Sunrise 5:45 AM   Sunset 8:31 PM Moonrise 2:34 PM   Moonset 1:12 AM

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PZZ560 Coastal Waters From Pigeon Point To Point Pinos California Out To 10 Nm- 218 Am Pdt Sun Jun 16 2024
.gale warning in effect through late tonight - .
Rest of tonight - NW wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 7 seconds, nw 9 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 ft at 18 seconds. Sun - NW wind 15 to 20 kt, rising to 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 9 ft, building to 9 to 10 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds. Sun night - NW wind 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, easing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 10 to 12 ft, subsiding to 8 to 10 ft after midnight. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds. Mon - NW wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds. Mon night - NW wind 15 to 20 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 4 ft at 6 seconds, nw 6 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds. Tue - NW wind 10 to 15 kt, rising to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 5 seconds, nw 6 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds. Tue night - NW wind 10 to 15 kt, easing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 7 ft, subsiding to 4 to 5 ft after midnight. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 5 seconds, nw 6 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds. Juneteenth - NW wind 5 to 10 kt, rising to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 4 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.Wed night - NW wind 10 to 15 kt, easing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds. Thu - NW wind 5 to 10 kt, rising to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds.Thu night - NW wind 10 to 15 kt, easing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

PZZ500 218 Am Pdt Sun Jun 16 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
widespread gale force gusts to persist into early Monday before reducing, but still remaining dangerous to smaller craft. Significant wave heights will stay at 12-17 feet until Monday before decreasing. Hazardous conditions will linger well into the work week.

FXUS66 KMTR 161152 AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 452 AM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024

New AVIATION, MARINE

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Dry and windy with elevated fire concerns into early next week.
Seasonal temps and quiet weather midweek. Potential warming trend for late next week.

SHORT TERM
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024 (Today and tonight)

Satellite fog product shows clear skies over much of California.
It's June, where is the coastal stratus? For a few days now, we've been talking about pressure gradients leading to stronger winds and drier air. That continues to be the case again tonight into Sunday. No major change to the overall synoptic pattern - an upper low remains near the PacNW and broad upper level ridging remains over Baja/E Central Pacific. The Bay Area and Central Coast remain sandwiched in the middle. Speaking of gradients, the N-S gradients was over -8mb earlier tonight. Anything greater than -7mb is usually a good stratus eraser. The stronger northerly flow happens to be ushering in drier air as well, which is also contributing to less clouds. Latest 24 hr trends continue to indicated RH values in some area 5 to 40 percent drier than last night.

Not expecting much of a change in the overall sensible weather over the next 24 hours. Max temps today will be in the uppers to lower 70s for the coast/bays and upper 60s to near 90 across the interior. Winds will be breezy through the afternoon, especially along the coast and any inland gap/pass. Do expect another burst of stronger winds later this evening and overnight as the upper low tightens and moves SE toward the Great Basin. Still not strong enough/widespread for a Wind Advisory, but the marine environment will remain hazardous with very pronounced coastal jets.

LONG TERM
Issued at 240 AM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024 (Monday through Saturday)

To begin the work week temperatures hold steady or cool a few degrees in response to a passing upper level trough. Either way, still seasonably cool for mid-June. One final day of breezy northerly flow as well, before winds finally ease Monday night into Tuesday with weakening pressure gradients.

A subtle warming trend begins midweek before a more notable warm up impacts California in the extended. Confidence continues to increase as longer range probabilistic tools and ensemble guidance show ridging with interior heat. Still several days out, but impactful heat will return to the interior by next Friday and linger through the weekend. HeatRisk guidance continues to trend upward with more interior portions reaching the Moderate category. Will need to keep an eye on this as the forecast becomes more clear.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 438 AM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Moments of MVFR/IFR CIGS affect the Monterey Bay terminals into the mid morning, otherwise VFR through the TAF period. Light to moderate winds last into the late morning and early afternoon but increase through the afternoon, with particularly strong winds over the ocean and at SFO. Elevated winds last into the late night before reducing. Winds aloft stay strong further into the late night, particularly over the North Bay causing concerns for LLWS at STS.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR through the TAF period. Winds stay moderate through the rest of the morning . Another rough of gusty west winds starts building into the afternoon with peak gusts expected to be around 34 kts. These stronger gusts last into the night, reducing to gusts of roughly 24 kts after 05z. Winds reduce further into Monday morning.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Moments of MVFR/IFR linger into the mid morning, then VFR through the rest of the TAF period. Light to moderate winds last into the afternoon before more breezy westerly winds arrive. Expect stronger and gustier winds over the immediate coast and ocean compared to the terminals. Winds at the terminals reduce into the night, but remain strong along the coast and ocean.

MARINE
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 438 AM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Widespread gale force gusts to persist into early Monday before reducing, but still remaining dangerous to smaller craft.
Significant wave heights will stay at 12-17 feet until Monday before decreasing. Hazardous conditions will linger well into the work week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 245 AM PDT Sun Jun 15 2024

Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Through The Weekend

*Breezy to gusty northerly winds, especially higher terrain *Lowering relative humidity values day and night

It goes without saying, but elevated fire weather conditions remain over the district. Yesterday was a prime example of dry northerly flow with receptive fine fuels. The Hernandez Fire burned in San Benito county. One can still see a little be of heat on the satellite imagery. Expect more of the same today with grass fires being the biggest concern.

It's Father's Day and you may have outdoor plans - like a BBQ.
Just be mindful about any open flame and don't be that "spark" to start the next fire.

MM

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Monday for SF Bay N of Bay Bridge.

Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Monday for Mry Bay.

Gale Warning until 3 AM PDT Monday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0- 10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0- 10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.

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Gold Street Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:12 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:06 AM PDT     1.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:54 AM PDT     5.67 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:34 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:08 PM PDT     2.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:31 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:34 PM PDT     9.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Gold Street Bridge, Alviso Slough, San Francisco Bay, California, Tide feet

Dumbarton Point 2.3 mi NE
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:43 AM PDT     -0.86 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:12 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:42 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:46 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:20 AM PDT     0.80 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 10:11 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:57 PM PDT     -0.52 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:35 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:17 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:58 PM PDT     0.86 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:31 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:54 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Dumbarton Point 2.3 mi NE, South San Francisco Bay, California Current, knots

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