Sunrise 6:48 AM   Sunset 7:59 PM Moonrise 2:42 AM   Moonset 2:26 PM

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GMZ043 Expires:202405040845;;581221 Fzus52 Kkey 040234 Cwfkey
coastal waters forecast for the florida keys national weather service key west fl 1034 pm edt Fri may 3 2024
florida bay, hawk channel and straits of florida from ocean reef to south of dry tortugas, and the extreme southeastern gulf of mexico, including the florida keys national marine sanctuary
seas are given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz042>044-040845- hawk channel from ocean reef to craig key out to the reef- hawk channel from craig key to west end of seven mile bridge out to the reef- hawk channel from west end of seven mile bridge to halfmoon shoal out to the reef- 1034 pm edt Fri may 3 2024
.small craft should exercise caution until winds decrease - .
Overnight - East winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to near 15 knots late. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy, becoming a moderate chop. Isolated showers.Saturday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Saturday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers. Sunday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers. Sunday night and Monday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers. Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, subsiding to 3 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers.Tuesday - East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers. Tuesday night - East to southeast winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Wednesday - East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Wednesday night - East to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers.

GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 1034 Pm Edt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis - High pressure over the western north atlantic will encourage moderate to fresh easterly breezes for the next several days. Small craft should exercise caution tonight due to increasing winds across portions of the coastal seas. Breezes will tend to peak overnight, followed by lulls in the afternoon.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of may 01, 2024 - .
58 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 32 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 18 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 14 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 15 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 11 nm southeast of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 8 nm southeast of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west.

FXUS62 KKEY 031827 AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 227 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1107 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

A mix of sun and clouds continue as we head into the evening hours with radar showing only a few showers around the forecast area.
While a cloud line has set up across the Middle and Lower Keys, there has been no indication that any rainfall is occurring and dry conditions should continue overall.

A seasonably quiet weather pattern is on tap for the Florida Keys through the extended forecast. While deep tropical moisture is located nearby across the Central and Western Caribbean, this moisture will generally remain parked there, leaving the Keys in a drier airmass. Rain chances are not expected to eclipse 20% as this drier airmass and a generally stable environment nix most shower development before it can lead to measurable rainfall across the island chain. The best chance for rainfall will be Sunday night through Monday night when some of the aforementioned moisture to our south creeps into the Straits. This, combined with possible speed convergence from oscillating wind speeds, will lead to a better environment for shower development. Have retained the previously advertised 20% for these forecast periods.

As mentioned, easterly winds will peak and lull through the extended forecast, with higher winds expected overnight, decreasing by the morning. These easterly winds will continue to pump in near to above normal temperatures, with highs in the mid to upper 80s forecast during the day, and lows only dropping into the mid to upper 70s. Dew point temperatures will also slowly inch upwards through next week, with lower to even possibly mid 70 dew points possible by late next week. Summer coming up on us very quickly, with the possibility of another front and some relief becoming more and more unlikely each day.

MARINE
Issued at 1107 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 High pressure over the western North Atlantic will encourage moderate to fresh easterly breezes for the next several days. Small craft should exercise caution tonight due to increasing winds across portions of the coastal seas. Breezes will tend to peak overnight, followed by lulls in the afternoon.



AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1107 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 Dry, VFR conditions will prevail at EYW and MTH through the TAF period. Near-surface winds will be slightly elevated near EYW while a weak afternoon cloud line remains north of the terminal. Stronger near-surface winds may allow an occasional gust up to 20 knots, but the lack of predictabiltiy or persistence kept them out of the TAFs.
CIGs will remain above VFR criteria with FEW to SCT layers below 3 kft.



CLIMATE
On this date in Keys Weather History, the daily record high temperature of 91F was recorded in 1873. Temperature records in May for Key West date back to 1873.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Key West 76 85 77 85 / 10 10 20 10 Marathon 76 85 77 85 / 10 10 20 10

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GM...None.

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Vaca Key-Fat Deer Key bridge
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Fri -- 03:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:00 AM EDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:46 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:49 PM EDT     1.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Vaca Key-Fat Deer Key bridge, Florida, Tide feet

Moser Channel (swingbridge)
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Fri -- 02:58 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:57 AM EDT     1.33 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:56 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 12:12 PM EDT     -1.82 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:26 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:27 PM EDT     1.45 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:24 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Moser Channel (swingbridge), Florida Current, knots

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