Sunrise 5:27 AM   Sunset 8:24 PM Moonrise 2:50 AM   Moonset 4:13 PM

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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1037 Am Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Today - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S this afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight. Mon - W winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers, mainly in the morning. Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the evening. Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Wave detail: se 1 ft at 2 seconds. Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Wed night - S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. Thu - S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely. Thu night - SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely with chance of tstms.
winds and waves may be higher in and near tstms.

ANZ300 1037 Am Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure off the east coast shifts farther out into the western atlantic today. A weakening disturbance moves through late tonight and into the first half of Monday. High pressure then builds across the region from southeast canada through Tuesday night. The high moves out in to the atlantic for the latter half of the week as a frontal system approaches from the west.

FXUS61 KPHI 021129 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 729 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains in control of the weather early today. A weak system approaches tonight and remain into Monday. High pressure then arrives for Monday night, remaining in control through early Wednesday.
An upper level low will move into the Great Lakes, keeping the weather pattern unsettled into next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
High pressure still remains dominant over the area this morning even as its center has shifted to our south. For the day today, expect some filtered sunshine through a deck of high clouds in advance of the next system. Southwest winds will generally be around 10 mph, with a few gusts up to 15 mph. High temperatures are expected to again be in the low- mid 80s across most of the region (cooler in the Poconos and at the shore). It had looked at one point like there could be some showers arriving late day but the timing of this next system has been delayed so expect another dry day, at least through the afternoon hours.

A weakening shortwave approaches tonight, rotating around the backside of an upper level low over the north Atlantic. This will bring some scattered showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder but nothing to write home about. Chances for showers will begin in our western zones around sunset with rain chances increasing to around 30-50% for most of the area after midnight, except a bit higher (around 60 percent) over portions of Delmarva and far southern NJ. Expect lows mostly in the mid 60s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
After the nice weekend, some disturbed weather with very low impacts will be around for the start of the week. Shortwave energy both from a weakening Ohio Valley system and from an upper low offshore will combine across the Middle Atlantic. Surface features will be diffuse resulting in only scattered showers Monday and into the evening.
Pops will be just in the chance range with higher chances (30%-40%)
for SE PA, southern NJ and Delmarva. Pops will be about 10% lower for Northern NJ, and the Lehigh Valley/Srn. Poconos areas. Clouds will be more common across the area, but breaks, especially later in the day, will bring temperatures up to the low 80s for many areas.

The system departs Monday night leaving partly cloudy skies in its wake. Patchy fog will develop overnight, especially in areas that received any rain on Monday. Low will end up in the upper 50s across the North/West areas and low 60s elsewhere.

For Tuesday, fair weather returns as the system from Monday weakens while an upper ridge develops across the upper Ohio Valley and up into western NY. A surface high across New England will keep dry and cool air across our area as winds turn E/NE on its southern periphery. Overall, sunny skies for most areas with some clouds across the shore areas of NJ/DE. Cooler temps for shore areas too with highs there in the 70s with low 80s expected for SE PA and up across northern NJ.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Plenty of changes to the upper air pattern across the U.S. this period with the last of the weak upper ridge remaining across the Middle Atlantic and Northeast Wednesday before exiting. Behind this, a stronger flow aloft develops as low pressure across southern Canada strengthens and moves towards the upper Great Lakes region.
This low then slows and remain across the lakes and southern Canada into next weekend.

These features translate to a showery unsettled long term with chances for showers most of the days. Thursday will have the greatest chances for showers/tstms with likely pops in for that day.
This is associated with a cold front and upper energy which will cross the area that day. Temperatures will not stray too far from seasonal normal with readings perhaps a degree or two above normal Wed./Thu. and a perhaps little below normal for the weekend.

AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR with increasing mid-high level clouds. Southwest winds 5-10 knots. High confidence.

Tonight...Clouds lowering but remaining VFR through at least the evening. Some restrictions possible overnight as some showers move in along with lower cigs and the potential for some patchy fog as well. Winds generally SW around 5 knots or less.
Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Monday... VFR much of the time. Low chance (20%-30%) of a scattered shower/tstm.

Tuesday... VFR expected.

Wednesday... VFR most of the time. A couple scattered showers/tstms possible. Low chance (20%-30%)

Thursday... Restrictions expected in widespread clouds and showers/tstms (60%-70%).

MARINE
No marine headlines expected through tonight with fair weather.
Winds southwest around 10-15 knots with a few gusts up to 20 knots possible, particularly during the day today. Seas 2-3 feet.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Thursday... No marine headlines expected.
No strong systems to affect the waters Mon-Wed but a couple scattered showers/tstms possible Mon and Wed.

Thursday... A low pressure system and front will bring frequent showers/tstms with near SCA gusts possible.

Rip Currents...

A LOW risk for the development of rip currents is in place for today as winds will be southwesterly around 10 MPH with 1 to 2 foot breaking waves and a 5 to 7 second period. While winds turn more onshore for Monday, wind speeds will be 10 MPH or less, with continuing 1 to 2 foot waves and short to medium period.
The result will be another day of a LOW risk for the development of rip currents.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

Rip currents occur often in the vicinities of jetties and piers. Utilize any guarded beaches if venturing out into the water.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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New Brunswick, Raritan River, New Jersey, Tide feet

Bayonne Bridge
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Sun -- 01:46 AM EDT     1.76 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:51 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:07 AM EDT     -1.38 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:43 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:08 PM EDT     2.01 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:49 PM EDT     -1.44 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current, knots

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