Upper Grand Lagoon, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Upper Grand Lagoon, FL

June 5, 2024 4:20 AM CDT (09:20 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:39 AM   Sunset 7:43 PM
Moonrise 4:37 AM   Moonset 7:16 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:202406051945;;473757 Fzus52 Ktae 050639 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 239 am edt Wed jun 5 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-051945- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 239 am edt Wed jun 5 2024 /139 am cdt Wed jun 5 2024/

Today - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south late. Waves 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.

Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Thursday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Thursday night - West winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the morning.

Friday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Saturday - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.

Saturday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.

Sunday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Sunday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 239 Am Edt Wed Jun 5 2024

Synopsis -
generally favorable boating conditions with southerly to southwesterly winds at around 5-10 knots are expected through the end of the work week. Predominantly westerly winds look to take over early Friday morning before becoming northerly Saturday as surface high pressure is forecast to settle into central tennessee. While winds and seas will generally be favorable for boating, there will be the chance for daily showers and Thunderstorms, particularly during the overnight hours and on Thursday as a mid-level shortwave trough pushes through the region. Thunderstorms can produce brief periods of increased winds and surf, and should be avoided by small craft.



7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Upper Grand Lagoon, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 050747 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 347 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY


NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 148 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

Shower and thunderstorm activity this afternoon should focus over the inland FL Big Bend and Southwest GA mainly east of the Flint River. The main concerns are gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall, given decent DCAPE and high PWATs. Highs above normal in the mid-90s. This evening into tonight, a cluster or two of showers and thunderstorms are expected to approach Southeast AL and Western FL Panhandle. While this activity should weaken on approach, some strong storms cannot be ruled out given decent instability and shear, with the main concern being gusty winds. Lows tonight in the upper 60s to lower 70s.



SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 148 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

A mid-level shortwave trough and cold front look to push through the region on Thursday, which will provide sufficient forcing for ascent for scattered to widespread thunderstorms across the region. Convection looks to push through the region from the northwest to southeast as the shortwave trough digs southeast off the coast of Florida. Shear values look high enough to support multicellular convective structures, which may lead to slightly stronger thunderstorms on Thursday. Along with shear, the environment ahead of the cold front will be sufficiently moist, with PWATs ranging from 1.5-1.8 inches. DCAPE values similarly will be high at around 700-900 J/Kg, which will help support strong downbursts. The cold front should push through by late Thursday night, which will generally lead to a dry Friday as surface high pressure looks to settle into the southeast for the weekend. Highs Thursday will generally be in the low 90s; however, by Friday, highs will climb into the mid 90s as upper level ridging builds over the region.

LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 148 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

As mentioned above, in the wake of the cold front, upper level ridging looks to nose into the region from the west. This will actually lead to warmer temperatures through the weekend even with the passage a cold front on Thursday. This front will primarily advect drier air into the region lowering the dewpoints from the low 70s into the upper 50s to low 60s areawide. So while it will be hot in the mid to upper 90s through the weekend, the dewpoints will be low enough through the afternoon hours that heat index values will remain below any advisory criteria.

The upper level ridge looks to maintain control over the region through the weekend as chances for showers and thunderstorms remain low at around 10-20 percent. Appreciable rain chances don't look to return to the region until Monday as a trough looks to dig equatorward across the eastern conus. Along with increasing rain chances with a likely cold front dipping south, temperatures do look to cool off into the low 90s by Tuesday as 500mb heights fall slightly across the region.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 148 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

VFR conditions are expected at all TAF sites through the period.
Low potential for aftn/evening TSRA at TLH and VLD, which could lead to brief MVFR. Southerly winds around 5-10 knots.

MARINE
Issued at 148 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

Generally favorable boating conditions with southerly to southwesterly winds at around 5-10 knots are expected through the end of the work week. Predominantly westerly winds look to take over early Friday morning before becoming northerly Saturday as surface high pressure is forecast to settle into central Tennessee. While winds and seas will generally be favorable for boating, there will be the chance for daily showers and thunderstorms, particularly during the overnight hours and on Thursday as a mid-level shortwave trough pushes through the region. Thunderstorms can produce brief periods of increased winds and surf, and should be avoided by small craft.



FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 148 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

Isolated to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms today in the FL Big Bend and Southwest GA will lead to brief bursts of erratic and gusty winds in their vicinity. Southwest transport winds and seasonably high mixing heights will lead to pockets of high dispersion this afternoon over portions of Southeast AL and Southwest GA. The approach of a front on Thursday will lead to widespread precipitation, with the potential for high dispersion near the I-75 corridor of GA and the Eastern FL Big Bend. A much drier air mass for early June filters in on Friday with afternoon RH down into the 30s.



HYDROLOGY
Issued at 148 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

There are no significant hydrological concerns over the next week.
Widespread forecast rainfall totals are expected to be around 1-1.5 inches. The only concern is the chance for localized heavy rainfall and flash flooding due to thunderstorms that may become quasi-stationary or train over the same locations. The most vulnerable locations would be urban, low-lying, and slow-drainage areas.



SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 93 72 90 73 / 50 10 50 20 Panama City 87 75 86 75 / 30 20 40 10 Dothan 91 71 87 71 / 30 10 60 10 Albany 92 71 88 70 / 30 10 70 20 Valdosta 94 71 92 72 / 50 20 50 30 Cross City 93 70 91 73 / 50 10 20 20 Apalachicola 86 76 86 76 / 20 10 30 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 5 mi50 min S 6G8 83°F
PCBF1 7 mi50 min S 12G13 80°F 83°F29.83


Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL 12 sm25 minS 0510 smClear79°F72°F79%29.83
KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL 13 sm27 minSSE 0310 smClear79°F73°F84%29.84
Link to 5 minute data for KPAM


Wind History from PAM
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Alligator Bayou, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Alligator Bayou, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet


Tide / Current for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
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Wed -- 04:37 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:11 AM CDT     1.89 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:42 PM CDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:15 PM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:42 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Panama City Beach, Florida, Tide feet
12
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0.6
1
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0.7
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0.9
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1.1
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1.4
5
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1.6
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1.8
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1.9
8
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1.9
9
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1.8
10
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1.7
11
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1.4
12
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1.1
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0.7
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0.3
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-0
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-0.3
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-0.4
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-0.4
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-0.5
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-0.4
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-0.3
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-0.1
11
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0.1


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Northwest Florida,




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