Thursday, August17, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Aguadilla, PR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:22AMSunset 7:14PM Thursday August 17, 2017 3:11 PM AST (19:11 UTC) Moonrise 2:08AMMoonset 3:42PM Illumination 21% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Aguadilla, PR
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location: 21.66, -71.76     debug

Area Discussion for - San Juan, PR
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Fxca62 tjsj 171617
area forecast discussion
national weather service san juan pr
1217 pm ast Thu aug 17 2017

Update The combination of the tropical wave passing through the
local area and an upper trough just west northwest of the local
area caused very unstable weather conditions over the local
islands. Showers and thunderstorms affected the eastern half of
puerto rico all morning with some showers also affecting the usvi.

The rainfall totals over pr were in the 4-6 inch range across ne
pr and SE pr as well, which caused some flash flooding across
those areas. The rest of the eastern half of pr observed urban and
small stream flooding. The heavy rain has ended and light to
moderate rain remains, but cloudiness is covering the local area
and strong afternoon convection seems a bit less likely.

Aviation Bkn-ovc skies expected through the day across the
terminals in pr while the usvi and tncm tkpk is starting to
observe a break in the clouds with sct sky. CIGS across terminals
in pr will be at around fl060 to about fl100. -ra at tjsj and
tjps though the afternoon, reaching tjbq and tjmz later in the
afternoon into tonight. Winds will remain mainly easterly at
10-15kt with occasional higher gusts. Wx improving tonight.

Marine Small craft advisories continue in effect across many of
the local waters due to winds of up to 20 knots and seas up to 8
feet. Moderate to high risk of rip currents across the local
islands today.

Prev discussion issued 530 am ast Thu aug 17 2017
synopsis... A tropical wave moving across the forecast area
will continue to result in showers and thunderstorms today. Tutt
low will continue west of the forecast area through late tonight
as an upper ridge builds from the north through Saturday. An area
of low pressure about 500 miles east of the lesser antilles is
expected to move across the caribbean sea on Saturday. This will
increase the potential for gusty winds and thunderstorms across
the caribbean waters.

Short term... Thursday through Saturday...

unsettle weather conditions will continue to prevail throughout the
day as an upper level trough tutt low interacts with a tropical wave
moving across the local isles. The chance for showers and
thunderstorms -squally weather type- will continue to be high
particularly during the morning hours across the usvi and the
eastern half of puerto rico as well as the local waters. Shower and
thunder development across west puerto rico this afternoon will be
dependent on cloud cover. The potential for urban and small stream
flooding as well as strong gusty winds continues.

A mid to upper level ridge is expected to build across the forecast
area tonight, as the aformentioned trough aloft tutt low shifts
westward. However, the ridge pattern aloft is expected to be short-
lived as trofiness returns to the local isles on Sunday. Therefore,
as the tropical wave moves away later today and an upper level ridge
builds, a fair weather pattern is expected to prevail on Friday. The
chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase once again on
Saturday as invest 91l moves south of the area but peripheral
moisture reaches the forecast area. Based on the NHC forecast,
this area has a formation chance of 60 percent in the next 48
hours. Stay tuned.

Long term... Sunday through Thursday...

another area of low pressure, invest 92l, currently has a 50
percent chance of formation through the next 5 days. This system
however is expected to encounter unfavorable upper level winds
and move close or just to the northeast of the islands on Sunday
as a tropical wave. Overall, precipitable water content will
remain high through the first half of next week. As another
tropical wave is forecast to reach the local area on Tuesday.

Aviation... MVFR or even ifr conds will remain possible at all taf
sites in shra tsra as a tropical wave and associated moisture moves
across the area. Ese winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts around 35knots.

Wx conditions are expected to improve tonight.

Marine... Hazardous seas will continue today across the regional
waters due to seas between 6-8 feet and easterly winds between
15-22 kts. Strong thunderstorms with frequent lightning and gusty
winds are expected today as a tropical wave continues to exit the
local area. There is a high rip current risk for beaches across
the north, east and south coast of pr and st. Croix. Hazardous
seas are expected once again on Saturday morning as a low pressure
area moves across the caribbean sea.

Preliminary point temps pops
Sju 88 76 88 78 100 20 20 40
stt 88 75 92 80 40 30 20 40

Sju watches warnings advisories
Pr... High rip current risk until 6 pm ast this evening for central
interior-north central-northeast-northwest-san juan and
vicinity-southeast-western interior.

Vi... High rip current risk until 6 pm ast this evening for st croix.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm ast Friday for st.Thomas... St.

John... And adjacent islands.

Am... High rip current risk until 6 pm ast this evening for coastal
waters of southern puerto rico out 10 nm.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm ast Friday for anegada passage
southward to 17n-caribbean waters of puerto rico from 10 nm
to 17n-coastal waters of southern usvi vieques and eastern
puerto rico out 10 nm.

Small craft advisory until 2 am ast Friday for coastal waters of
northern puerto rico out 10 nm.

Small craft advisory until 6 am ast Saturday for atlantic waters
of puerto rico and usvi from 10 nm to 19.5n.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm ast this evening for coastal
waters of northern usvi and culebra out 10 nm-mona passage
southward to 17n.

Short term... Ja
long term... .Ws

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for Abrahams Bay, Mayaguana Island, Bahamas
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Abrahams Bay
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Thu -- 02:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:17 AM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:15 AM EDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:58 PM EDT     3.36 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:34 PM EDT     1.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for
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GOES Local Image of Puerto Rico    EDIT

Wind Forecast for (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Puerto Rico,Virgin Islands
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.