Marrowstone, WA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Marrowstone, WA

June 2, 2024 8:40 AM PDT (15:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:10 AM   Sunset 9:06 PM
Moonrise 1:59 AM   Moonset 3:49 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 257 Am Pdt Sun Jun 2 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 8 am pdt this morning through this evening - .

Today - S wind 15 to 20 kt, becoming se 20 to 25 kt this morning. Waves around 3 to 4 ft. Rain.

Tonight - S wind 20 to 25 kt, easing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves around 3 to 4 ft. Rain.

Mon - SW wind 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less. Rain.

Mon night - SE wind 5 to 10 kt, rising to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less, then around 3 to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.

Tue - SE wind 25 to 30 kt, veering to S 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 4 ft. Rain in the morning, then showers in the afternoon.

Tue night - NW wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming N around 5 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less. A chance of showers in the evening.

Wed - E wind around 5 kt, backing to N in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft or less.

Wed night - NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less.

Thu - NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less.

Thu night - NW wind around 10 kt, easing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less.

PZZ100 257 Am Pdt Sun Jun 2 2024

Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters - A strong front will approach the waters today and move onshore by early Monday morning. Another front is expected to arrive on Tuesday. High pressure will then build back into the coastal waters on Wednesday and persist into Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Marrowstone, WA
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Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 021049 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 349 AM PDT Sun Jun 2 2024

SYNOPSIS
Atmospheric river pattern setting up over Western Washington today with the pattern continuing through Tuesday. Two separate waves of heavier rain will move through the area. The first one will begin this afternoon and continuing until the early morning hours Monday. The second one will arrive Monday evening and continue into Tuesday. The second wave will be weaker than the first one. An upper level ridge will build over Western Washington quickly Wednesday. The ridge will remain in place through at least the weekend bringing dry and much warmer weather to the region.

Key Messages for Upcoming Active Weather Pattern

* A late season atmospheric river pattern will develop today and continue with breaks through Tuesday.

* Heavy rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches in the mountains, with possible 6 inch event totals over the southern slopes of the Olympics, and 2 to 4 inches along the coast.

* Moderate to heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches across the lowlands during this timeframe.

* Snow levels above 6500 feet will promote additional runoff with several area rivers flowing out of the Cascades forecast to enter action or even minor flood stage. A Flood Watch remains in effect across portions of Western Washington.

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Satellite imagery shows leading edge of an atmospheric river just off the coast this morning. This long band of moisture extends all the way back to near Asia. Rain still offshore as of 3 am/10z. Under cloudy skies temperatures were on the mild side, in the 50s.

Forecast on track this morning with rain beginning along the coast this morning spreading inland late morning. PWAT values continue to be in the 1.0 to 1.2 inch range. If anything the models are a touch stronger with the 850 mb winds on the 00z run versus previous runs which will slightly enhance the precipitation over the mountains. Snow levels rising to 7000 to 8500 feet so only the higher elevations of the volcanoes will be seeing any snow. With the clouds and rain temperatures will change little during the day with highs a couple of degrees either side of 60.

First of the two waves embedded in the atmospheric river moving through with the area late tonight/ early Monday morning. 24 hour rainfall totals from this first wave in the 1.5 to 3 inch range in the mountains, 1.5 to 2 inches along the coast and 0.75 to 1.5 inches over the interior. Good chance most locations in the interior will see over half the normal monthly June rainfall in less than 24 hours. Even with the first wave going through the combination of orographics and and very moist air mass will keep rain going in the mountains. Rain rates however will decrease significantly. In the lowlands with the flow aloft becoming west southwesterly the Central and Northern Puget Sound area could be rain shadowed for a few hours. Lows tonight near 50.

Second wave of the atmospheric river arriving Monday morning and continuing into Tuesday morning. The feature will be a little weaker than the first wave with with PWAT values 0.8 to 1.0 inches and winds above the surface to around 700 mb a little lighter.
This will give the area less rainfall than the first round, but still a big amount for the first week of June. Snow levels lowering but still remaining above the passes. Second waves will be east of the area Tuesday afternoon with the steady rain winding down. Rainfall totals for Sunday through Tuesday ranging from 3 to 5 inches in the mountains, with possible 6 inch event totals over the southern slopes of the Olympics, 2 to 4 inches along the coast and 1 to 2 inches in the interior. Highs MOnday and Tuesday near 60 with lows Monday night near 50.

With the heavy rain, burn scars in the Cascades will be closely monitored through the period.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
In a version of weather whiplash, an upper level ridge builds over the area Wednesday with the ridge remaining in place through the weekend giving Western Washington dry and increasing warmer weather as we get to the weekend. 500 mb heights rising into the lower 580 dms by Friday.
Low level flow never turns strongly offshore and model 850 mb winds don't turn easterly for much of the period Friday and Saturday. There are a few ensemble solutions that put highs well into the 80s Saturday but most of the solutions are are in the lower to mid 80s. With the lack of strong offshore flow in the models right now will stay with this idea and keep the warmest temperatures Saturday in the mid 80s. Highs Wednesday in the mid 60s to lower 70s with 70s to lower 80s by Friday and the mentioned mid 70s to mid 80s Saturday. Lots of the ensemble solutions are showing an upper level blocking pattern developing over the Eastern Pacific over the weekend. Blocks are hard to break down this time of year. If this pattern does develop Western Washington could be in for the longest dry spell since last August. Felton

AVIATION
Southwesterly flow will persist aloft as an upper level low over the Gulf of Alaska digs southward towards the coast of southern BC today. At the surface, an approaching frontal system will bring periods of moderate to heavy rain, lower ceilings, and gusty winds to the area TAF sites today. Rain looks to move inland along the coast between 12-15Z and make its way into the interior terminals between 16-18Z. Southerly surface winds will increase through the mid to late morning hours, becoming gusty to 20-25 kts at times. KHQM along the coast could see some gusts to 30 kt. Conditions currently a mix of VFR and MVFR across the TAF sites early this morning, though expect a gradual lowering of conditions down to MVFR over the next couple of hours. Widespread MVFR conditions expected for much of the day, with periods of IFR to LIFR possible in moderate to heavy rain.

KSEA...MVFR conditions early this morning. Expect MVFR ceilings to persist through much of the day, though could see some periods of IFR or even LIFR in any moderate to heavy rainfall. Rain looks to move into the terminal between 15-18Z. Southerly winds will increase to 8-12 kt between 15-17Z and will become gusty to 20-25 kt during the afternoon hours. Gusty winds will persist through tonight. 14

MARINE
More active conditions commence across the area waters today as a strong frontal system approaches the area. Winds have already started to increase towards small craft strength across the coastal waters this morning. Guidance does still hint at the possibility of a few isolated gusts to gale, especially for the coastal waters south of Point Grenville should a coastal jet develop ahead of the front. Gusts to gale will also be possible in the vicinity of the front, but guidance still suggests that these will be short-lived, with more of the widespread, persistent gales remaining south of Cape Shoalwater. Thus, have maintained the small craft advisories in effect for the coastal waters. Seas will sharply build in response to the winds with this front and will be rather steep today and will persist into Monday.

Small craft advisories also remain in effect for the eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca, as southeasterly winds are expected to ramp up ahead of the front this morning. Expect winds to then transition to westerly in the wake of the frontal passage late tonight into Monday. Though winds look marginal, have also issued an SCA for post-frontal westerlies for the central Strait. May have to extend SCAs with additional pushes expected down the Strait through early this week.

SCAs have also been issued for the Northern Inland Waters and Admiralty Inlet, as latest guidance indicates SCA strength winds should be widespread in these zones. Have held off on Puget Sound for now, but will need to monitor this through the day.

Overall, expect the pattern to remain active through the first half of the week, with yet another frontal system expected to move across the region on Tuesday. Latest guidance suggests the winds with this next system could be stronger, with more widespread gales possible. Seas are expected to build towards 10-13 ft. Wave periods look to remain rather short, near 8 seconds, and will maintain steep seas at times.

High pressure then looks to build into the coastal waters near midweek for overall calmer conditions the second half of the week.
High pressure will persist into Thursday and looks to interact with lower pressure inland through late in the week. 14

HYDROLOGY
Today through Tuesday forecasted rain totals are still 3 to 5 inches for the Olympics and the Cascades, with the possibility of 6 inch bullseyes along the southwest slopes of the Olympics. Snow levels will be in the 7000 to 8500 foot range for for the first wave of the atmospheric river and just a little lower for the second round. West southwesterly flow aloft favors the heaviest rainfall to be along the southwest slopes of the Olympics and the Central Washington Cascades. Several rivers flowing out of the Central Cascades and Southern Olympics are forecast to reach action stage. The river with the best chance to reach flood stage is the Skokomish River in Mason county. Even with some of the rivers only reaching action stage, these levels would be records for this time of the year. The flood watch for Skagit, Snohomish, King, Pierce, Mason and Lewis county remains in effect.

In addition to the high flows on area rivers, the water temperatures in the rivers continues to be very cold. Most rivers flowing out of the Cascades are still in the mid 40s to lower 50s for water temperature. Felton

CLIMATE
Here are some daily rainfall records for around the area today, Seattle 0.48 inches in 2001, Olympia 0.68 inches in 2010, Bellingham 0.48 inches in 1962, Quillayute 1.63 inches in 2010 and Hoquiam 1.35 inches in 1962. Felton

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for Bellevue and Vicinity- East Puget Sound Lowlands-Everett and Vicinity-Hood Canal Area-Lower Chehalis Valley Area-Olympics-Seattle and Vicinity-Southwest Interior-Tacoma Area-West Slopes North Cascades and Passes-West Slopes North Central Cascades and Passes-West Slopes South Central Cascades and Passes- Western Skagit County.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 2 AM PDT Monday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 2 AM PDT Monday for East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 8 PM PDT this evening for Admiralty Inlet-Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Monday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 6 mi52 min SE 8.9G12 50°F29.79
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 20 mi30 min S 15G17 55°F 29.7855°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 30 mi40 min S 17G19 55°F 29.8155°F
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 31 mi70 min SSE 9.9 58°F 29.7754°F
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 33 mi40 min NNW 3.9G5.8 50°F 49°F29.7949°F
BMTW1 34 mi52 min NE 6G9.9 29.83
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 38 mi64 min 53°F 50°F29.79
PTAW1 - 9444090 - Port Angeles, WA 41 mi64 min 52°F 50°F29.80


Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KNUW WHIDBEY ISLAND NAS /AULT FIELD/,WA 21 sm47 minSSE 1410 smOvercast57°F52°F82%29.77
KPAE SNOHOMISH COUNTY (PAINE FLD),WA 23 sm40 minS 1110 smOvercast57°F52°F82%29.81
Link to 5 minute data for KNUW


Wind History from NUW
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Mystery Bay, Washington
   
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Mystery Bay
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Sun -- 01:19 AM PDT     8.63 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:59 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:14 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:39 AM PDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:02 PM PDT     5.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:49 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:53 PM PDT     4.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:03 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Mystery Bay, Washington, Tide feet
12
am
7.9
1
am
8.6
2
am
8.5
3
am
7.7
4
am
6.4
5
am
4.7
6
am
3
7
am
1.8
8
am
1.1
9
am
1
10
am
1.5
11
am
2.5
12
pm
3.6
1
pm
4.7
2
pm
5.6
3
pm
5.9
4
pm
5.8
5
pm
5.3
6
pm
4.7
7
pm
4.2
8
pm
4
9
pm
4.4
10
pm
5.3
11
pm
6.5


Tide / Current for Admiralty Inlet, Washington Current
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Admiralty Inlet
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Sun -- 01:34 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:58 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:14 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:36 AM PDT     -3.45 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 09:34 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 12:18 PM PDT     1.87 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 03:18 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:48 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:14 PM PDT     -1.75 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 09:03 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:16 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:51 PM PDT     1.39 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Admiralty Inlet, Washington Current, knots
12
am
1.4
1
am
0.6
2
am
-0.5
3
am
-1.7
4
am
-2.7
5
am
-3.3
6
am
-3.4
7
am
-2.9
8
am
-1.9
9
am
-0.7
10
am
0.5
11
am
1.4
12
pm
1.8
1
pm
1.7
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
0.3
4
pm
-0.6
5
pm
-1.4
6
pm
-1.7
7
pm
-1.6
8
pm
-1.1
9
pm
-0.2
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
1.2


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