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GMZ552 Expires:202406012115;;242568 Fzus54 Klix 010826 Cwflix
coastal waters forecast national weather service new orleans la 326 am cdt Sat jun 1 2024
pascagoula to atchafalaya river out to 60 nm
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz550-552-012115- coastal waters from port fourchon la to lower atchafalaya river la out 20 nm- coastal waters from the southwest pass of the mississippi river to port fourchon louisiana out 20 nm- 326 am cdt Sat jun 1 2024
Today - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance of Thunderstorms. Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds. Monday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Tuesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Tuesday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2 feet in the afternoon. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ500 326 Am Cdt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
weak high pressure builds in from the west which will result in continued south to southeast winds around 10 knots across the coastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms will increase in coverage somewhat today and Sunday. Any stronger Thunderstorms could produce gusts up to gales.

FXUS64 KLIX 010858 AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 358 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday Night) Issued at 347 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

A few showers and thunderstorms may develop and dissipate over the region this morning, especially in eastern areas where there is a lingering mid level convergence axis, behind a weak front that is now situated near Mobile. PW values are slightly higher in the east as well, keeping enhanced pops over this area through the early afternoon before another mid level short wave moves in from the west. This next shortwave will cause pops across the entire region to increase and bring a decaying MCS across LA, which will hopefully sweep over the waters before coming too far into the local area. For both today and Sunday, the highest pops will be during the afternoon when we have sufficient instability, high lapse rates, and moderate to high PWs, causing a few instances of gusty winds and some hail. There is some mid level drying which could enhance downbursts we normally get from high cape days. Any storms that linger could cause flash flooding issues, especially in urban and low lying areas. The upper disturbance will just cause pops to linger into the evening more than usual. Given the combo of a summertime high CAPE pattern and a weak upper level system, CAMs are having a harder than usual time at picking up any sort of consistent timing.

Ridging builds in from the west Sunday night leading to drier conditions until a few normal summer afternoon storms pop up Monday afternoon.

Highs today and Sunday remain in the upper 80s but with the slight ridging Monday, highs will climb a few degrees. Lows remain in the mid 70s.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 347 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

The previously mentioned weak ridging remains at least through Wednesday night with mostly dry weather outside a few afternoon thunderstorms. This will allow highs to climb back into the lower 90s for most areas with heat index values in the lower 100s.

A very large upper low over the Great Lakes will drop a front south towards the area on Thursday with a weak mid level disturbance.
NBM keeps pops elevated on Thursday as the boundary approaches, maybe from outflow boundaries? Otherwise, it looks like if the front does make it, the associated rain/storms would be more Friday, with NBM pops likely too low at this time.

Highs/lows remain the same as before although we may see slightly lower lows and heat index values on Saturday, depending on what the front does.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1122 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Rain and thunderstorms have completely cleared the area leaving VFR conditions. This should hold through the late night hours, with likely MVFR ceilings and visibility's at KBTR and KMCB early morning before sunrise. Daytime tomorrow will see widespread SHRA and VCTS in the late morning through the end of the period.

MARINE
Issued at 347 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Southerly winds around 5-10 knots will remain through the forecast period. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible today through Sunday with isolated storms each afternoon thereafter. Waves/seas around storms will be higher.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 83 68 86 70 / 60 20 50 0 BTR 88 72 89 74 / 70 30 60 0 ASD 88 71 88 73 / 70 30 50 0 MSY 87 74 87 76 / 70 40 60 0 GPT 87 72 86 74 / 90 40 50 10 PQL 86 71 87 71 / 90 40 50 10

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Barataria Pass
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Sat -- 12:33 AM CDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:29 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:00 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:58 AM CDT     0.77 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:00 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:42 PM CDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Barataria Pass, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet

Quatre Bayous Pass
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Sat -- 01:00 AM CDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:29 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:00 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:16 AM CDT     0.84 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:00 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:09 PM CDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Quatre Bayous Pass, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet

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