Sunrise 5:18 AM   Sunset 8:22 PM Moonrise 2:22 AM   Moonset 2:56 PM

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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1105 Pm Edt Fri May 31 2024
Rest of tonight - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sat - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sat night - W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.Sun - E winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Chance of showers. Mon - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.

ANZ300 1105 Pm Edt Fri May 31 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure will be in control through Saturday night. A weak disturbance will approach late Sunday and move across Sunday night into Monday morning. High pressure will then take control of the weather through Wednesday.

FXUS61 KALY 010539 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 139 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will bring mostly clear and warm weather for much of the upcoming weekend along with low humidity. A weak disturbance could bring some spotty showers later Sunday into early Monday, especially for areas south of Interstate 90.
Mostly dry and warm weather continues early next week before chances for rainfall increase toward the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
An upper level ridge will crest over the region today as surface high pressure is centered across the mid-Atlantic states. This will give way to mostly clear and dry conditions.
Following a cool start to the day, temperatures will rebound quickly with 850 hPa temperatures rising to around +12C this afternoon and forecast soundings suggesting mixing potential up to around 750 hPa. This would equate to temperatures reaching the lower to perhaps mid-80s along the Hudson Valley and the 70s to around 80 elsewhere. The ideal mixing will keep dewpoints into the 40s to around 50 resulting in very comfortable humidity. Wind will also be less than on Friday, though a few localized gusts between 15 and 20 mph are possible during the afternoon.

A slight increase in high clouds is expected Saturday night as an upper-level shortwave disturbance approaches from the Great Lakes, causing the ridge to weaken over our area. Still, good radiational cooling conditions are expected due in part to the dry air mass and winds trending light to calm. Lows will generally fall into the mid-40s to mid-50s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
The upper level shortwave currently located over the southern Plains will track toward the region Sunday, however should weaken considerably upon reaching the upper level confluent flow across the region. The remnants of this shortwave should allow for some mid level clouds, and could allow for some afternoon showers/sprinkles to develop, mainly for areas south of I-90.
Should downstream upper level disturbance across the NW Atlantic shift farther east and reduce upper level confluent flow across the region, then impacts from this disturbance may be slightly greater, and trends will need to be watched. Assuming a more optimistic outcome, high temperatures should reach the upper 70s to lower 80s in valleys, and 70-75 across higher elevations, along with a slight uptick in humidity levels. Sunday night lows mainly in the 50s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Latest trends suggest lack of larger scale forcing mechanisms until later next week, when a frontal system and upper level low approach from the west. So, minimal chances for showers for Monday through Wednesday, with best chances early Monday depending on ultimate track of shortwave just south of the region. Better chances for showers and possible thunderstorms later Thursday into Friday.

Warm and humid conditions are expected much of next week, with highs mainly in the 80s in valleys and 70s across higher elevations for Monday-Tuesday, then mainly 70s to around 80 Wednesday through Friday. Overnight lows generally in the mid 50s to lower 60s.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Through 06z Sunday...VFR conditions prevail at all terminals this morning with clear skies across eastern New York and western New England. Such conditions will persist throughout the entirety of the 06z cycle as clear skies are expected throughout much of the day today before some high clouds move in later this afternoon/evening.

Winds throughout the 06z TAF period will be light and variable to start, becoming lightly breezy out of the northwest at speeds of 5-10 kt throughout the day.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Isolated SHRA.
Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. Isolated SHRA.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

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Tivoli
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Sat -- 02:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:26 AM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:51 AM EDT     4.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:45 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
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Hyde Park
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Sat -- 02:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:34 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:01 AM EDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:53 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
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Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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