Sunrise 5:55 AM   Sunset 8:20 PM Moonrise 2:07 AM   Moonset 3:19 PM

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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 300 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 3 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers. Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 8 seconds and sw 1 ft at 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers. Thu - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Thu night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers. Fri - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 300 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure reamins off the coast through midweek. A backdoor front will moves into the area on Tuesday and stall through Wednesday morning. High pressure then rebuilds offshore later Wednesday with moist southerly flow strengthening through late week ahead of a potent frontal system, which will result in generally unsettled conditions Wednesday and Thursday.

FXUS62 KMHX 021900 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 300 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure reamins off the coast through midweek. A backdoor front will moves into the area on Tuesday and stall through Wednesday morning. High pressure then rebuilds offshore later Wednesday with moist southerly flow strengthening through late week ahead of a potent frontal system, which will result in generally unsettled conditions Wednesday and Thursday.

NEAR TERM /Through Tonight/
As of 3 PM Sun...Mostly dry and benign conditions expected tonight. Slow moistening of the atms has commenced with broad swrly flow inc TD's into the 50s to low 60s acrs the FA. Sct strato cu will cont through the night, with sct/bkn high clouds advecting in from the west. Weak wave may bring some iso showers or sprinkles late tonight and esp towards daybreak for wrn zones, though forcing is quite weak and pops no higher than 20-30% late. Much warmer tonight with lows in the 60s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY/
As of 3 PM Sun...Aformentioned mid level wave and srly flow will bring small shower chances to the area, though 02/12Z cams have backed off on coverage of showers, and the latest HRRR has reflected this. Have no higher than 30% advertised for pops, with the potential for some iso thunder with some weak instability (CAPE around 1k J/KG) by afternoon. Temps will be warm and humid, with many areas in the interior reaching the mid 80s, and dewpoints higher than compared to today, with readings in the 60s most areas, even inland.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 330 AM Sun...Conditions become more unsettled Monday as a weak impulse moves overhead. A backdoor cold front moves into Eastern NC Tuesday morning and stalls through Wednesday morning, and provides a focus for scattered shower and thunderstorm development. High pressure rebuilds offshore later Wednesday, and increasing southerly flow will bring a surge of moisture into the area through late week with more unsettled conditions likely. A strong cold front looks to move through the area sometime next weekend.

Tuesday...A backdoor cold front will move into the area Tuesday morning, but now looks to be weaker, and is expected to stall somewhere across Eastern NC. This development brings the potential for the front to focus afternoon shower and thunderstorm development, and have the highest chances for precip (35-45%) inland Tuesday afternoon.

Highs Tuesday will be warmer than recent days but still slightly below normal and in the low to mid 80s.

Wednesday through Saturday...The stalled frontal boundary will break down early Wednesday as high pressure rebuilds off the SE coast, and this will allow rich moisture (PWATs 1.75-2") to advect in from the west Wednesday through Friday ahead of a potent upper level trough and strong cold front.

Increasingly unsettled conditions (40-55% +) are likely with a diurnal max in coverage each afternoon. An increase in heat and humidity is also likely as highs climb into the upper 80s to low 90s each afternoon, and it will feel like 95-100 degrees out when factoring the humidity.

Stark timing differences with the front among model guidance, as well as differences with the eventual evolution of the upper level trough casts some doubt on rain chances Friday, but most guidance has drier conditions moving in for next weekend.

AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Mon/...
As of 2 PM Sun... No significant changes to the forecast. VFR conditions with light winds are forecast to prevail across all terminals through the pd while high pressure remains centered just off the coast today. Sct strato cu around 5k ft will prevail, with sct/bkn cirrus moving in. Could see an iso shower esp for wrn taf sites towards morning, but covg is questionable so have left out mention in the fcst for now. Winds light srly through the pd.

LONG TERM /Monday night through Thursday/...
As of 330 AM Sun...Unsettled conditions will be the theme this week, with best chances for rain and thunderstorms coming Wednesday and Thursday. This could bring some periods of sub- VFR conditions to the terminals at times.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /Through Mon/...
As of 3 PM Sun... Benign boating conditions persist through the period as high pressure becomes centered off the Southeast Coast. Light winds generally 5-15 kt through the period, with the strongest winds during the late afternoon/early evening differential heating max. Seas generally 1-2 ft through the period with a primary periodicity of around 5 seconds.

LONG TERM /Mon night through Thursday/...
As of 330 AM Sun...Good boating conditions expected through Wednesday with light winds but some unsettled conditions possible. Then the pressure gradient will tighten Thursday with low end Small Craft conditions possible.

Winds will be SSW at 10-15 kts Monday, becoming weaker overnight into Tuesday morning. A backdoor front will move through a portion of the waters from the north Tuesday morning before stalling, with flow out of the NE at 5-10 kts to its north and SW winds at 5-10 kts to its south. This front will continue to bifurcate the coastal waters through Wednesday morning until high pressure rebuilds offshore and winds become SSW at 10-15 kts Wednesday afternoon. Winds then continue to strengthen Wednesday night, and then climb to SW 20-25 kts Thursday.

Seas will be mostly 2-3 ft through Wednesday, and then increase to 4-6 ft Thursday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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New River Inlet
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Sun -- 03:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:35 AM EDT     2.86 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:37 AM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:09 PM EDT     3.56 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:35 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
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New River Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

Bogue Inlet
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Sun -- 03:05 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:32 AM EDT     2.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:35 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:17 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:06 PM EDT     2.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:33 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
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Bogue Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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