Sunrise 5:21 AM   Sunset 8:26 PM Moonrise 2:25 AM   Moonset 2:58 PM

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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 411 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Today - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tonight - W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: W 1 ft at 2 seconds. Sun - W winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight. Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers, mainly in the morning. Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wed night - SE winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.

ANZ300 411 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure centered over the mid atlantic today shifts offshore Sunday. A disturbance approaches late Sunday and moves through into early Monday. High pressure then builds across the region from southeast canada through Tuesday night. The high moves out in to the atlantic for the latter half of the week.

FXUS61 KALY 010747 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 347 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will bring mostly clear and warm weather for much of the upcoming weekend along with low humidity. A weak disturbance could bring some spotty showers during Sunday night, especially for areas south of Interstate 90. Mostly dry and warm weather continues early next week before chances for rainfall increase toward the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
An upper level ridge will crest over the region today as surface high pressure is centered across the mid-Atlantic states. This will give way to mostly clear and dry conditions.
Following a cool start to the day, temperatures will rebound quickly with 850 hPa temperatures rising to around +12C this afternoon and forecast soundings suggesting mixing potential up to around 750 hPa. This would equate to temperatures reaching the lower to perhaps mid-80s along the Hudson Valley and the 70s to around 80 elsewhere. The ideal mixing will keep dewpoints into the 40s to around 50 resulting in very comfortable humidity levels. Wind will also be less than on Friday, though a few localized gusts between 15 and 20 mph are possible during the afternoon hours.

A slight increase in high clouds is expected tonight as an upper-level shortwave disturbance approaches from the Great Lakes, causing the ridge to weaken over our area. Still, good radiational cooling conditions are expected due in part to the dry air mass and winds trending light to calm. As a result, we lowered temps a few degrees from the NBM. Lows are expected to fall into the mid-40s to mid-50s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
An upper level shortwave will approach the region from the west on Sunday but weaken as it continues eastward. The track of this shortwave looks to be just to our south across the mid-Atlantic states. In addition, a weak surface low over the Ohio Valley will wash out. Much of the day Sunday will be dry, though clouds will gradually increase and thicken throughout the day.
Still, temperatures should reach the lower to mid-80s across the valleys and the mid to upper 70s across the higher elevations.

There remains some uncertainty on how much moisture will remain with this weakening disturbance and how far north this precipitation will reach. Will continue to run with a consensus approach which generally places areas south of Interstate 90 with the better chance for a shower or two. These showers would mostly occur during Sunday night. Otherwise, a mostly cloudy night is expected with lows falling into the 50s to lower 60s.

The upper shortwave exits to the east, but some weak upper level troughing may remain in place on Monday. High pressure building back across the region should provide some subsidence across the region. While most areas should remain dry, an isolated shower or rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out. Otherwise, another summerlike day is in store with highs in the mid-70s to mid-80s.
Mostly clear and dry weather is expected Monday night with lows falling back into the 50s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Fair weather persists into the long term forecast period as high pressure remains in control. In fact, dry conditions can be expected through at least Wednesday night as the dominant surface anticyclone and de-amplifying ridging aloft gradually shift east and exit the region. With plentiful sun anticipated before clouds increase a bit Tuesday afternoon/evening, high temperatures look to range from the mid/upper 70s to low 80s at 1000 ft and above with mid to possibly higher 80s in valley areas. Highs Wednesday will be a few degrees cooler with a more consistent cloud deck and slightly weaker state of the mid/upper ridge. Expect temperatures to range from the mid 70s to low and possibly mid 80s.

An unsettled pattern will set in for the final days of the long term period with the approach of an upper-level low and associate surface frontal system. Mid/upper troughing will dig south and east toward the region beginning Wednesday night from south-central Canada and the upper Midwest as the parent low deepens. The upper trough will begin to take on a slight negative tilt as it digs further south and east into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Some timing discrepancies exist in the medium to long range guidance in terms of rain onset, but general consensus indicates areas west of the Hudson could see showers begin as early as Thursday morning. Rain will then spread across eastern New York and western New England from west to east throughout the day Thursday ahead of the system's warm front. Some embedded rumbles of thunder are possible Thursday afternoon mainly west of the Hudson River, but instability looks weak at this time. Rain will look to continue through Friday as broad troughing remains overhead. Temperatures will continue to follow a slight cooling trend with Thursday's highs looking to range from the mid to upper 70s in valley areas and upper 60s to low 70s at higher elevations. Friday will be similar. Low temperatures throughout the period will be primarily in the mid/upper 50s to low 60s.

AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Through 06z Sunday...VFR conditions prevail at all terminals this morning with clear skies across eastern New York and western New England. Such conditions will persist throughout the entirety of the 06z cycle as clear skies are expected throughout much of the day today before some high clouds move in later this afternoon/evening.

Winds throughout the 06z TAF period will be light and variable to start, becoming lightly breezy out of the northwest at speeds of 5-10 kt throughout the day.

Outlook...

Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

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Kingston Point
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Sat -- 03:56 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:21 AM EDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:58 PM EDT     Moonset
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Hyde Park
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Sat -- 02:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:34 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:01 AM EDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:53 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
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Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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