Sunrise 6:25 AM   Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 1:49 AM   Moonset 2:18 PM

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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning - .
Tonight - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft. Wave detail: E 6 ft at 6 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A slight chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Sun - E winds around 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: E se 4 ft at 6 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Sun night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E se 3 ft at 5 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Mon - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E ne 2 ft at 5 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 4 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of tstms in the evening. Showers likely through the night. A slight chance of tstms after midnight. Tue - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: N ne 2 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Tue night and Wed - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Wed night - E se winds 5 to 10 kt becoming S se in the morning. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Thu - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Thu night - S winds around 10 kt becoming sw in the morning. Seas less than 2 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers through the night. A slight chance of tstms after midnight.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 400 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis -
building high pressure north of the area will result in east- northeast winds, with fresh breezes persisting through much of this weekend. Hazardous conditions may impact the gulf stream waters, owing to elevated winds and building seas. Quick moving showers and isolated Thunderstorms may also develop and result in locally enhanced winds and seas.
Gulf stream hazards - SEas up to 4-7 feet this weekend.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 01, 2024 at 12 utc - .
9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 8 nautical miles northeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 012329 AAA AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 729 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1205 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

The main feature of influence in the near-term for our area will be seasonably strong sfc. high pressure currently positioned just off the coast of North Carolina. This high is supporting breezy easterly flow over the area this afternoon which will focus any afternoon thunderstorms over the gulf coast and/or the Gulf waters. It remains to be seen if a gulf breeze will even occur today given the strong synoptic gradient, however if it does materialize it would likely be the primary focus for any afternoon activity. Although low-lvl lapse rates remain steep and DCAPE values will be in excess of 1000 J/kg, weak flow aloft combined with dry mid-lvl air should generally limit convective intensity and coverage, with gusty winds being the main threat with any storms which do form. Easterly flow will persist overnight resulting in warmer overnight lows (mid to upper 70s) for the east coast compared to the interior and west coast (generally lower 70s). Additionally scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible along the east coast, but particularly over the Atlantic waters (where nocturnal instability will be maximized).

The western Atlantic high will shift eastward on Sunday, but still maintain easterly synoptic flow over our region, while at the mid- lvls a shortwave will dip southeast into the area. The approaching shortwave, combined with a likely greater inland progression of the Gulf breeze should result in greater coverage of showers and storms relative to today. Given the easterly regime, morning/early afternoon activity would likely be more focused near the east coast, while the stronger and more widespread activity in the mid-late afternoon period would be focused over SWFL and the Interior. High temperatures will be typical of an easterly regime ranging from the mid 80s near the immediate east coast to the low to mid 90s over Interior and SWFL.

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 340 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

A mid-level trough will move across the region to close out the weekend and kick off the work week with increasing moisture and the potential for showers and thunderstorms beyond the normal diurnally-driven pattern on Monday. By Tuesday, the trough axis exits into the Atlantic waters and the pattern begins to return to something more diurnally-driven with morning Atlantic showers transitioning into inland and Gulf coast showers and thunderstorms by afternoon and early evening.

The surface high will continue to linger around the region through midweek before the next frontal boundary emanating from low pressure over Canada enters the southeastern United States.
The parent low will move southeastward over the Great Lakes by late in the week. South Florida will be wedged between the stalled frontal boundary near Interstate 10 and deeper tropical moisture in the western Caribbean. The retrogression of the surface high back into the Atlantic will mean a transition to southerly to west-southwesterly flow across much of the area to close out the forecast period Saturday and Sunday.

The warm airmass combined with flow over the peninsula will mean a considerable warming trend through the week which could lead to heat illness risk climbing by late week. This will need to be monitored, along with the progress of the synoptic scale features both to the north and to the south, in case of changes which could create some major revisions to the forecast for these time periods. For now, hot and diurnally unsettled will continue to be the message for a good part of the week.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 724 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Winds will remain easterly over all TAF sites tonight into Sunday.
Speeds will be around 10 to 15 knots tonight increasing to 15 to 20 knots Sunday east coast TAF sites. KAPF taf site winds will be less than 10 knots tonight increasing to 10 to 15 knots on Sunday.
VCSH tonight into Sunday morning, then VCTS Sunday Afternoon. VCSH KAPF taf site till 02Z then VCTS after 17Z Sunday. Could be a hunderstorm after 04Z for KMIA, KOPF, and KTMB but coverage is not enough at this time to put into these TAF sites. VFR for celing and vis but could fall down into IFR with showers and storms.



MARINE
Issued at 1205 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Fresh to strong E-NE winds will continue through tonight over the Atlantic waters before dropping below Small Craft Advisory criteria by Sunday morning. Seas will peak at 5-7 ft this afternoon over the Gulf stream, and then gradually decrease to under 5 ft by Sunday.
Showers and thunderstorms, particularly in the evening and overnight periods will remain possible the next few days.

BEACHES
Issued at 1205 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Breezy easterly flow will result in a high risk of rip currents for the east coast beaches through Sunday. The risk will begin to decrease early next week as easterly flow decreases.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 77 86 76 88 / 40 50 60 70 West Kendall 75 88 74 89 / 40 50 60 70 Opa-Locka 76 88 75 89 / 40 50 60 70 Homestead 77 87 76 88 / 50 50 70 70 Fort Lauderdale 76 85 77 86 / 40 50 60 70 N Ft Lauderdale 76 85 77 87 / 40 50 60 70 Pembroke Pines 77 89 77 91 / 40 50 60 70 West Palm Beach 75 86 74 88 / 40 50 50 60 Boca Raton 75 86 76 89 / 40 50 60 70 Naples 74 93 74 93 / 20 60 50 60

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.

GM...None.

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Lake Worth Pier
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Sat -- 02:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:51 AM EDT     2.88 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:11 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:36 PM EDT     3.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:48 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Lake Worth Pier, Florida, Tide feet

Ocean Ridge
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Sat -- 12:15 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:49 AM EDT     2.54 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:44 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:33 PM EDT     2.66 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ocean Ridge, ICWW, Florida, Tide feet

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