Sunrise 6:23 AM   Sunset 8:20 PM Moonrise 2:28 AM   Moonset 3:32 PM

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GMZ330 Matagorda Bay- 917 Pm Cdt Sat Jun 1 2024
Rest of tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. Sunday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.Sunday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, easing to around 15 knots late. Bay waters choppy, easing to slightly choppy late.Monday - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Monday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Tuesday - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Tuesday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Wednesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. Wednesday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. Thursday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. Thursday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.

GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 917 Pm Cdt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
generally moderate to fresh onshore winds are expected through much of the week. Caution flags may be warranted at times. We cannot rule out small craft advisory criteria being met at times farther offshore. Scattered storms are again possible on Sunday, mainly in the bays. Rain chances then gradually diminish early in the week.

FXUS64 KHGX 020455 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1155 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

New LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Sunday Night)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Ongoing scattered convection across the northern half of the CWA will die off by early evening. Will be canceling the remaining parts of the Severe Thunderstorm Watch at the top of the hour.
Otherwise, looking quiet overnight with some isolated pockets of fog.

Heading into mid morning Sunday, we'll see some daytime heating and a seabreeze begin initiating. This combined with remnants of an elongated piece of vorticity (now in NW approaching W Tx)
should be enough to initiate some daytime shra/tstms. Like today, dynamics not looking too impressive for long lived severe wx, but cannot rule out a couple of isolated strong-severe cells and locally heavy downpours. Better shot of this occurring across the ene half of the CWA This activity should also die off toward the evening. 47

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

The main concern through the long term will be the return of the heat. A long fetch of southerly flow at the surface driven by a surface high pressure in the SE CONUS will help drive the temperatures and dew points up. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 90s Tuesday through next weekend with afternoon heat indices rising to near 100 to 107 degrees. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 70s for most inland locations with areas along the immediate coast not dropping below 80 degrees. Also because of the higher dew points along the coast, overnight heat indices may not drop below 90 degrees.

Rain chances through the upcoming week will be fairly low. The chances are slightly higher Tuesday and Wednesday as we get some weak disturbances sliding overhead combined with daytime heating, but even then not looking like anything impressive as of right now.
Those low rain chances drop even lower as we head towards the end of the week as a ridge of high pressure begins to build over Texas.

AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Additional isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible during the late morning through afternoon hours today. Gusty winds and heavy downpours will be possible near the stronger storms.
Moderate onshore flow will continue through the next several days with winds around 15kt with occasionally higher gusts and seas building to 4 to 6ft. Small craft will need to exercise caution at times, and conditions will be borderline Small Craft Advisory Monday and Tuesday. The onshore flow will persist into the second half of the week, but is expected to decrease to around 5-10kt. Rain chances will also gradually diminish through the week. The persistent onshore flow may also lead to a high risk of strong rip currents.

MARINE
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

This cycle trends more pessimistic as sub-BKN decks at IFR levels are already beginning to crop up, and CIGs seem to be running 3-6 hours ahead of previous cycle's expectations. Now anticipate IFR- low MVFR conditions late tonight, but should still improve to VFR towards mid-day as clouds lift and scatter. Also continue to expect another daily round of showers and storms, with the initial focus on the seabreeze.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 74 90 76 91 / 10 30 20 20 Houston (IAH) 75 90 77 91 / 80 40 10 20 Galveston (GLS) 80 87 81 87 / 10 20 10 10

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.

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Port Lavaca, Lavaca Causeway, Matagorda Bay, Texas, Tide feet

Port Lavaca
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Sun -- 03:29 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:28 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:08 AM CDT     0.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:32 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:20 PM CDT     Sunset
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Port Lavaca, Matagorda Bay, Texas, Tide feet

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