Sunrise 6:31 AM   Sunset 8:23 PM Moonrise 2:32 AM   Moonset 3:35 PM

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GMZ232 Expires:202406030945;;331361 Fzus54 Kcrp 022041 Rra Cwfcrp
coastal waters forecast for texas national weather service corpus christi tx 326 pm cdt Sun jun 2 2024
middle texas coastal waters from baffin bay to matagorda ship channel out to 60 nautical miles. Seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz231-232-030945- baffin bay and upper laguna madre-corpus christi and nueces bays- 326 pm cdt Sun jun 2 2024
.small crafts should exercise caution - .
Tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Monday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Monday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Tuesday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Tuesday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Wednesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters choppy. Wednesday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. Thursday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.

GMZ200 326 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters -
moderate to strong southeast winds are expected from tonight through Monday night with a medium chance for small craft advisory conditions Monday. Moderate to strong onshore flow will persist through the middle of the week. Small craft advisory conditions may occur at times each afternoon, generally over the southern bays and waters. Onshore flow then weakens, becoming weak to moderate Thursday through Sunday.

FXUS64 KCRP 022030 AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 330 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 329 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Key Messages:

- Major to Extreme risk of heat-related impacts returns tomorrow

A mid to upper level ridge will continue to build tonight into tomorrow across the region. This will promote warmer than normal temperatures, which when combined with the high dew points being ushered in from the Gulf, will lead to oppressive heat index values.
Heat indices tomorrow are expected to range from 103-109 degrees across the Victoria Crossroads and 110-117 degrees from the southern Coastal Bend to the Rio Grande Plains. Therefore, chances for a Heat Advisory across most of the region are high with a low chance for the necessity of an Excessive Heat Warning. The above-normal temperatures along with the elevated dew points combined with poor overnight recoveries (lows from 77-85 degrees) will result in major to extreme risk of heat-related impacts.

Please continue to practice heat safety. Stay hydrated, take frequent breaks from the sun, avoid strenuous outdoor activities, wear loose and lightweight clothing, recognize the signs of heat stroke and heat exhaustion, and ALWAYS check your vehicle before locking it. Remember your pets too by bringing them inside and providing plenty of water and shelter. Additionally, check local media and government websites for cooling center locations and hours.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 329 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Key Messages:

- Moderate to extreme heat related impacts can be expected Tuesday and Wednesday.

- Increasing confidence for minor coastal flooding by the middle of the work week

Overall, the pattern after being stuck in a zonal pattern over South Texas, looks to be evolving (Tues-Thurs) into a more summer time pattern with a Central Plains Ridge that sits over the center of the country by Thursday/Friday, sending most of the shortwaves north of north of the region. The only exception to the is the sort of "ring of fire" with some convection in the models firing off in Mexico, but that too, looking at the GFS and ECMWF would go north. A heat low/lee trough looks to form just over the Rio Grande that could be a trigger for some showers and thunderstorms out through next Sunday. Otherwise in the moderate to extreme heat will be the main concern over the region as the ridging amplifies (as mentioned earlier) and warmer air moves into the region.

Details: Slowly but surely the weak troughing and zonal flow moves east and north, being replaced by a 500 mb ridge that Tuesday morning is over the California coast, and by Wednesday morning is in the Intermountain West, with the Desert Southwest under the ridge.
There is a 500 mb cut off low that meanders off Baja California, looking somewhat like rex block over the southwestern US and into most of Texas. Wednesday night/Thursday morning Convection (ECMWF)
looks to start over the Rio Grande Plains moving east into the forecast area before dying in the Brush Country. The GFS, with its moisture bull's eyes hit at this, but the most of the models are relatively dry, so the NBM shows barely 10% in the forecast area. So something to watch, but with the ridge building, convection may get squashed, so a low confidence in the forecast with the uncertainty of the convection firing. The model show the rest of Thursday dry, then the same scenario for Thursday night/Friday morning with more convection firing across the Rio Grande. Friday through the Weekend look dry as the ridge blocks the convection.

Heat...Tuesday through Thursday look to be the hottest, as far as heat indices are concerned. Tuesday and Wednesday will have heat indices of 110-115F over most of the region, while >115F has a medium chance of occurring, but on a smaller area than for Monday.
It looks like as the ridge builds, our moisture begins to leave the region with the PWAT values falling from 1.50" to 2.00" to 1.00" to 1.50" by Friday and the weekend. The NBM is showing upper 70s for dewpoints, with 90s to 105 for temperatures. So temperatures will be about the same, but the humidity looks to be lower. So maybe a "break" for the weekend with the slightly lower RH.

The P-ETTS model for coastal flooding is showing that the tides are expected get into a minor coastal flooding with the coastal dynamics lab showing similar results with their new model. Local coastal flooding risk sheet is showing possible as the tide is increasing to near 1 foot and 6 foot swells at 7 seconds on the wave models. So the idea would be that water will be getting up the shores and to the dunes at least near the Corpus Christi Beaches (Whitecap and south.) Port Aransas beaches would at the very least be threatened, but not confident in that. 8 seconds of wave period would be help with the confidence level.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1206 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

VFR conditions will continue this afternoon and evening with gusty winds. Winds will decrease tonight as MVFR ceilings develop around 04/06z tonight. VFR conditions should return tomorrow morning around 14/15z as winds increase once again.

MARINE
Issued at 329 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Moderate to strong southeast winds are expected form tonight through Monday night with a medium chance for Small Craft Advisory conditions Monday. Moderate to strong onshore flow will persist through the middle of the week. Small Craft Advisory conditions may occur at times each afternoon, generally over the southern bays and waters. Onshore flow then weakens, becoming weak to moderate Thursday through Sunday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 94 82 94 82 / 20 0 0 0 Victoria 93 79 93 79 / 20 0 10 0 Laredo 102 81 105 80 / 10 10 10 10 Alice 97 80 98 78 / 10 0 0 0 Rockport 91 82 91 82 / 30 0 10 0 Cotulla 102 81 104 80 / 10 0 10 10 Kingsville 95 81 96 81 / 10 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 92 83 92 84 / 30 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ231-241>244- 342>344.

High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for TXZ345-442-443- 447.

GM...None.

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Aransas Channel
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:38 AM CDT     1.13 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:31 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:52 AM CDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:32 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:06 AM CDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:34 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:32 PM CDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:20 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aransas Channel, Texas, Tide feet

Aransas Pass
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:00 AM CDT     0.77 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 03:31 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:32 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:59 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:34 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:34 PM CDT     -1.37 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:20 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:58 PM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aransas Pass, Texas Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

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