boca Raton 89 74 90 76 / 0 0 10 10 Naples 92 77 91 77 / 10 20 10 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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Dinner Key Marina
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Thu -- 04:37 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:52 AM EDT     1.92 feet High Tide
Thu -- 09:55 AM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 04:44 PM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:37 PM EDT     2.16 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Dinner Key Marina, Florida, Tide feet

Miami Harbor Entrance
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Thu -- 01:56 AM EDT     -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:24 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:57 AM EDT     1.61 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:55 AM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 10:12 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:12 PM EDT     -1.42 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:32 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:21 PM EDT     2.13 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:01 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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