Tuesday, March28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hanamaulu, HI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 6:47PM Tuesday March 28, 2017 1:26 PM HST (23:26 UTC) Moonrise 7:13AMMoonset 7:53PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PHZ111 Kauai Windward Waters- 922 Am Hst Tue Mar 28 2017
Rest of today..East winds 15 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. Northwest swell 7 ft. Isolated showers.
Tonight..East winds 15 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. Northwest swell 7 ft.
Wednesday..East winds 15 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. Northwest swell 7 ft. Isolated showers in the morning.
Wednesday night..East winds 15 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. Northwest swell 6 ft. Isolated showers.
Thursday..Southeast winds 15 kt. Wind waves 6 ft. Northwest swell 5 ft. Scattered showers in the morning...then isolated showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 15 kt. Wind waves 6 ft. Northwest swell 8 ft increasing to 12 ft after midnight. Isolated showers in the evening...then scattered showers after midnight.
Friday..East winds 15 kt. Wind waves 5 to 6 ft. Northwest swell 11 to 13 ft. Scattered showers.
Saturday..East winds 20 kt. Wind waves 7 to 8 ft. Northwest swell 8 to 10 ft. Scattered showers.
PHZ100 922 Am Hst Tue Mar 28 2017
Synopsis for hawaiian coastal waters.. High pressure northeast of the islands will shift east through midweek as a cold front passes far north of the state. High pressure will build north of the state over the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hanamaulu, HI
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location: 22, -159.33     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxhw60 phfo 281945
afdhfo
area forecast discussion
national weather service honolulu hi
945 am hst Tue mar 28 2017

Synopsis
A surface ridge north of the state will maintain light to
moderate east to east-southeast surface winds across the islands
through mid-week. An upper level trough, which will dig east of
the island chain later tonight and Wednesday, is expected to bring
an increase in showers over windward facing slopes of the state
during the second half of the work week. In addition, a band of
clouds and showers ahead of a front may impact parts of the state
Thursday night and Friday, but the front is not expected to reach
the islands. A surface high building far northeast of the area
starting late Friday will produce breezy trades this weekend.

Discussion
A nearly stationary 1031 mb surface high is centered more than
1800 miles east-northeast of honolulu late this morning. A surface
ridge extends west-southwest from this high through a point about
300 miles north of lihue. The pressure gradient south and
southwest of these features is maintaining light to moderate east
to east-southeast wind flow across the state.

Water vapor imagery shows a shortwave trough is currently moving
by just north of the islands. The shortwave is providing some
enhancement to the low clouds and showers over and around the
state this morning. Patches of broken clouds and scattered showers
are observed on visible satellite and radar this morning. The light
east southeast winds are focusing most of the clouds and showers
over windward and mauka areas. For this afternoon, anticipating some
afternoon clouds and showers over interior sections of the islands
due to sea breezes building in.

The surface ridge is expected to remain north of the islands
through Thursday night, which will continue to drive the light to
moderate east to east-southeast flow. As the shortwave quickly
digs towards the southeast today, a mid-tropospheric ridge will
keep the atmosphere relatively stable through tonight. However,
the forecast models continue to show an increase in precipitation
starting late tonight as the shortwave digs in to the east of the
state tonight and Wednesday. The presence of this trough aloft
east of the area will continue enhance the low clouds and
precipitation tracking in from upstream through the rest of
the work week and possibly into Saturday.

Therefore, expect slightly wetter trade wind conditions after
tonight with the relatively weak low level flow focusing most of
these low clouds and showers over windward and southeast facing
slopes. Sea breezes will continue to dominate during the
afternoons and produce cloud build ups and showers.

The western end of the surface ridge to our north is expected to
erode some time on Thursday, as a cold front approaches from the
northwest. This front will likely stall and weaken two to three
hundred miles north-northwest of kauai by late Friday, so it is
not expected to ever reach the state. However, the forecast models
continue to suggest a band of clouds and showers will form near
the western end of the state to the southeast of the front. These
low clouds and showers might produce moderate rains over parts of
the state, particularly the western islands, late Thursday and
Friday.

The middle tropospheric ridge will likely strengthen above the
state from late Friday through this weekend. This will result in
more stable atmospheric conditions. Also, a surface high is
expected to build far northeast of the region this weekend, which
will likely produce breezy conditions across the hawaiian islands.

We also expect a slightly drier air mass over most of the state
this weekend. There will be some low clouds and brief showers
transported mainly into windward and mauka areas by the trades.

Aviation
Vfr conditions are expected to prevail. Some lingering clouds and
showers over the windward sides prompted airmet sierra for
mountain obscuration. Conditions are beginning to improve over
most of the area, so expect the airmet to be dropped shortly.

Some additional clouds are possible again overnight, which may
once again prompt an airmet for mountain obscuration. A north to
south oriented jet stream moving over this islands today may
likely require a sigmet shortly for upper level clear air
turbulence.

Marine
The west-northwest (290-310 deg) swell that peaked Sunday into
Monday will hold through mid week due to a slight reinforcement
tonight into Wednesday. A combination of this swell and moderate
to fresh breezes over the channels and waters around the big
island will continue to generate rough boating conditions.

Although the winds have dropped slightly below small craft
advisory levels (25 kt), seas will hold around 10 ft through the
day today across windward waters between the big island and oahu.

As a result, the small craft advisory will remain up across these
areas for seas today. Surf associated with the west-northwest
swell should remain just below advisory levels along exposed
north and west facing shores through mid week.

Winds should remain below advisory levels through Friday as the
ridge of high pressure north of the state slightly weakens in
response to a two weak cold fronts passing north of the area.

Advisory-level winds will likely return across portions of the
waters over the weekend as high pressure builds north of the state
behind the second front.

Surf along east facing shores will remain small and choppy through
the week due to persistent moderate to fresh onshore winds, but
increase over the weekend as winds strengthen again locally. A
slight increase in surf along south facing shores will be possible
Thursday through Saturday due to a long-period swell (190 deg)
associated with recent activity across the southern pacific.

The main forecast challenge will be centered on another, slightly
larger, west-northwest (290-310 deg) swell that will impact the
islands Thursday night through the weekend. This is due to a powerful
storm-force low currently tracking east-northeastward across the
northwest pacific. Recent ascat and altimeter obs support latest model
model runs with regard to wind speeds and resulting sea heights.

The large west-northwest swell associated with this system could
reach the islands as early as Thursday night, peak through the day
Friday and Friday night, then slowly ease over the upcoming
weekend. Warning-level surf and advisory-level seas are expected
Friday into the weekend before trending down through the beginning
of next week. The southern shores could see impacts from this
swell again at select spots due to wrapping around the islands.

Hfo watches/warnings/advisories
Small craft advisory until 6 pm hst this evening for oahu
windward waters-maui county windward waters-big island windward
waters.

Discussion... Foster
aviation... M ballard
marine... Ts


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWWH1 - 1611400 - Nawiliwili, HI 3 mi39 min E 12 G 14 77°F 1019.3 hPa
51208 24 mi35 min 78°F9 ft
51201 - Waimea Bay, HI (106) 68 mi55 min 76°F6 ft

Wind History for Nawiliwili, HI
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NE10
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lihue, Lihue Airport, HI2 mi34 minE 1110.00 miA Few Clouds81°F68°F65%1019.3 hPa
Kekaha, Pacific Missile Test Facility Barking Sands, HI24 mi31 minW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy0°F0°F%1019 hPa

Wind History from HLI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE11E10E9E9E9E11E8E10E11E10E10E11E10E9E10E11E11E10E11E12E13E10E11E11
1 day agoNE12NE14NE13NE12NE9NE10E13E14E15E15E13E13E11NE11NE8E11E10NE10E15E14E13E13E11E12
2 days agoNE12NE12NE12NE12NE10NE12NE13NE12NE10NE11NE13NE11NE11NE12NE10E15NE11NE7NE8E10E13E13NE11NE12

Tide / Current Tables for Hanamaulu Bay, Kauai Island, Hawaii
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Hanamaulu Bay
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:58 AM HST     1.45 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:33 AM HST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:13 AM HST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:08 AM HST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:35 PM HST     1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:51 PM HST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:52 PM HST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:42 PM HST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.71.11.41.41.310.60.2-0.1-0.2-0.10.10.50.91.31.51.51.410.60.30-0

Tide / Current Tables for Hanalei Bay, Kauai Island, Hawaii
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Hanalei Bay
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:46 AM HST     1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:33 AM HST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:13 AM HST     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:42 AM HST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:24 PM HST     1.65 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:52 PM HST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:53 PM HST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:16 PM HST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.91.31.51.51.410.50.1-0.2-0.2-0.10.30.71.11.51.61.61.410.50.2-000.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
cpac_satellite

GOES Local Image of Hawaii    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Kauai, HI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.