Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Stockton, MD
June 7, 2024 3:10 AM EDT (07:10 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:37 AM Sunset 8:25 PM Moonrise 5:11 AM Moonset 9:06 PM |
ANZ650 Coastal Waters From Fenwick Island De To Chincoteague Va Out 20 Nm- 131 Am Edt Fri Jun 7 2024
Rest of tonight - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 foot at 9 seconds. A chance of tstms with a slight chance of showers.
Fri - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 foot at 9 seconds.
Fri night - W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds and nw 1 foot at 2 seconds.
Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 7 seconds and nw 1 foot at 3 seconds.
Sat night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and S 2 ft at 7 seconds.
Sun - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 foot at 8 seconds.
Sun night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon - NW winds 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon night - W winds 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 131 Am Edt Fri Jun 7 2024
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a cold front crosses the waters early this morning, with high pressure building west of the area later today. A brief surge of elevated northerly winds is expected tonight as the high continues to build into the local waters. Low pressure passes by north of the region Sunday, pushing a weak cold front through the region into Monday.
a cold front crosses the waters early this morning, with high pressure building west of the area later today. A brief surge of elevated northerly winds is expected tonight as the high continues to build into the local waters. Low pressure passes by north of the region Sunday, pushing a weak cold front through the region into Monday.
FXUS61 KAKQ 070535 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 135 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front pushes across the region this evening, with scattered strong to severe storms possible. Behind the front, cooler, drier conditions push into the region for Friday and Saturday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 800 PM EDT Thursday...
Key Messages:
- Severe T-Storm Watch 394 continues until 9pm for locations along the coast and in SE VA. Strong wind gusts remain the primary threat from any storm through this evening.
- Clearing late tonight, with drier air moving into the region.
Showers and thunderstorms have gradually progressed E this evening. For the most part, storms have remained sub-severe.
However, have noted a few storms capable of producing marginally severe winds (55-60 mph). With the loss of heating, expect a downward trend in convection over the next few hrs. The severe tstm watch has been cancelled for most of the VA Piedmont, but continues for counties/cities closer to coasts of the bay and ocean. This is where 1000-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE still resides per SPC mesoanalysis. Effective shear values remain on the weak side, on the order of ~20 kt. Locally damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and lightning remain the primary threats from any stronger storm.
The majority of the shower/storm activity should exit the area after midnight tonight. However, a few CAMs (primarily the HRRR)
suggest storms may linger or redevelop over NE NC into early Fri morning. Have therefore kept some higher PoPs here into this time period. Clouds eventually scatter out and winds diminish as the front passes through late tonight. Early morning lows in the low 60s inland and in the upper 60s-around 70 closer to the coast.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 305 PM EDT Thursday...
Key Messages:
- Drier weather returns for Friday and Saturday.
- Another weak front pushes through the area Sunday, but should remain mostly dry
Drier weather moves into the region Friday behind the departing cold front, with dewpoints drop into the 50s. Aloft, an upper level low moves into the Great Lakes on Fri, lingering into early next week. Guidance continues to trend toward pushing the weakening front though the region on Sunday night, but it still appears the upper level low is too close to the local area for enough instability for much in the way of widespread showers and/or storms on Sunday. Have stuck with slight to low- end Chc PoPs across far northern counties in the afternoon with slight chc PoPs everywhere else except the SE. May see slightly higher coverage by later in the evening.
Thicknesses change only slightly tomorrow, so expect highs again in the low 80s in the NW and on the Eastern Shore, mid-upper 80s elsewhere. A few degrees cooler (and drier) on Saturday with highs mostly in the low to mid 80s. Warmer on Sunday with highs mid to upper 80s to near 90 SE.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 305 PM EDT Thursday...
Key Messages:
- Near to below normal temps expected in the early week period with warmer temps returning mid-week
- Mostly dry through the early week, but isolated showers possible
A bit cooler in the early week period as a fairly deep UL trough lingers over the northeast. This feature will keep us near to just below normal for highs, with maxima expected to remain in the upper 70s in the far N/NW and low 80s elsewhere Mon/Tue.
Temps warm up into the mid- upper 80s again mid- week once the trough is offshore and a ridge builds in behind it. Precip in the early week period is a bit uncertain and likely to be isolated at best with the trough in the area, but we should remain mainly dry. Kept PoPs to slight to low-end Chc with mainly diurnal timing.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 135 AM EDT Friday...
Precip has largely come to an end with only light showers near ECG, which should push out of the area shortly. A cold front is crossing through the forecast area, scattering out clouds behind it. BKN skies at SE terminals to start the 06z TAF period, but should go SCT by the morning. Winds are turning to the W behind the front at 5-10kt. Expect mostly clear skies through Friday with FEW- SCT afternoon Cu possible. Westerly wind will gust 15-20kt in the afternoon. VFR persists into Saturday.
Outlook: Dry and VFR Friday night into Saturday behind the cold front. Another cold front will bring a slight chc of showers/tstms later Sunday. A slight chc of showers/tstms lingers in to Monday, but overall VFR conditions should prevail Sunday and Monday.
MARINE
As of 325 PM EDT Thursday...
Key messages:
- Small Craft Advisories have been cancelled as of 3PM this afternoon.
- Showers/storms will cause locally higher winds and waves this evening.
- Moderate rip current risk for the northern beaches through this evening with a low risk at all area beaches expected Friday into the weekend.
Afternoon analysis shows low pressure over western Ontario with a cold front extending southward along the spine of the Appalachians.
Surface high pressure is well offshore, leading to SW winds around 15 kt across the local waters. Waves in the bay are 1-2 ft with seas offshore running 2-4 ft.
Pressure gradient has finally relaxed a bit after multiple extensions to previous SCA headlines this morning and early afternoon. Expect SW flow to continue for the remainder of the afternoon and evening with the cold front still to the west. Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394 has been issued for all local waters north of the VA/NC border through 9PM this evening. Strong straight line winds are the main threat from thunderstorms but enhanced waves/seas and frequent CG lightning are likely with the stronger convective cells this evening. Most of the storms should move well offshore by midnight with the cold front expected to cross the waters thereafter. Winds will generally be from the west 5-10 kt on Friday but a surge of cooler/drier air looks to move through the area Friday evening into the overnight with winds becoming NW and increasing to ~15 kt. Some of the hi-res guidance is now showing the potential for a brief period of SCA conditions Friday night but confidence is too low at this point to raise headlines. Expecting mostly quiet marine conditions for Sunday into early next week. Flow becomes SW once again on Sunday ahead of the next cold front which should cross the waters Sunday evening. Waves/seas will average 1-2 ft and 2-3 ft, respectively, into early next week.
Low rip current risk is forecast for all area beaches Friday and Saturday.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 325 PM EDT Thursday...
Some nuisance/low-end minor coastal flooding is forecast during tonight's high tide cycle for bay-facing portions of the MD Eastern Shore including Cambridge, Bishops Head, and Crisfield where a Coastal Flood Statement has been issued.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 135 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front pushes across the region this evening, with scattered strong to severe storms possible. Behind the front, cooler, drier conditions push into the region for Friday and Saturday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 800 PM EDT Thursday...
Key Messages:
- Severe T-Storm Watch 394 continues until 9pm for locations along the coast and in SE VA. Strong wind gusts remain the primary threat from any storm through this evening.
- Clearing late tonight, with drier air moving into the region.
Showers and thunderstorms have gradually progressed E this evening. For the most part, storms have remained sub-severe.
However, have noted a few storms capable of producing marginally severe winds (55-60 mph). With the loss of heating, expect a downward trend in convection over the next few hrs. The severe tstm watch has been cancelled for most of the VA Piedmont, but continues for counties/cities closer to coasts of the bay and ocean. This is where 1000-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE still resides per SPC mesoanalysis. Effective shear values remain on the weak side, on the order of ~20 kt. Locally damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and lightning remain the primary threats from any stronger storm.
The majority of the shower/storm activity should exit the area after midnight tonight. However, a few CAMs (primarily the HRRR)
suggest storms may linger or redevelop over NE NC into early Fri morning. Have therefore kept some higher PoPs here into this time period. Clouds eventually scatter out and winds diminish as the front passes through late tonight. Early morning lows in the low 60s inland and in the upper 60s-around 70 closer to the coast.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 305 PM EDT Thursday...
Key Messages:
- Drier weather returns for Friday and Saturday.
- Another weak front pushes through the area Sunday, but should remain mostly dry
Drier weather moves into the region Friday behind the departing cold front, with dewpoints drop into the 50s. Aloft, an upper level low moves into the Great Lakes on Fri, lingering into early next week. Guidance continues to trend toward pushing the weakening front though the region on Sunday night, but it still appears the upper level low is too close to the local area for enough instability for much in the way of widespread showers and/or storms on Sunday. Have stuck with slight to low- end Chc PoPs across far northern counties in the afternoon with slight chc PoPs everywhere else except the SE. May see slightly higher coverage by later in the evening.
Thicknesses change only slightly tomorrow, so expect highs again in the low 80s in the NW and on the Eastern Shore, mid-upper 80s elsewhere. A few degrees cooler (and drier) on Saturday with highs mostly in the low to mid 80s. Warmer on Sunday with highs mid to upper 80s to near 90 SE.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 305 PM EDT Thursday...
Key Messages:
- Near to below normal temps expected in the early week period with warmer temps returning mid-week
- Mostly dry through the early week, but isolated showers possible
A bit cooler in the early week period as a fairly deep UL trough lingers over the northeast. This feature will keep us near to just below normal for highs, with maxima expected to remain in the upper 70s in the far N/NW and low 80s elsewhere Mon/Tue.
Temps warm up into the mid- upper 80s again mid- week once the trough is offshore and a ridge builds in behind it. Precip in the early week period is a bit uncertain and likely to be isolated at best with the trough in the area, but we should remain mainly dry. Kept PoPs to slight to low-end Chc with mainly diurnal timing.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 135 AM EDT Friday...
Precip has largely come to an end with only light showers near ECG, which should push out of the area shortly. A cold front is crossing through the forecast area, scattering out clouds behind it. BKN skies at SE terminals to start the 06z TAF period, but should go SCT by the morning. Winds are turning to the W behind the front at 5-10kt. Expect mostly clear skies through Friday with FEW- SCT afternoon Cu possible. Westerly wind will gust 15-20kt in the afternoon. VFR persists into Saturday.
Outlook: Dry and VFR Friday night into Saturday behind the cold front. Another cold front will bring a slight chc of showers/tstms later Sunday. A slight chc of showers/tstms lingers in to Monday, but overall VFR conditions should prevail Sunday and Monday.
MARINE
As of 325 PM EDT Thursday...
Key messages:
- Small Craft Advisories have been cancelled as of 3PM this afternoon.
- Showers/storms will cause locally higher winds and waves this evening.
- Moderate rip current risk for the northern beaches through this evening with a low risk at all area beaches expected Friday into the weekend.
Afternoon analysis shows low pressure over western Ontario with a cold front extending southward along the spine of the Appalachians.
Surface high pressure is well offshore, leading to SW winds around 15 kt across the local waters. Waves in the bay are 1-2 ft with seas offshore running 2-4 ft.
Pressure gradient has finally relaxed a bit after multiple extensions to previous SCA headlines this morning and early afternoon. Expect SW flow to continue for the remainder of the afternoon and evening with the cold front still to the west. Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394 has been issued for all local waters north of the VA/NC border through 9PM this evening. Strong straight line winds are the main threat from thunderstorms but enhanced waves/seas and frequent CG lightning are likely with the stronger convective cells this evening. Most of the storms should move well offshore by midnight with the cold front expected to cross the waters thereafter. Winds will generally be from the west 5-10 kt on Friday but a surge of cooler/drier air looks to move through the area Friday evening into the overnight with winds becoming NW and increasing to ~15 kt. Some of the hi-res guidance is now showing the potential for a brief period of SCA conditions Friday night but confidence is too low at this point to raise headlines. Expecting mostly quiet marine conditions for Sunday into early next week. Flow becomes SW once again on Sunday ahead of the next cold front which should cross the waters Sunday evening. Waves/seas will average 1-2 ft and 2-3 ft, respectively, into early next week.
Low rip current risk is forecast for all area beaches Friday and Saturday.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 325 PM EDT Thursday...
Some nuisance/low-end minor coastal flooding is forecast during tonight's high tide cycle for bay-facing portions of the MD Eastern Shore including Cambridge, Bishops Head, and Crisfield where a Coastal Flood Statement has been issued.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 44089 | 22 mi | 44 min | 67°F | 3 ft | ||||
| OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD | 22 mi | 52 min | W 5.1G | 71°F | 61°F | 29.55 | ||
| 44084 | 36 mi | 70 min | 72°F | 64°F | 2 ft | |||
| WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA | 37 mi | 52 min | W 4.1G | 74°F | 78°F | 29.61 | ||
| BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD | 40 mi | 52 min | W 7G | 75°F | 78°F | 29.62 | ||
| 44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ | 43 mi | 40 min | WSW 9.7G | 68°F | 66°F | 29.59 | 68°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KWAL WALLOPS FLIGHT FACILITY,VA | 12 sm | 16 min | W 06 | 9 sm | Clear | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.60 | |
| KOXB OCEAN CITY MUNI,MD | 20 sm | 17 min | WNW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 70°F | 89% | 29.59 | |
| KSBY SALISBURYOCEAN CITY WICOMICO RGNL,MD | 21 sm | 16 min | W 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 72°F | 70°F | 94% | 29.60 |
Link to 5 minute data for KWAL
Link to Terminal Area Forecast for KWAL
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to Terminal Area Forecast for KWAL
Wind History graph: WAL
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Assacorkin Island, Chincoteague Bay, Maryland
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Assacorkin Island
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:11 AM EDT 0.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:38 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:10 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:07 AM EDT -0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:46 PM EDT 0.48 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT 0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:06 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:11 AM EDT 0.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:38 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:10 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:07 AM EDT -0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:46 PM EDT 0.48 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT 0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:06 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Assacorkin Island, Chincoteague Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.5 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.2 |
| 5 am |
| 0.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0 |
| 7 am |
| -0 |
| 8 am |
| -0 |
| 9 am |
| 0.1 |
| 10 am |
| 0.2 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0 |
| 7 pm |
| 0 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.5 |
Public Landing
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:36 AM EDT 0.55 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:38 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:09 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 08:52 AM EDT -0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:11 PM EDT 0.43 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:44 PM EDT 0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:06 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:36 AM EDT 0.55 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:38 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:09 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 08:52 AM EDT -0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:11 PM EDT 0.43 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:44 PM EDT 0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:06 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Public Landing, Chincoteague Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.5 |
| 3 am |
| 0.5 |
| 4 am |
| 0.4 |
| 5 am |
| 0.3 |
| 6 am |
| 0.2 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| -0 |
| 9 am |
| -0 |
| 10 am |
| 0 |
| 11 am |
| 0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0 |
| 9 pm |
| 0 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.2 |
Dover AFB, DE,
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