Wednesday, November22, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Pole Ojea, PR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:38AMSunset 5:15PM Wednesday November 22, 2017 2:24 PM CST (20:24 UTC) Moonrise 7:46AMMoonset 10:32PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pole Ojea, PR
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location: -39.86, -75.19     debug

Area Discussion for - San Juan, PR
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Fxca62 tjsj 221505
area forecast discussion
national weather service san juan pr
1105 am ast Wed nov 22 2017

Update Mostly sunny skies prevailed across the region with no
precipitations observed over the islands and coastal waters. Overall
dry and stable conditions will prevail across the region at least
for today under the influence of the dominant high pressure ridging

Recent tjsj upper air sounding suggest stable conditions with little
moisture content and precipitable water at 1.22 inches. With that
said, expect mostly isolated and limited shower activity if any
at all today. Skies will become mostly clear to partly cloudy by
sunset with diminishing chance for precipitation over land areas
during the evening and most of the nighttime.

A moderate increase in low level moisture still expected Thursday
through Friday a an easterly perturbation will bring trade wind
moisture to the region. This along with local and diurnal effects
will allow a better chance for early morning passing showers and
afternoon convection mainly over parts of western puerto rico. No
change to the inherited forecast package at this time.

Aviation update Vfr conds durg entire prd. L lvl wnds fm se
5-15 kts blo fl100... Then bcm fm sw-w and incr W ht abv. Sfc wnds
fm E 5-10 kts... Slightly higher W sea breeze variations. No sig
wx impact attm.

Marine update No chg to previous marine discussion. Slight increase
in seas overnight mainly over the offshore atlantic waters. Small
craft should exercise caution.

Prev discussion issued 446 am ast Wed nov 22 2017
synopsis... A retreating cold front and high pressure at 700 mb
north of the areas will allow some moisture to return to the area
later today through Friday. Areas of drier air will pass through
over the weekend followed by modest moisture and an increase in
clouds and showers.

Short term... Today through Saturday...

mostly clear skies were observed across the forecast area and little
to no rain was observed over land areas. Only few light showers
were observed moving west northwestward across the surrounding
coastal waters. An upper level ridge will continue to build and
hold over the region until the upcoming weekend. The developing
upper ridge will be the main weather feature across the region
today, producing a fair and stable weather across puerto rico,
usvi and surrounding waters. A few isolated showers can't be
ruled out across western pr this afternoon. Early on Thursday, a
week low level perturbation is expected to move across the region
from the east, increasing the moisture and the chances of showers
with possible isolated thunderstorms development along the
cordillera central as well as across the western sections of the
islands. The moisture associated with this perturbation will
remain across the region until Friday. However, due to the
presence of the upper ridge, widespread precipitation is not
expected. Temperatures will continue between the high 80s to low
90s across the lower elevations each day. A drier trend will
return to the islands beginning Saturday.

Long term... Sunday through Friday...

the high pressure at 700 mb forming north of us Thursday and
Friday will move northeast and shear out on Sunday due to an
approaching cold front. Areas of drier air will pass through on
Sunday before moisture again begins to increase Monday and Monday
night over us ahead of the front. The front will stall out
northwest of the area Tuesday through Thursday. During the
interaction of weak local troughs moving in the easterly low level
flow toward the front, moisture increases and scattered showers
begin to affect much of puerto rico and the u.S. Virgin islands.

Low pressure at lower levels develops north of hispaniola later
next week in response to a short wave that dives southeast during
the week and crosses the area on Wednesday causing a low to cut-
off north of the forecast area. This and an upper level jet around
the short wave and subsequent cut-off low will also enhance
showers in only modestly moist east to east southeast low-level
flow continuing across the area through the end of next week.

Aviation... MainlyVFR conditions expected across the local flying
area this morning and for most of the period. Few shra embedded in
the trades will produce vcsh across the leeward and usvi TAF sites
til 22 14z. Light and variable winds until 22 13z, becoming e-se and
increasing to 10 to 15 knots with sea breeze variations along the
coastal areas after 22 14z. No sig wx impact expected across the
flying area attm. Maximum winds west today ranging from 30-40 kt
between fl360-450.

Marine... Seas are rising slowly at the outer buoy and are almost
7 feet now. Seas are expected to continue to rise north of the
area and by tonight some 7 foot seas are expected in the outer
atlantic waters that will last through Thursday. No small craft
advisories are expected after Thursday through early next week.

Preliminary point temps pops
Sju 88 76 88 78 20 30 50 50
stt 86 77 85 77 30 50 50 50

Sju watches warnings advisories
Pr... Flash flood watch until 3 pm ast this afternoon for northwest-
western interior.

Vi... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 8 pm this evening to 2 pm ast Thursday
for atlantic waters of puerto rico and usvi from 10 nm to

Short term... Ram
long term... .Ram

Weather Reporting Stations
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Puerto Rico    EDIT

Wind Forecast for (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Puerto Rico,Virgin Islands
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.