Sunday, November19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hanamaulu, HI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:50PM Saturday November 18, 2017 8:29 PM HST (06:29 UTC) Moonrise 7:03AMMoonset 6:31PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PHZ111 Kauai Windward Waters- 326 Pm Hst Sat Nov 18 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon...
Tonight..North winds 15 knots. Wind waves around 4 feet. North swell 6 feet, increasing to 9 feet after midnight. Isolated showers this evening, then scattered showers after midnight.
Sunday..North winds 20 knots. Wind waves around 5 feet. North swell 12 feet. Scattered showers, mainly in the morning.
Sunday night..North winds 15 knots. Wind waves around 4 feet. North swell 12 feet, decreasing to 10 feet after midnight. Isolated showers in the evening, then scattered showers after midnight.
Monday..North winds 15 knots. Wind waves around 3 feet. North swell 10 feet. Scattered showers.
Monday night..North winds 15 knots. Wind waves around 3 feet. North swell 10 feet. Scattered showers.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 knots. Wind waves around 3 feet. North swell 9 feet. Scattered showers.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 15 knots. Wind waves around 3 feet. North swell 7 feet. Scattered showers.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 knots. Wind waves 4 to 6 feet. North swell 8 to 10 feet. Scattered showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds to 25 knots. Wind waves around 9 feet. North swell 10 to 12 feet. Scattered showers.
PHZ100 326 Pm Hst Sat Nov 18 2017
Synopsis for hawaiian coastal waters.. Low pressure will stall far to the north-northeast of the waters over the weekend into Monday, then lift northeastward through midweek as high pressure rebuilds to the north.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hanamaulu, HI
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location: 22, -159.33     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxhw60 phfo 190140
afdhfo
area forecast discussion
national weather service honolulu hi
340 pm hst Sat nov 18 2017

Synopsis
A cool northerly flow will increase tonight as a weak front
currently over kauai passes over oahu this evening, maui county
overnight, then across the big island early Sunday. Showers along
the weak front will be focused mainly across northern facing
slopes. The cool northerly flow will persist through Tuesday as a
stalled cutoff low sits far northeast of the state. Trade winds
will gradually return on Wednesday and will likely become breezy
and gusty on thanksgiving as the strong high pressure settles
north of the state.

Discussion
A weak front is currently moving across kauai, though a rather
cool northerly flow has already developed across the state. The
front dropped generally between one quarter to one inch of
rainfall along north facing slopes of kauai today, and while a few
showers popped up along the terrain of oahu, sea breeze driven
interior clouds produced little to no rainfall on maui county and
the big island. Temperatures were running a few degrees below
normal today in the northerly flow.

A cooler northerly flow will settle over the islands tonight and
Sunday as the front moves through. The front should be clear of
kauai by sundown, and as the weak feature passes over oahu then
maui county overnight, showers will be focused across north
facing terrain, though a few showers will likely spread leeward.

The cloud band will be dissipating as it reaches the big island
early Sunday morning. A cool airmass will move in behind the
front, with dew points dropping into the upper 50s. As a result,
low and high temps will be running around 5 degrees below normal,
causing daytime highs to struggle to top 80. On Sunday, the gfs
and ECMWF show precipitable water plummeting to around three
quarters of an inch, which is about 60 percent of normal. Thus,
expect minimal showers along north facing slopes.

In addition, strong winds will continue across the high summits of
the big island through the weekend. Westerly winds peak tonight
then trend down late Sunday, and a high wind warning is in effect
for the summits through Sunday afternoon. We will also monitor the
summit of haleakala for possible advisory level winds later
tonight.

Minor changes are expect heading into the work week. A cool
northerly flow will persist as the front's parent low, currently
sitting about 700 miles to the north-northeast of the state is
replaced by another surface low dropping into the established
longwave trough over the eastern north pacific. We will likely see
a couple of weak and shallow moisture bands dropping over the
state and delivering light rainfall to north facing slopes, while
leeward areas remain rather dry. Temps will remain around 3 to 5
degrees below normal near sea level, meaning overnight lows in
the low to mid 60s and daytime highs around 80.

Winds will gradually shift toward a trade wind direction on
Wednesday then build on thanksgiving. The above mentioned surface
low to the northeast of the state will lift away from the region
on Wednesday, allowing an area of high pressure move north of the
state. This will result in building northeasterly trade winds. The
high will settle closer to the islands on thanksgiving, likely
leading to breezy and gusty northeasterly trades into next
weekend.

Aviation
A weak front will continue to move south over the island chain,
reaching maui county late tonight. Most of the showers associated
with the front are along the southeast shore of kauai and through
the kauai channel as of 0130z. Improving conditions are expected
over kauai within the next few hours, and airmet sierra for
mountain obscuration will likely be able to dropped over kauai by
the routine issuance at 0400z.

For oahu, expect clouds and showers to start focusing along the
mountains with northern exposure in the next few hours,
introducing periods of MVFR CIGS vis. Airmet sierra for mountain
obscuration is likely to become necessary over oahu at that time,
and for maui county later tonight as the front continues to moves
south.

A cooler, drier airmass and a moderate north flow will continue
to fill in behind the front. Most of the smaller islands should
see predominatelyVFR conditions tomorrow. Northern portions on
the big island could see periods of MVFR CIGS vis tomorrow from
any clouds and showers associated with the weak front.

Marine
A low pressure system and its associated cold front will be the
primary weather feature impacting the islands over the next couple
of days. Northerly winds with the system will remain below small
craft advisory (sca) levels, but will result in different areas of
terrain acceleration, such as through the kaulakahi channel today
and tonight and the hamakua coast and near south point on Sunday.

Moderate trades are expected to return Tuesday and Wednesday, and
may approach SCA levels at that time in the windier locations.

The fetch from the low will bring a rising north swell to the
north shores beginning tonight, peaking Sunday into Monday, and
then begin to trend down Tuesday and Wednesday. Advisory level
surf is expected for most areas exposed to the north swell, with
warning level surf likely for kauai. A high surf warning has been
posted for kauai and niihau, and a high surf advisory for oahu,
molokai, maui and the big island, beginning Sunday morning. This
swell will bring seas in excess of 10 ft to exposed waters, so an
sca has also been posted for waters.

Another low in the gulf of alaska will provide the source for the
next northerly swell which is expected to reach the islands as
early as Wednesday night with similar heights as the swell
expected tomorrow. This swell could bring near warning level surf
for thanksgiving before easing into the weekend.

South facing shores will continue at small levels through the weekend
in response to recent activity across the southern pacific.

See the latest collaborative nearshore and swell forecast for oahu
for more details on the surf at:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
51208 24 mi37 min 80°F8 ft
51201 - Waimea Bay, HI (106) 68 mi27 min 78°F6 ft

Wind History for Nawiliwili, HI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lihue, Lihue Airport, HI2 mi36 minNNW 510.00 miFair67°F60°F79%1013 hPa
Kekaha, Pacific Missile Test Facility Barking Sands, HI24 mi33 minN 1210.00 miFair73°F57°F59%1012.7 hPa

Wind History from HLI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5CalmN5W4W3W9W7W4W7W4W7W6W4N5N7N12N15N11NW6N10
G18
NW8NW5NW5N5
1 day agoNE17
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NE15NE15NE11NE14NE11NE12NE9NE11NE8W6N9NW4NE11NE10NE9NE11NW6NW10NW6NW6NW5NW14W7
2 days agoNE16NE20
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G21
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NE17NE17NE17NE17NE18

Tide / Current Tables for Hanamaulu Bay, Kauai Island, Hawaii
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Hanamaulu Bay
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:22 AM HST     2.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:51 AM HST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:53 AM HST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:21 AM HST     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:04 PM HST     0.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:53 PM HST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:14 PM HST     Moonset
Sun -- 09:30 PM HST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.71.21.61.92.121.81.51.10.80.50.40.40.50.60.80.80.80.60.40.20.10.10.3

Tide / Current Tables for Hanalei Bay, Kauai Island, Hawaii
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Hanalei Bay
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:10 AM HST     2.18 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:52 AM HST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:54 AM HST     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:55 AM HST     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:53 PM HST     0.90 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:53 PM HST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:14 PM HST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:04 PM HST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.41.82.12.22.11.81.510.70.50.40.50.60.70.90.90.80.60.40.20.10.20.40.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
cpac_satellite

GOES Local Image of Hawaii    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Kauai, HI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.