Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Edesville, MD
June 6, 2024 8:45 PM EDT (00:45 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:38 AM Sunset 8:31 PM Moonrise 4:16 AM Moonset 8:13 PM |
ANZ539 Chester River To Queenstown Md- 736 Pm Edt Thu Jun 6 2024
.severe Thunderstorm watch 394 in effect until 9 pm edt this evening - .
Tonight - W winds 5 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt early this evening. Waves 1 ft. Scattered showers and tstms this evening with vsby 1 nm or less.
Fri - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue - NW winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 736 Pm Edt Thu Jun 6 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
a cold front will push across the waters tonight. A brief dry period is possible on Friday as weak high pressure builds in. A weak cold front will approach the waters Sunday. Additional small craft advisories may be needed for a brief time this weekend.
a cold front will push across the waters tonight. A brief dry period is possible on Friday as weak high pressure builds in. A weak cold front will approach the waters Sunday. Additional small craft advisories may be needed for a brief time this weekend.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KPHI 062339 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 739 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024
SYNOPSIS
Cold front slows/stalls over the region tonight. Very weak high pressure to the southwest begins to build in Friday, holding some influence Friday night through Saturday. Cold front approaches Saturday night and looks to pass through Sunday. Another cold front may pass through Monday. Weak high pressure builds in for Tuesday into Thursday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #394 remains in effect for most of southern New Jersey, portions of southeast Pennsylvania, and Delmarva until 9 pm.
As of 730pm...Latest satellite and radar imagery show some rather lackluster thunderstorm coverage across southeast Pennsylvania and southern New Jersey. With the loss of daytime heating through the evening, the window of opportunity for storms will continue to close through the 9PM timeframe across this region. Right now the best forcing for storms look to remain across the Delmarva where we do see a few isolated thunderstorms. These storms could push into extreme southern New Jersey later this evening with the best chances in Cumberland, Atlantic, and Cape May counties.
Previous discussion...There are several systems which will affect the region over the next 24 hours. Broad low pressure over the Great lakes will track east tonight. Several cold fronts extend out ahead of it. The first cold front is through western Pennsylvania and western New York. Ahead of it is a pre- frontal trough that will pass through the region this evening, and then the cold front passes through late tonight. A second cold front lies over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. That front passes through the region on Tuesday.
Ahead of the pre-frontal trough, a hot and humid air mass is in place over the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, with surface temperatures in the low to mid 80s and surface dew points in the lower 70s. As a result, SB CAPE values are well in excess of 2000 J/kg, and DCAPE values are rising to 600 to 700 J/kg. Some strong shortwave energy will pass through Delmarva and southern New Jersey this evening along with the pre-frontal, and showers and thunderstorms will continue to fire up through the evening hours. Although 0-6 km Bulk Shear is minimal now, it will rise to 25 to 35 kt going through the evening hours. Focus of strongest storms will be across the southern half of the forecast area, where severe thunderstorms will be capable of damaging wind gusts. PWATs are near 2 inches, so locally heavy rain is possible as well.
Showers and thunderstorms taper off this evening. First cold front will be through the region after midnight tonight, and dew points will begin to drop into the lower 60s by daybreak. For areas that either get rain this evening or did not dry out from rainfall Wednesday night, patchy fog may develop prior to daybreak Friday.
The second cold front passes through the region Friday afternoon.
The base of an upper trough with strong shortwave energy will pass through northern Pennsylvania and the Hudson Valley in New York state. For the far northern zones of the local forecast area, mainly the southern Poconos, Lehigh Valley, and northern New Jersey, isolated to scattered showers, perhaps a rumble of thunder, may develop in the afternoon. It will be much drier as surface dew points will fall into the 50s, and highs will be in the low to mid 80s.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Summary...Fairly benign short term looks to be on tap. Generally no precipitation expected Friday night through Saturday. Showers possible Saturday night. Showers and thunderstorms more possible Sunday with approach and passage of a cold front. Our region is not outlooked for any excessive rainfall by WPC or any severe weather by SPC for the short term.
An upper-level low looks to be centered north of the region Friday night. This upper-level low will move eastward with time as another lobe of upper-level low pressure swings down from the northwest and over the Great Lakes region. A new upper-level low looks to be centered just north of the northeastern CONUS for Sunday as a trough-axis approaches our region from the northwest.
At the surface level, very weak surface high pressure looks to be centered over the Mississippi River Valley Friday night. This weak high looks to move eastward with time and be centered more over the southeastern CONUS for Saturday. Meanwhile, a cold front looks to approach from the northwest Saturday/Saturday night. The cold front looks to cross through our region during the Sunday time frame.
Our region will look to feel the influence of that weak surface high Friday night through Saturday. With the surface high being weak to the south, and broad upper-level low pressure and shortwave energy being in place, some isolated pop-up showers should not be ruled out entirely for Friday night or Saturday. Generally though, things should be fairly benign weather wise during these periods; NBM supports no PoPs for this time frame. We will see PoP chances increase from the northwest later Saturday night into Sunday due to the cold front. Timing of cold frontal passage is not very certain at this point given the overall pattern. Chance for showers and thunderstorms should be anticipated for Sunday due to the front.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
An upper-level trough looks to stall over the eastern CONUS Sunday night into Tuesday while weakening. Though a more zonal upper-level pattern looks to take hold over the CONUS Tuesday onwards, this decaying and weak upper trough may continue to linger over the eastern CONUS into Thursday.
The upper-level pattern suggests weak high pressure will mainly influence the region at the surface level through much of the long term; though another cold front may pass through around Monday. However, with surface high pressure remaining weak and an upper-level trough remaining through much of the time frame, a bit of an unsettled long term looks to be on the horizon.
Though unsettled, nothing all that impactful looks to be on tap at this point.
Slight chance for showers and thunderstorms each afternoon and evening (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) due to lingering upper-level trough, possible shortwave energy, and weak high pressure unable to suppress development. Temperatures right around average through the term.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Tonight...Generally VFR, but brief sub-VFR conditions in SHRA/TSRA that pass through, mainly MIV/ACY this evening.
Mostly VFR thereafter, however, patchy fog may develop at terminals where any heavy rain falls this evening. Low confidence on fog formation and restrictions that would occur.
SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W around 5 kt tonight. Low confidence in fog formation.
Friday...VFR. An isolated SHRA may pass over KABE in the afternoon.
W winds increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. High confidence overall.
Outlook...
Friday night through Tuesday...Generally VFR. Some sub-VFR conditions possible Sunday/Sunday night. Moderate confidence.
MARINE
Wind gusts are just below 25 kt and seas are just below 5 ft. Will go ahead and cancel the Small Craft Advisory that was in effect for the ocean waters. A pre-frontal trough passes through this evening, followed by a cold front tonight. Another cold front passes through on Friday. Thunderstorms this evening may be strong to severe with damaging wind gusts and heavy rain.
SW winds 15 to 20 kt will turn W 10 to 15 kt tonight. Winds increase back up to 15 to 20 kt on Friday, though gusts should remain just below 25 kt.
Seas will average 3 to 4 ft.
Outlook...
Friday night through Tuesday...No marine headlines anticipated.
Rip Currents...
Gusty west winds will develop on Friday, ranging from 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. With breaking waves of 2 to 3 feet, a medium period swell, and a New Moon, there is a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents at New Jersey beaches, but a LOW risk at Delaware beaches.
On Saturday, the effects of the New Moon will not be as impactful, and west winds will be much lighter. There will be a LOW risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents at New Jersey and Delaware beaches.
Rip currents occur often in the vicinities of jetties and piers.
Utilize any guarded beaches if venturing out into the water. For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Although spotty minor coastal flooding is possible this evening with the evening high tide, widespread minor coastal flooding will not develop. Astronomical tides will be lowering, so the threat for widespread minor coastal flooding has ended.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 739 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024
SYNOPSIS
Cold front slows/stalls over the region tonight. Very weak high pressure to the southwest begins to build in Friday, holding some influence Friday night through Saturday. Cold front approaches Saturday night and looks to pass through Sunday. Another cold front may pass through Monday. Weak high pressure builds in for Tuesday into Thursday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #394 remains in effect for most of southern New Jersey, portions of southeast Pennsylvania, and Delmarva until 9 pm.
As of 730pm...Latest satellite and radar imagery show some rather lackluster thunderstorm coverage across southeast Pennsylvania and southern New Jersey. With the loss of daytime heating through the evening, the window of opportunity for storms will continue to close through the 9PM timeframe across this region. Right now the best forcing for storms look to remain across the Delmarva where we do see a few isolated thunderstorms. These storms could push into extreme southern New Jersey later this evening with the best chances in Cumberland, Atlantic, and Cape May counties.
Previous discussion...There are several systems which will affect the region over the next 24 hours. Broad low pressure over the Great lakes will track east tonight. Several cold fronts extend out ahead of it. The first cold front is through western Pennsylvania and western New York. Ahead of it is a pre- frontal trough that will pass through the region this evening, and then the cold front passes through late tonight. A second cold front lies over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. That front passes through the region on Tuesday.
Ahead of the pre-frontal trough, a hot and humid air mass is in place over the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, with surface temperatures in the low to mid 80s and surface dew points in the lower 70s. As a result, SB CAPE values are well in excess of 2000 J/kg, and DCAPE values are rising to 600 to 700 J/kg. Some strong shortwave energy will pass through Delmarva and southern New Jersey this evening along with the pre-frontal, and showers and thunderstorms will continue to fire up through the evening hours. Although 0-6 km Bulk Shear is minimal now, it will rise to 25 to 35 kt going through the evening hours. Focus of strongest storms will be across the southern half of the forecast area, where severe thunderstorms will be capable of damaging wind gusts. PWATs are near 2 inches, so locally heavy rain is possible as well.
Showers and thunderstorms taper off this evening. First cold front will be through the region after midnight tonight, and dew points will begin to drop into the lower 60s by daybreak. For areas that either get rain this evening or did not dry out from rainfall Wednesday night, patchy fog may develop prior to daybreak Friday.
The second cold front passes through the region Friday afternoon.
The base of an upper trough with strong shortwave energy will pass through northern Pennsylvania and the Hudson Valley in New York state. For the far northern zones of the local forecast area, mainly the southern Poconos, Lehigh Valley, and northern New Jersey, isolated to scattered showers, perhaps a rumble of thunder, may develop in the afternoon. It will be much drier as surface dew points will fall into the 50s, and highs will be in the low to mid 80s.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Summary...Fairly benign short term looks to be on tap. Generally no precipitation expected Friday night through Saturday. Showers possible Saturday night. Showers and thunderstorms more possible Sunday with approach and passage of a cold front. Our region is not outlooked for any excessive rainfall by WPC or any severe weather by SPC for the short term.
An upper-level low looks to be centered north of the region Friday night. This upper-level low will move eastward with time as another lobe of upper-level low pressure swings down from the northwest and over the Great Lakes region. A new upper-level low looks to be centered just north of the northeastern CONUS for Sunday as a trough-axis approaches our region from the northwest.
At the surface level, very weak surface high pressure looks to be centered over the Mississippi River Valley Friday night. This weak high looks to move eastward with time and be centered more over the southeastern CONUS for Saturday. Meanwhile, a cold front looks to approach from the northwest Saturday/Saturday night. The cold front looks to cross through our region during the Sunday time frame.
Our region will look to feel the influence of that weak surface high Friday night through Saturday. With the surface high being weak to the south, and broad upper-level low pressure and shortwave energy being in place, some isolated pop-up showers should not be ruled out entirely for Friday night or Saturday. Generally though, things should be fairly benign weather wise during these periods; NBM supports no PoPs for this time frame. We will see PoP chances increase from the northwest later Saturday night into Sunday due to the cold front. Timing of cold frontal passage is not very certain at this point given the overall pattern. Chance for showers and thunderstorms should be anticipated for Sunday due to the front.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
An upper-level trough looks to stall over the eastern CONUS Sunday night into Tuesday while weakening. Though a more zonal upper-level pattern looks to take hold over the CONUS Tuesday onwards, this decaying and weak upper trough may continue to linger over the eastern CONUS into Thursday.
The upper-level pattern suggests weak high pressure will mainly influence the region at the surface level through much of the long term; though another cold front may pass through around Monday. However, with surface high pressure remaining weak and an upper-level trough remaining through much of the time frame, a bit of an unsettled long term looks to be on the horizon.
Though unsettled, nothing all that impactful looks to be on tap at this point.
Slight chance for showers and thunderstorms each afternoon and evening (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) due to lingering upper-level trough, possible shortwave energy, and weak high pressure unable to suppress development. Temperatures right around average through the term.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Tonight...Generally VFR, but brief sub-VFR conditions in SHRA/TSRA that pass through, mainly MIV/ACY this evening.
Mostly VFR thereafter, however, patchy fog may develop at terminals where any heavy rain falls this evening. Low confidence on fog formation and restrictions that would occur.
SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W around 5 kt tonight. Low confidence in fog formation.
Friday...VFR. An isolated SHRA may pass over KABE in the afternoon.
W winds increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. High confidence overall.
Outlook...
Friday night through Tuesday...Generally VFR. Some sub-VFR conditions possible Sunday/Sunday night. Moderate confidence.
MARINE
Wind gusts are just below 25 kt and seas are just below 5 ft. Will go ahead and cancel the Small Craft Advisory that was in effect for the ocean waters. A pre-frontal trough passes through this evening, followed by a cold front tonight. Another cold front passes through on Friday. Thunderstorms this evening may be strong to severe with damaging wind gusts and heavy rain.
SW winds 15 to 20 kt will turn W 10 to 15 kt tonight. Winds increase back up to 15 to 20 kt on Friday, though gusts should remain just below 25 kt.
Seas will average 3 to 4 ft.
Outlook...
Friday night through Tuesday...No marine headlines anticipated.
Rip Currents...
Gusty west winds will develop on Friday, ranging from 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. With breaking waves of 2 to 3 feet, a medium period swell, and a New Moon, there is a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents at New Jersey beaches, but a LOW risk at Delaware beaches.
On Saturday, the effects of the New Moon will not be as impactful, and west winds will be much lighter. There will be a LOW risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents at New Jersey and Delaware beaches.
Rip currents occur often in the vicinities of jetties and piers.
Utilize any guarded beaches if venturing out into the water. For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Although spotty minor coastal flooding is possible this evening with the evening high tide, widespread minor coastal flooding will not develop. Astronomical tides will be lowering, so the threat for widespread minor coastal flooding has ended.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KMTN MARTIN STATE,MD | 21 sm | 50 min | S 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 81°F | 70°F | 70% | 29.56 | |
| KESN EASTON/NEWNAM FIELD,MD | 22 sm | 55 min | SW 03 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 81°F | 73°F | 79% | 29.56 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cliffs Wharf, Chester River, Maryland, Tide feet
Baltimore Harbor Approach
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:25 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:18 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 05:19 AM EDT 1.36 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:40 AM EDT New Moon
Thu -- 08:56 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:17 PM EDT -1.18 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:10 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:22 PM EDT 0.44 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:28 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:44 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:13 PM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 11:39 PM EDT -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:25 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:18 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 05:19 AM EDT 1.36 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:40 AM EDT New Moon
Thu -- 08:56 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:17 PM EDT -1.18 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:10 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:22 PM EDT 0.44 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:28 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:44 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:13 PM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 11:39 PM EDT -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.5 |
| 1 am |
| -0.2 |
| 2 am |
| 0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.8 |
| 4 am |
| 1.1 |
| 5 am |
| 1.3 |
| 6 am |
| 1.3 |
| 7 am |
| 1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.5 |
| 9 am |
| -0 |
| 10 am |
| -0.6 |
| 11 am |
| -1 |
| 12 pm |
| -1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.6 |
Dover AFB, DE,
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