Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for North Syracuse, NY
June 2, 2024 3:19 AM EDT (07:19 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:25 AM Sunset 8:39 PM Moonrise 1:55 AM Moonset 3:24 PM |
LOZ044 Expires:202406020915;;285565 Fzus51 Kbuf 020213 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 1013 pm edt Sat jun 1 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-020915- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 1013 pm edt Sat jun 1 2024
Overnight - Southeast winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night - Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday - Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming north. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night - Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday - Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday - South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely Wednesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday - South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 61 degrees.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 1013 pm edt Sat jun 1 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-020915- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 1013 pm edt Sat jun 1 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 61 degrees.
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 020509 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 109 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry conditions will continue tonight with high pressure overhead. Spotty showers are possible Sunday, mainly west of I-81. Otherwise, warmer and mostly quiet conditions are expected through the first half of next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
1230 AM UPdate...
A combination of short-range guidance and manual edits was used to adjust temperatures. Similar to last night, there was a wide spread in temperatures with some locations much cooler than others. Dew points were also adjusted but the spread was much less. A first guess for PoPs was added for the showers that are expected later this afternoon. Some additional tweaks may be needed during the next update as the rest of the 00z guidance comes in.
930 PM Update...
No changes made to previous forecast.
630 PM Update...
Little change to the previous forecast. Dew points were lowered a little further through the evening with clouds adjusted to match trends with the cirrus moving in.
315 PM Update...
High pressure will remain over the area through tonight keeping quiet conditions in place with just some scattered high clouds streaming through. Not quite as chilly overnight compared to the previous couple of nights as lows will generally be in the 50s.
Some of the highest elevations in the Catskills and in northern Oneida County can still slip back into the upper 40s.
High pressure will slide to the east tomorrow making way for a weak upper level shortwave that will move in from the west.
After starting the day with some sunshine, clouds will increase for the afternoon. Showers are expected to develop over western parts of the area generally after 18Z and push east, however with a fair amount of dry air in place, these showers may be spotty at best and struggle to reach areas east of I-81 so the current CAMS seem to potentially be overdone. There is also a modest amounts of surface-based CAPE between 200-500 J/kg on most models, with the NAM slightly higher between 700-900 J/kg during the afternoon with 20-30 knots of shear in place, so an isolated afternoon or evening thunderstorm cannot be ruled out, mainly from the Finger Lakes to the Syracuse metro area. High temperatures tomorrow will range from the mid 70s to the low 80s.
Isolated showers can linger tomorrow night as the shortwave slowly moves to the south and east. It will be a mild night with lows from the mid 50s to near 60 degrees.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
230 PM Update
The short term forecast period is mostly quiet with ridging overhead. However, a weak upper impulse pushes across western NY and into central PA Monday afternoon. At this time, with the instability that will be in place Monday afternoon, can't rule out an isolated shower/storm, especially across NE PA.
Ridging will settle over the region Monday night into Tuesday and this will make for dry and warm conditions, with highs Tuesday afternoon into the 80s across most of the area.
Overnight temperatures will remain warm, with lows only in the mid 50s to low 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
235 PM Update
Ridging will likely hold over the area for most of the day on Wednesday, so decided to cut back the PoPs from NBM. The best chances for showers will be west of the I81 corridor during the day on Wednesday and that shower threat will spread eastward Wednesday night into Thursday. Still quite a bit of uncertainty in the model guidance for days 6 and 7. Due to the low confidence, stuck close to the NBM solution through the remainder of the period. Forecast ensembles are indicating deep SW return flow developing and NAEFS have PWAT anomaly of about 2 standard deviations. Unsettled weather on Thursday and Friday is expected as a broad upper trough pushes down out of Canada.
Heavy rain shower and thunderstorms will be possible, especially with the high low level moisture content. The upper level trough/low remains just to the north Friday. This will keep the chance for showers and thunderstorms through the end of the work week and into the weekend.
AVIATION /05Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR conditions will at most terminals over the next 24 hours.
Showers will move in from the west after 18z this afternoon.
With these showers, isolated thunderstorms are also possible.
For now, any mention of showers has been left out of the TAFs as coverage remains uncertain. Guidance is also suggesting lowered ceilings and visibilities just before 06z tonight. If there is moisture around from the showers, then fog could develop. Again, being nearly hours out, there is some uncertainty there, though ELM was given MVFR restrictions to hint at the possibility.
Expect winds to remain light and variable through most of this period, though winds may settle out of the south for part of today.
Outlook...
Monday through Tuesday...Mainly VFR. Isolated rain showers during the daytime hours. Patchy valley fog and restrictions Monday night.
Wednesday...Low chance of shower/storm and associated restrictions.
Wednesday night into Thursday... increasing chance of showers/storms and associated restrictions as a cold front approaches.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 109 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry conditions will continue tonight with high pressure overhead. Spotty showers are possible Sunday, mainly west of I-81. Otherwise, warmer and mostly quiet conditions are expected through the first half of next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
1230 AM UPdate...
A combination of short-range guidance and manual edits was used to adjust temperatures. Similar to last night, there was a wide spread in temperatures with some locations much cooler than others. Dew points were also adjusted but the spread was much less. A first guess for PoPs was added for the showers that are expected later this afternoon. Some additional tweaks may be needed during the next update as the rest of the 00z guidance comes in.
930 PM Update...
No changes made to previous forecast.
630 PM Update...
Little change to the previous forecast. Dew points were lowered a little further through the evening with clouds adjusted to match trends with the cirrus moving in.
315 PM Update...
High pressure will remain over the area through tonight keeping quiet conditions in place with just some scattered high clouds streaming through. Not quite as chilly overnight compared to the previous couple of nights as lows will generally be in the 50s.
Some of the highest elevations in the Catskills and in northern Oneida County can still slip back into the upper 40s.
High pressure will slide to the east tomorrow making way for a weak upper level shortwave that will move in from the west.
After starting the day with some sunshine, clouds will increase for the afternoon. Showers are expected to develop over western parts of the area generally after 18Z and push east, however with a fair amount of dry air in place, these showers may be spotty at best and struggle to reach areas east of I-81 so the current CAMS seem to potentially be overdone. There is also a modest amounts of surface-based CAPE between 200-500 J/kg on most models, with the NAM slightly higher between 700-900 J/kg during the afternoon with 20-30 knots of shear in place, so an isolated afternoon or evening thunderstorm cannot be ruled out, mainly from the Finger Lakes to the Syracuse metro area. High temperatures tomorrow will range from the mid 70s to the low 80s.
Isolated showers can linger tomorrow night as the shortwave slowly moves to the south and east. It will be a mild night with lows from the mid 50s to near 60 degrees.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
230 PM Update
The short term forecast period is mostly quiet with ridging overhead. However, a weak upper impulse pushes across western NY and into central PA Monday afternoon. At this time, with the instability that will be in place Monday afternoon, can't rule out an isolated shower/storm, especially across NE PA.
Ridging will settle over the region Monday night into Tuesday and this will make for dry and warm conditions, with highs Tuesday afternoon into the 80s across most of the area.
Overnight temperatures will remain warm, with lows only in the mid 50s to low 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
235 PM Update
Ridging will likely hold over the area for most of the day on Wednesday, so decided to cut back the PoPs from NBM. The best chances for showers will be west of the I81 corridor during the day on Wednesday and that shower threat will spread eastward Wednesday night into Thursday. Still quite a bit of uncertainty in the model guidance for days 6 and 7. Due to the low confidence, stuck close to the NBM solution through the remainder of the period. Forecast ensembles are indicating deep SW return flow developing and NAEFS have PWAT anomaly of about 2 standard deviations. Unsettled weather on Thursday and Friday is expected as a broad upper trough pushes down out of Canada.
Heavy rain shower and thunderstorms will be possible, especially with the high low level moisture content. The upper level trough/low remains just to the north Friday. This will keep the chance for showers and thunderstorms through the end of the work week and into the weekend.
AVIATION /05Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR conditions will at most terminals over the next 24 hours.
Showers will move in from the west after 18z this afternoon.
With these showers, isolated thunderstorms are also possible.
For now, any mention of showers has been left out of the TAFs as coverage remains uncertain. Guidance is also suggesting lowered ceilings and visibilities just before 06z tonight. If there is moisture around from the showers, then fog could develop. Again, being nearly hours out, there is some uncertainty there, though ELM was given MVFR restrictions to hint at the possibility.
Expect winds to remain light and variable through most of this period, though winds may settle out of the south for part of today.
Outlook...
Monday through Tuesday...Mainly VFR. Isolated rain showers during the daytime hours. Patchy valley fog and restrictions Monday night.
Wednesday...Low chance of shower/storm and associated restrictions.
Wednesday night into Thursday... increasing chance of showers/storms and associated restrictions as a cold front approaches.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY | 31 mi | 49 min | SSE 8G | 30.00 | ||||
| 45215 | 33 mi | 143 min | 62°F | 60°F | 0 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSYR SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL,NY | 2 sm | 25 min | E 05 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 54°F | 48°F | 82% | 30.05 | |
| KFZY OSWEGO COUNTY,NY | 20 sm | 25 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 55°F | 48°F | 77% | 30.04 |
Montague, NY,
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