Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Welaka, FL
June 2, 2024 4:12 AM EDT (08:12 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:23 AM Sunset 8:22 PM Moonrise 2:27 AM Moonset 3:31 PM |
AMZ454 Expires:202406022115;;294355 Fzus52 Kjax 020614 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 214 am edt Sun jun 2 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-022115- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 214 am edt Sun jun 2 2024
Today - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Wednesday through Thursday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 214 am edt Sun jun 2 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-022115- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 214 am edt Sun jun 2 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 214 Am Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis -
high pressure will shift eastward towards bermuda into the upcoming week with southeasterly flow continuing through early next week. Isolated storm chances will return over the local waters this afternoon and early evening hours. Winds will become more southerly by midweek and then southwesterly ahead of an approaching cold front by the end of the week.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 25, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
50 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 59 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 72 nautical miles east southeast of jacksonville beach. 101 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
high pressure will shift eastward towards bermuda into the upcoming week with southeasterly flow continuing through early next week. Isolated storm chances will return over the local waters this afternoon and early evening hours. Winds will become more southerly by midweek and then southwesterly ahead of an approaching cold front by the end of the week.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 25, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
50 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 59 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 72 nautical miles east southeast of jacksonville beach. 101 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KJAX 020726 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
NEAR TERM
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
High pressure will be off the coast of the Carolinas, shifting towards Bermuda. This will lead to southeasterly steering flow today, allowing for the Atlantic sea breeze to move well inland.
Moisture moving in from the west will bring PWAT values to sit above 1.5 inches across the area. Showers and storms are likely to begin along the I-75 corridor as the Gulf breeze and Atlantic sea breeze meet. With the increase in moisture to the area, combined with diurnal instability, the development of isolated to widely scattered showers and storms across the area can be expected from the afternoon to early evening. Daytime temperatures will primarily be in the upper 80s, with warmer temperatures expected along the north central FL counties. Overnight, temperature lows will dip to the upper 60s for inland areas with coastal locations dipping to the lower 70s.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Light, stagnant flow pattern will establish itself across the local area early this week as broad low level ridging builds across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday and then shifts over Florida Tuesday. Moisture seeping back into the area will recharge diurnal instability and aid in scattered showers and isolated storms along the sea breezes. T'storms development will be more likely during the late afternoon and early evening hours as sea breezes converge generally west of I-95. Primary concerns will be locally heavy downpours, occasional lightning and possibly localized gusty outflows but severe t'storms are unlikely.
Temperatures will build through the week with highs trending into the low 90s inland by Tuesday and upper 80s to near 90 at the coast.
Overnight temperatures will still be fairly comfortable, especially inland with readings in the upper 60s. Warming coastal waters will keep coastal zones a few degrees warmer in the low to mid 70s.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Deepening moisture will continue through the end of the week with more than half of the buffet of ensemble members signaling PWATs surging above the 75th percentile (~1.7"). This deeper moisture will arrive Thursday and occur as the steering flow shifts southwesterly and strengthens ahead of an approaching frontal feature. This moisture and realignment in the steering will bolster instability through the end of the week and into the weekend and ultimately enhance diurnal t'storm chances across the region. Given the transition period, guidance is still struggling with the progressiveness of the aforementioned front. Run-to-run inconsistency has limited confidence in whether a frontal passage will occur. If the front stalls to the north, the hot and unstable airmass will stay in place, keeping storm chances through the weekend.
In addition to the increasing t'storm potential, temperatures and heat risk will build through the week as ambient highs push well above normal with peak heat index values possibly in the 100-105 range.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
VFR conditions will continue through the overnight into early morning. Showers and storms will begin to move near TAF sites around 19Z and stick around into early evening. Winds will continue from the southeast, with wind gusts near 15 to 20 knots possible along the coastal sites.
MARINE
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
High pressure will shift eastward towards Bermuda into next week as southeasterly flow continues. Isolated storm chances will return over the local waters this afternoon and early evening hours. Winds will become more southerly by midweek and then southwesterly ahead of an approaching cold front by the end of the week.
Rip Currents: Moderate risk of rip currents continues through Monday for all area beaches.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
The stagnant flow pattern associated with a ridge of high pressure will allow winds to be dictated entirely by the sea and gulf breeze through Wednesday. Moisture and afternoon humidities will trend higher through the week. The uptick in moisture and instability will increase thunderstorm coverage, particularly Thursday and Friday. Lacking transport flow will limit dispersion through the first half of the week before winds increase from the southwest on Thursday and Friday. By next weekend, a cool front may attempt to push into the region.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Water levels are steadily receding along lower portions of the Santa Fe River near the gauge at Three Rivers Estates, but minor flooding will continue through most of the upcoming week due to backwater flooding effects from action level water levels along lower portions of the Suwannee River.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 87 68 90 69 / 40 20 40 10 SSI 85 73 86 74 / 20 20 30 10 JAX 87 69 90 69 / 20 20 30 10 SGJ 87 71 87 71 / 20 20 30 10 GNV 89 67 91 67 / 30 20 40 10 OCF 90 68 92 68 / 30 20 40 10
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
NEAR TERM
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
High pressure will be off the coast of the Carolinas, shifting towards Bermuda. This will lead to southeasterly steering flow today, allowing for the Atlantic sea breeze to move well inland.
Moisture moving in from the west will bring PWAT values to sit above 1.5 inches across the area. Showers and storms are likely to begin along the I-75 corridor as the Gulf breeze and Atlantic sea breeze meet. With the increase in moisture to the area, combined with diurnal instability, the development of isolated to widely scattered showers and storms across the area can be expected from the afternoon to early evening. Daytime temperatures will primarily be in the upper 80s, with warmer temperatures expected along the north central FL counties. Overnight, temperature lows will dip to the upper 60s for inland areas with coastal locations dipping to the lower 70s.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Light, stagnant flow pattern will establish itself across the local area early this week as broad low level ridging builds across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday and then shifts over Florida Tuesday. Moisture seeping back into the area will recharge diurnal instability and aid in scattered showers and isolated storms along the sea breezes. T'storms development will be more likely during the late afternoon and early evening hours as sea breezes converge generally west of I-95. Primary concerns will be locally heavy downpours, occasional lightning and possibly localized gusty outflows but severe t'storms are unlikely.
Temperatures will build through the week with highs trending into the low 90s inland by Tuesday and upper 80s to near 90 at the coast.
Overnight temperatures will still be fairly comfortable, especially inland with readings in the upper 60s. Warming coastal waters will keep coastal zones a few degrees warmer in the low to mid 70s.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Deepening moisture will continue through the end of the week with more than half of the buffet of ensemble members signaling PWATs surging above the 75th percentile (~1.7"). This deeper moisture will arrive Thursday and occur as the steering flow shifts southwesterly and strengthens ahead of an approaching frontal feature. This moisture and realignment in the steering will bolster instability through the end of the week and into the weekend and ultimately enhance diurnal t'storm chances across the region. Given the transition period, guidance is still struggling with the progressiveness of the aforementioned front. Run-to-run inconsistency has limited confidence in whether a frontal passage will occur. If the front stalls to the north, the hot and unstable airmass will stay in place, keeping storm chances through the weekend.
In addition to the increasing t'storm potential, temperatures and heat risk will build through the week as ambient highs push well above normal with peak heat index values possibly in the 100-105 range.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
VFR conditions will continue through the overnight into early morning. Showers and storms will begin to move near TAF sites around 19Z and stick around into early evening. Winds will continue from the southeast, with wind gusts near 15 to 20 knots possible along the coastal sites.
MARINE
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
High pressure will shift eastward towards Bermuda into next week as southeasterly flow continues. Isolated storm chances will return over the local waters this afternoon and early evening hours. Winds will become more southerly by midweek and then southwesterly ahead of an approaching cold front by the end of the week.
Rip Currents: Moderate risk of rip currents continues through Monday for all area beaches.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
The stagnant flow pattern associated with a ridge of high pressure will allow winds to be dictated entirely by the sea and gulf breeze through Wednesday. Moisture and afternoon humidities will trend higher through the week. The uptick in moisture and instability will increase thunderstorm coverage, particularly Thursday and Friday. Lacking transport flow will limit dispersion through the first half of the week before winds increase from the southwest on Thursday and Friday. By next weekend, a cool front may attempt to push into the region.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Water levels are steadily receding along lower portions of the Santa Fe River near the gauge at Three Rivers Estates, but minor flooding will continue through most of the upcoming week due to backwater flooding effects from action level water levels along lower portions of the Suwannee River.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 87 68 90 69 / 40 20 40 10 SSI 85 73 86 74 / 20 20 30 10 JAX 87 69 90 69 / 20 20 30 10 SGJ 87 71 87 71 / 20 20 30 10 GNV 89 67 91 67 / 30 20 40 10 OCF 90 68 92 68 / 30 20 40 10
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL | 28 mi | 87 min | SE 5.1 | 75°F | 30.12 | 61°F | ||
| SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL | 38 mi | 72 min | SE 14G | 78°F | 79°F | 30.08 | 74°F | |
| 41070 | 45 mi | 97 min | 80°F | 5 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KFIN FLAGLER EXECUTIVE,FL | 23 sm | 17 min | calm | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 66°F | 63°F | 88% | 30.08 |
Georgetown
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:27 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 04:56 AM EDT 3.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 11:20 AM EDT 3.91 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:31 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:52 PM EDT 3.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 11:32 PM EDT 3.89 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:27 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 04:56 AM EDT 3.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 11:20 AM EDT 3.91 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:31 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:52 PM EDT 3.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 11:32 PM EDT 3.89 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Georgetown, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.9 |
| 1 am |
| 3.9 |
| 2 am |
| 3.9 |
| 3 am |
| 3.9 |
| 4 am |
| 3.9 |
| 5 am |
| 3.9 |
| 6 am |
| 3.9 |
| 7 am |
| 3.9 |
| 8 am |
| 3.9 |
| 9 am |
| 3.9 |
| 10 am |
| 3.9 |
| 11 am |
| 3.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.9 |
Welaka
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:15 AM EDT 3.87 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:27 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:50 AM EDT 3.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:04 AM EDT 3.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:58 AM EDT 3.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:40 PM EDT 3.86 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:31 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:04 PM EDT 3.59 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:35 PM EDT 3.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:32 PM EDT 3.58 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:15 AM EDT 3.87 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:27 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:50 AM EDT 3.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:04 AM EDT 3.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:58 AM EDT 3.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:40 PM EDT 3.86 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:31 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:04 PM EDT 3.59 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:35 PM EDT 3.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:32 PM EDT 3.58 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Welaka, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.9 |
| 1 am |
| 3.9 |
| 2 am |
| 3.8 |
| 3 am |
| 3.8 |
| 4 am |
| 3.7 |
| 5 am |
| 3.6 |
| 6 am |
| 3.6 |
| 7 am |
| 3.6 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 3.6 |
| 10 am |
| 3.6 |
| 11 am |
| 3.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.7 |
Jacksonville, FL,
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