Avilla Beach, CA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Avilla Beach, CA

June 2, 2024 12:34 PM PDT (19:34 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:47 AM   Sunset 8:13 PM
Moonrise 2:03 AM   Moonset 3:22 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ670 Point Piedras Blancas To Point Sal From 10 To 60 Nm- 850 Am Pdt Sun Jun 2 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 3 pm pdt this afternoon - .

.gale warning in effect from 3 pm pdt this afternoon through late tonight - .

Today - NW wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 16 seconds. Patchy drizzle this morning.

Tonight - NW wind 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt, becoming 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt late. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 7 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Mon - NW wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 7 ft at 7 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Mon night - NW wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft, building to 8 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 7 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Tue - NW wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Tue night - NW wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 10 seconds and sw 3 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Wed - NW wind 15 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Wave detail: nw 11 ft at 15 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning and again after midnight.

Thu - NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 14 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning and again after midnight.

PZZ600 850 Am Pdt Sun Jun 2 2024

Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 15z, or 8 am pdt, a 1029 mb surface high was located 1200 nm W of point conception. A 1002 mb thermal low was centered near needles, ca with a trough of low pressure extending southward into the gulf of california.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Avilla Beach, CA
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Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 021757 AAA AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 1057 AM PDT Sun Jun 2 2024

SYNOPSIS
02/332 AM.

Temperatures cooler than normal will linger today due to strong onshore flow and a persistent marine layer. A warming trend will establish through Thursday due to high pressure aloft building in and weakening onshore flow. The warming trend will be most pronounced away the coast into the interior valleys. Closer to the coast, night through morning low clouds and fog with persist with moderate to strong onshore flow continuing. Clouds may continue to struggle to clear from the beaches.

.SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE)...02/904 AM.

***UPDATE***

A weak trough passing through the region lifted and squeezed out measurable rain across much of coastal Ventura into portions of LA County this morning. Otherwise, low clouds and patchy fog was prevalent except for elevations above about 3000 feet for southern areas and 2000 feet up north. Gusty but mostly sub-advisory northwesterly winds will continue through tonight for prone areas mentioned in detail in the previous discussion.

Forecast challenge of today will be assessing competing factors in the building ridge and interior heat through mid week with a stubborn marine layer closer to the coast. The greatest uncertainty in the upcoming heat impacts is the coastal valleys, which are near the margin of these two competing factors. Although being further inland and higher in elevation, the Antelope Valley Excessive Heat Watch is also largely dependent on these competing factors, leading to only moderate confidence of reaching excessive heat criteria there. Will take a closer look at current heat products with the afternoon package, but a quick look suggests the current Excessive Heat Watch covers the region with the greatest risk for excessive heat.

***From Previous Discussion***

The latest satellite imagery indicates low clouds and fog pushing well into the coastal slopes of the mountains early this morning as strong onshore flow and a persistent deep marine layer depth remain in place. An eddy circulation continues to spin just northwest of Santa Catalina Island, deepening the marine layer depth to between 3000 and 3500 feet deep south of Point Conception. To the north, the marine layer depth is closer to around 2000 feet deep this morning as clouds are pushing into the interior valleys of San Luis Obispo County. Patchy drizzle is possible this morning and there is a good chance that an update will issued to the forecast as some rain gages are starting to pickup drizzle and ceilings at area airports are falling slightly. A cooler weather pattern will linger today across much of the coastal and valley areas, and these areas are likely below to slightly below normal. Across the interior, temperatures will start to warm as downsloping effects continue and onshore flow starts to wane.

Gusty Sundowner winds are weakening across southern Santa Barbara County this morning, but the northerly surface pressure gradient will tighten over the coming days, potentially bringing another couple rounds of Sundowner winds. With the gradient progged to be slightly weaker today, wind advisory headlines were tabled for this afternoon and tonight, but the gradient will tighten on Monday night and could bring another round of advisory level Sundowner winds. Gusty northerly winds will also develop through the Interstate 5 Corridor and a wind advisory will likely be needed for this area, as well. Marginally gusty winds could possibly also extend into portions of the far western Antelope Valley.

A warming trend will take shape over the coming days as 500 mb heights climb. The developing northerly surface pressure gradient and climbing heights will weaken the onshore push each day and thin the marine layer depth some. The warming trend will become more pronounced between Tuesday and Wednesday across the interior portions as hot temperatures will develop across interior valleys and adjacent foothills, but closer to the coast, a persistent moderate to strong onshore push will remain and keep the warming trend more moderate along the coast. The likely scenario will be for a June Gloom pattern to keep low clouds and fog hugging the beaches each afternoon, then the clouds will push back in during the evening.

.LONG TERM (WED-SAT)...02/437 AM.

Temperatures will warm closer to critical levels for excessive heat across the Antelope and San Luis Obispo Interior Valleys on Wednesday. NBM solutions are suggesting a greater than 95 percent chance of 100 degree high temperatures for KPMD and KWJF on Wednesday, and high chance of temperatures reaching 105 degrees.
Chances for very hot temperatures are lower elsewhere but still near excessive criteria across the Carrizo Plain. Given it will be a close call, an excessive watch was added for Wednesday afternoon and evening for Antelope and San Luis Obispo Interior Valleys and adjacent foothill areas to highlight the potential for excessive heat. As it is a marginal case, it would not be surprising to see the watch either dropped or converted to an advisory or warning. With the southeast flow aloft developing with the ridge building into southeast California, it is possible that this watch could also be extended into Thursday.

There is good amount of uncertainty for Thursday and Friday as EPS and GEFS solutions offer up quite a bit of spread for high temperatures. The chances for 100 degree temperatures fall in NBM solutions into Thursday. There is a low chance that an early start to the Southwest Desert Monsoon could develop across southern California. This could cut into temperatures by increasing cloud cover across these areas. In hinting at the possibility, EPS cloud cover means do increase some between Thursday afternoon and into next weekend.

With the ambient southeast flow aloft, PoPs and chance for thunderstorms are non-zero for Thursday and Friday, but PoPs still remain below mentionable levels during the afternoon and evening. Pattern recognition would suggest the pattern consistent with the monsoon developing but forecast ensemble and deterministic solutions do not have a good handle on it. Stay tuned for updates on this.

A cooling trend should develop for next weekend as troughing digs into the region.

AVIATION
02/1756Z.

At 17Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 3000 ft deep. The top of the inversion was at 5200 feet with a temperature of 17 deg C.

Moderate to hi confidence in the 18Z TAFs. Low clouds with IFR/MVFR cigs over the coast and adjacent vlys S of Point Conception will clear to near the coast by early this afternoon, except MVFR cigs are likely to persist thru the afternoon at KOXR and KCMA. IFR/MVFR cigs will likely spread back inland tonight and affect all coast and adjacent vly airfields including KPRB and continue into late Mon morning except scattering out of KPRB by 16Z Mon morning. The timing of the dissipation and onset of low clouds may be off +/- an hour or two, with the largest uncertainty of the onset of low clouds tonight for KSBA and KPRB.

For KWJF and KPMD, there is hi confidence VFR conds will continue thru the TAF period. Gusty SW-W winds will affect these airfields for most of the fcst period.

KLAX...Moderate to hi confidence in the 18Z TAF. MVFR cigs will likely persist until early this afternoon with a 50% chance of the low clouds scattering out. MVFR cigs will move back in this evening and continue tonight thru Mon afternoon. The timing of dissipation and onset of the low clouds may be off +/- an hour or two. There is a 20% chance of an east wind component of 7-8 kt from 09Z-15Z Mon.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in the 18Z TAF. MVFR cigs are expected until about 21Z then VFR conds will prevail into this evening.
MVFR cigs should move back in by 06Z this and continue thru the rest of the fcst period. The timing of the dissipation and onset of the low clouds may be off +/- an hour or two.

MARINE
02/855 AM.

In the northern outer waters zone (PZZ670), Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds will likely increase to gales this afternoon (70-80% chance), then continue into tonight. For the two southern outer water zones (PZZ673/676) gale force wind gusts have developed this morning and the Gale Warning is in effect for these areas through later tonight. For all the outer waters zones, SCA conds are expected late tonight thru Tue night. For the northern two zones, there is a 50% chance of SCA conds Wed mainly due to seas, then SCA conds are not expected Wed night/Thu. In the southern outer waters, SCA conds are unlikely Wed thru Thu.

In the inner waters N of Pt. Sal, SCA level winds are likely (70-80% chance) during the afternoon/eve hours today and Mon, with a (40-50% chance) Tue afternoon/eve. Though winds will drop off tonight/Mon morning, seas will likely remain near or at advisory levels so the SCA is in effect thru Mon night. SCA conds are not expected late Tue night thru Thu.

In the inner waters S of Pt. Sal, there is a 40% chance of SCA winds in western portion of the SBA Channel during this afternoon/eve, and a 50-60% chance Mon afternoon/eve. Otherwise, conds over the inner waters should be below SCA levels thru Thu.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Excessive Heat Watch in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening for zones 344-381>383. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 PM PDT this afternoon for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Monday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect until 3 AM PDT Monday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
CPXC1 0 mi89 min SE 2.9 57°F 29.9854°F
PSLC1 - 9412110 - Port San Luis, CA 1 mi47 min W 18G22 60°F 55°F29.96
46215 - Diablo Canyon, CA (076) 7 mi39 min 58°F4 ft
MBXC1 15 mi45 min 57°F
46011 - SANTA MARIA - 21 NM Northwest of Point Arguello, CA 21 mi35 min NW 18G23 53°F
46259 49 mi39 min 58°F8 ft


Wind History for Port San Luis, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KSBP SAN LUIS COUNTY RGNL,CA 7 sm38 minNW 1910 smClear68°F54°F60%29.95
KSMX SANTA MARIA PUB/CAPT G ALLAN HANCOCK FLD,CA 24 sm20 minW 17G2410 smMostly Cloudy63°F55°F77%29.97
Link to 5 minute data for KSBP


Wind History from SBP
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Avila, California
   
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Avila
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Sun -- 01:39 AM PDT     -1.81 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:03 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:49 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:28 AM PDT     0.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:04 PM PDT     -1.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:21 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:36 PM PDT     2.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Avila, California, Tide feet
12
am
-1.2
1
am
-1.7
2
am
-1.8
3
am
-1.4
4
am
-0.8
5
am
-0.1
6
am
0.6
7
am
0.9
8
am
0.9
9
am
0.5
10
am
-0.1
11
am
-0.8
12
pm
-1.3
1
pm
-1.6
2
pm
-1.4
3
pm
-0.7
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
1.3
6
pm
2.2
7
pm
2.7
8
pm
2.7
9
pm
2.3
10
pm
1.3
11
pm
0.1


Tide / Current for Morro Bay, California
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Morro Bay
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Sun -- 02:43 AM PDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:03 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:49 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:12 AM PDT     2.89 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:45 PM PDT     1.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:22 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:14 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:16 PM PDT     4.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Morro Bay, California, Tide feet
12
am
2.1
1
am
1.4
2
am
0.9
3
am
0.8
4
am
1.1
5
am
1.6
6
am
2.2
7
am
2.7
8
am
2.9
9
am
2.8
10
am
2.5
11
am
2.1
12
pm
1.6
1
pm
1.3
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
1.5
4
pm
2.1
5
pm
3
6
pm
3.9
7
pm
4.6
8
pm
4.9
9
pm
4.8
10
pm
4.3
11
pm
3.5


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southwest   
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Vandenberg AFB, CA,




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