Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kivalina, AK
June 5, 2024 9:06 PM AKDT (05:06 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 4:24 AM Sunset 11:32 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 12:00 AM |
PKZ810 Cape Krusenstern To Cape Thompson Out To 15 Nm- 229 Pm Akdt Wed Jun 5 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon - .
Tonight - N winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Thu - N winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Thu night - S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Fri - SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Fri night - S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Sat - N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sat night - NW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
Sun - NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Mon - N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
PKZ800
No data
No data
FXAK69 PAFG 052301 AFDAFG
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 301 PM AKDT Wed Jun 5 2024
SYNOPSIS
As of this afternoon, scattered showers and thunderstorms have developed over the central, east-central, and southeastern Interior Alaska some with frequent lightning, heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and some small to moderate sized hail. The thunderstorm risk continues through that region into Friday with diminishing intensity and coverage through that timeframe.
DISCUSSION
Analysis...A weakening upper level low remains over the northern Gulf, which has generally been helping to give the interior southeasterly flow. Multiple rounds of shortwave troughs with associated vort-maxes will traverse the region through the end of the work-week providing additional lift for showers and thunderstorm development. The strongest shortwave trough of low pressure currently centered over the eastern Interior will continue its trek northwestward while weakening and eventually getting absorbed into the flow through Friday off the NW coast. A few weaker shortwave troughs will follow shortly behind it which will help provide some lift for some more showers and thunderstorms into Friday. Friday and beyond, higher pressure looks to build in from the east, which will act to dry out the region.
Central and Eastern Interior...
This afternoon, we are seeing showers and thunderstorms develop and traverse northwestward through the area. A shortwave moving over the area from the east is acting to enhance development of the cells. Showers moistening the SFC over the area overnight and this morning, CAPE values of up to around 1,000 J/kg with today’s wave with LI values of down to around -3 have the local atmosphere essentially primed for scattered to numerous thunderstorm development this afternoon. Some areas may receive ½ to around 1 inch of rainfall with the heavier and more persistent storms, which may cause some urban and small stream flooding concerns, especially in the Fairbanks area. Topographic enhancement may also occur in some areas in the region with some showers and thunderstorms. Frequent lightning, strong winds, and small to moderate sized hail of less than 1 inch in diameter are occurring and hail up to 1.25 inches is also possible with these storms.
Easterly winds increasing with height will also help to allow a westward tilt of the thunderstorm column, which will increase the likelihood of hail in any strong enough thunderstorms that do develop. The following weaker shortwave troughs moving through the area into Friday look quite a bit less impactful as far as intensity and coverage of shower and thunderstorm development. A Wind Advisory also remains in effect from 6AM Thursday until 4 AM Friday for gusts up to 60 mph for the Eastern Alaska Range north of Trims Camp. High temperatures over the area will remain warm through the period with some areas continuing to reach into the 70s through the next several days.
West Coast and Western Interior...
There is a chance for isolated thunderstorms for the western Interior as peak heating of the day approaches this evening. These storms will be weaker than the ones over the Central and Eastern Interior as you progress westward and may contain brief heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and small hail. The cause of these storms will be the shortwave moving westward over this area into Thursday. Friday, a drying trend begins with only a few showers possible.
North Slope and Brooks Range...
Once again, fog and low stratus will remain as general onshore flow continues through the period from the sea ice, which will keep temps lowered to near their dewpoints. High temperatures will range from the 30s and 40s along the coast and reaching into the 60s in the Brooks Range. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible for the central and eastern Brooks Range through Thursday. Friday will be more benign with isolated showers in the west as the shortwave drifts northwestward away from the region.
SW flow begins on Friday, which will work to erode cloud cover near North Slope coastal areas, which will allow temperatures to rise well into the 40s.
Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.
FIRE WEATHER
SFC moisture and RH values are improving for the Yukon Flats area.
Showers that moved yesterday through the overnight have helped that situation. Temperatures will be slightly cooler, but remain on the warm side through the next several days. Some of the scattered to numerous thunderstorms through this evening may produce frequent lightning, which could act to spark a wildfire or 2. Model forecast CAPE of around 1,000 J/kg and LI values down to around -3 will help produce thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall with up to around an inch of accumulation with the heavier more persistent storms and with local enhancement from a topography that the storms experience. Gusty winds and small to moderate hail are also possible. Storms originate in the Tanana Valley and push northwestward through the evening.
HYDROLOGY
Recently received snowfall present in the Brooks Range / North Slope area along with warming temperatures will promote snowmelt, giving the potential for high water for the Colville, Sag, and Kuparuk rivers and their tributaries. There are some ice jams present on the Colville, which will enhance any flooding threat.
Water levels are expected to crest by the end of this week into the weekend. The water level in Fort Yukon will continue receding very slowly. Satellites and ground observations continue to indicate plenty of snow in the Porcupine Mountains. As temperatures continue to warm over the next few days, snowmelt could lead to continued high water for streams in that area.
Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms are developing early this afternoon over the Interior from Denali Park to Fairbanks to the White Mountains. Areas of heavy rain bring the risk of small stream flooding over steep terrain in the hills north and east of Fairbanks and the Alaska Range near Denali Park this afternoon and evening. There is the possibility of urban street flooding should the heavy showers fall over Fairbanks and North Pole this afternoon and evening. People in the Eastern Interior should be alert to severe weather this afternoon and evening. The storms will move northwest this evening over the Central and Northern Interior, and storms should diminish from Fairbanks south by 9 pm.
AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...Wind Advisory for AKZ849.
PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ806-854-856.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ810-811-857.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ816-817-851.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ859-860.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ861.
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 301 PM AKDT Wed Jun 5 2024
SYNOPSIS
As of this afternoon, scattered showers and thunderstorms have developed over the central, east-central, and southeastern Interior Alaska some with frequent lightning, heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and some small to moderate sized hail. The thunderstorm risk continues through that region into Friday with diminishing intensity and coverage through that timeframe.
DISCUSSION
Analysis...A weakening upper level low remains over the northern Gulf, which has generally been helping to give the interior southeasterly flow. Multiple rounds of shortwave troughs with associated vort-maxes will traverse the region through the end of the work-week providing additional lift for showers and thunderstorm development. The strongest shortwave trough of low pressure currently centered over the eastern Interior will continue its trek northwestward while weakening and eventually getting absorbed into the flow through Friday off the NW coast. A few weaker shortwave troughs will follow shortly behind it which will help provide some lift for some more showers and thunderstorms into Friday. Friday and beyond, higher pressure looks to build in from the east, which will act to dry out the region.
Central and Eastern Interior...
This afternoon, we are seeing showers and thunderstorms develop and traverse northwestward through the area. A shortwave moving over the area from the east is acting to enhance development of the cells. Showers moistening the SFC over the area overnight and this morning, CAPE values of up to around 1,000 J/kg with today’s wave with LI values of down to around -3 have the local atmosphere essentially primed for scattered to numerous thunderstorm development this afternoon. Some areas may receive ½ to around 1 inch of rainfall with the heavier and more persistent storms, which may cause some urban and small stream flooding concerns, especially in the Fairbanks area. Topographic enhancement may also occur in some areas in the region with some showers and thunderstorms. Frequent lightning, strong winds, and small to moderate sized hail of less than 1 inch in diameter are occurring and hail up to 1.25 inches is also possible with these storms.
Easterly winds increasing with height will also help to allow a westward tilt of the thunderstorm column, which will increase the likelihood of hail in any strong enough thunderstorms that do develop. The following weaker shortwave troughs moving through the area into Friday look quite a bit less impactful as far as intensity and coverage of shower and thunderstorm development. A Wind Advisory also remains in effect from 6AM Thursday until 4 AM Friday for gusts up to 60 mph for the Eastern Alaska Range north of Trims Camp. High temperatures over the area will remain warm through the period with some areas continuing to reach into the 70s through the next several days.
West Coast and Western Interior...
There is a chance for isolated thunderstorms for the western Interior as peak heating of the day approaches this evening. These storms will be weaker than the ones over the Central and Eastern Interior as you progress westward and may contain brief heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and small hail. The cause of these storms will be the shortwave moving westward over this area into Thursday. Friday, a drying trend begins with only a few showers possible.
North Slope and Brooks Range...
Once again, fog and low stratus will remain as general onshore flow continues through the period from the sea ice, which will keep temps lowered to near their dewpoints. High temperatures will range from the 30s and 40s along the coast and reaching into the 60s in the Brooks Range. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible for the central and eastern Brooks Range through Thursday. Friday will be more benign with isolated showers in the west as the shortwave drifts northwestward away from the region.
SW flow begins on Friday, which will work to erode cloud cover near North Slope coastal areas, which will allow temperatures to rise well into the 40s.
Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.
FIRE WEATHER
SFC moisture and RH values are improving for the Yukon Flats area.
Showers that moved yesterday through the overnight have helped that situation. Temperatures will be slightly cooler, but remain on the warm side through the next several days. Some of the scattered to numerous thunderstorms through this evening may produce frequent lightning, which could act to spark a wildfire or 2. Model forecast CAPE of around 1,000 J/kg and LI values down to around -3 will help produce thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall with up to around an inch of accumulation with the heavier more persistent storms and with local enhancement from a topography that the storms experience. Gusty winds and small to moderate hail are also possible. Storms originate in the Tanana Valley and push northwestward through the evening.
HYDROLOGY
Recently received snowfall present in the Brooks Range / North Slope area along with warming temperatures will promote snowmelt, giving the potential for high water for the Colville, Sag, and Kuparuk rivers and their tributaries. There are some ice jams present on the Colville, which will enhance any flooding threat.
Water levels are expected to crest by the end of this week into the weekend. The water level in Fort Yukon will continue receding very slowly. Satellites and ground observations continue to indicate plenty of snow in the Porcupine Mountains. As temperatures continue to warm over the next few days, snowmelt could lead to continued high water for streams in that area.
Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms are developing early this afternoon over the Interior from Denali Park to Fairbanks to the White Mountains. Areas of heavy rain bring the risk of small stream flooding over steep terrain in the hills north and east of Fairbanks and the Alaska Range near Denali Park this afternoon and evening. There is the possibility of urban street flooding should the heavy showers fall over Fairbanks and North Pole this afternoon and evening. People in the Eastern Interior should be alert to severe weather this afternoon and evening. The storms will move northwest this evening over the Central and Northern Interior, and storms should diminish from Fairbanks south by 9 pm.
AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...Wind Advisory for AKZ849.
PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ806-854-856.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ810-811-857.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ816-817-851.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ859-860.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ861.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| RDDA2 - 9491094 - Red Dog Dock, AK | 30 mi | 49 min | WNW 19G | 39°F | 31°F | 29.65 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| PAVL KIVALINA,AK | 2 sm | 13 min | WNW 14 | 10 sm | Clear | 41°F | 34°F | 75% | 29.66 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kivalina, Alaska, Tide feet
Nome/Fairbanks,AK
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