Sunrise 6:41 AM   Sunset 8:05 PM Moonrise 12:26 PM   Moonset 1:10 AM

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GMZ032 Bayside And Gulf Side From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge- Gulf Of Mexico From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To 5 Fathoms- 1017 Pm Edt Tue May 14 2024
.small craft should exercise caution for increasing winds - .
Overnight - Southeast to south winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, except building to 2 to 3 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming choppy.Wednesday - South to southwest winds near 15 knots, becoming west to northwest and decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas subsiding to around 1 foot, except subsiding to 1 to 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a moderate chop, becoming smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot, except 1 to 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop, becoming a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.Thursday - Southwest to west winds near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot, except 1 to 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.Thursday night - Northwest to north winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming variable near 5 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop, becoming smooth. Isolated showers. Friday - Southeast to south winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers. Friday night - East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast to south and increasing 10 to 15 knots. Seas building to 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop, becoming a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers. Saturday - Southeast to south winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots. Seas subsiding to around 1 foot. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a light chop. Isolated showers.Saturday night - Southeast to south winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday - South to southwest winds near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.Sunday night - Southwest to west winds near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.

GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 1017 Pm Edt Tue May 14 2024
Synopsis - A weak frontal boundary to the north of the florida keys interacting with an area of high pressure in the western atlantic will result in a somewhat chaotic wind forecast through the weekend. Breezes will tend to peak in the evening and overnight hours, and then lull in the afternoon hours. Rain and Thunder chances will remain low through the weekend.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of may 07, 2024 - .
54 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 30 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 13 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 8 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 8 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 8 nm southeast of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 9 nm southeast of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west.

FXUS62 KKEY 150216 AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1016 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024

New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024

Currently - A surface high cell centered off the Mid-Atlantic coast extends a ridge southwestward across western Cuba. This along with a weak disorganized low over the southeastern United States is placing the Keys in a light to gentle southeasterly flow. This veered flow is maintaining continued warm and muggy conditions across the Keys this evening. Temperatures remain in the mid 80s with dew points in the mid to upper 70s. Despite the rather high surface dew points and this evenings sounding indicated 1.7+ inches of precipitable water, a very low inhibition layer around 980 mb has prevented stratocumulus, much less shower activity around the Keys.

Short Term Update - The Atlantic high will nudge a bit further out to sea through the overnight period as troughing over the southeast moves nearer the Atlantic Coast. The surface ridge will remain anchored across the Bahamas and Cuba. This along with the usual diurnal effects will result in winds strengthening out of the southeast over the next couple of hours. However, through late night and early tomorrow, winds will relax and clock south southwesterly. While the lower level ridge will be under pressure by troughing to the north, it will continue to remain in control of our area. This will maintain inhospitable conditions for shower formation. Expect no showers through the overnight period. Very warm conditions will continue with overnight lows remaining in the 80s with no reason for dew points to deviate from the upper 70s.

MARINE
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024

An Atlantic high will maintain a ridge to the southwest across Cuba through the overnight. Expect winds to surge moderately out of the southeast to south over the next few hours due to the usual evening and night time wind surge. Meanwhile, falling pressures moving into the Mid-Atlantic will help to steer winds west of south as they relax late in the night and early tomorrow.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024

VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals overnight.
Surface winds are expected to strengthen moderately out of the southeast to south over the next couple of hours, but then relax and shift further south southwest late in the night and early tomorrow.

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GM...None.

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Howe Key
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:24 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 10:08 AM EDT     0.69 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:42 PM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:55 PM EDT     1.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Howe Key, south end, Harbor Channel, Florida, Tide feet

No Name Key (northeast of)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:18 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:51 AM EDT     0.48 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:14 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 08:51 AM EDT     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 01:17 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:19 PM EDT     0.33 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:16 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:08 PM EDT     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

No Name Key (northeast of), Florida Current, knots

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