Sunrise 6:41 AM   Sunset 8:05 PM Moonrise 12:26 PM   Moonset 1:10 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New

GMZ032 Bayside And Gulf Side From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge- Gulf Of Mexico From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To 5 Fathoms- 1029 Pm Edt Wed May 15 2024
Overnight - Variable winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south to southwest and increasing to near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot, except around 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters smooth, becoming a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.Thursday - Southwest to west winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms. Thursday night - West to northwest winds near 10 knots, becoming variable and decreasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet, subsiding to around 1 foot. NEarshore waters a light chop, becoming smooth to a light chop, becoming smooth.Friday - Southeast to south winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Friday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast to south and increasing to near 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less, except 1 to 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop, becoming a light chop.Saturday - Southeast to south winds near 10 knots, becoming east to southeast and decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less, except 1 to 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a light chop, becoming smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers.Saturday night - East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast to south and increasing to near 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less, except 1 to 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop, becoming a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.Sunday - South to southwest winds near 10 knots, becoming southwest to west in the afternoon. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.Sunday night - West to northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming variable and decreasing to near 5 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop, becoming smooth. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.Monday - West to northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms. Monday night - Northwest to north winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.

GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 1029 Pm Edt Wed May 15 2024
Synopsis - A weak frontal boundary to the north of the florida keys interacting with an area of high pressure in the western atlantic will result in a somewhat chaotic wind forecast through the weekend. Breezes will tend to peak in the evening and overnight hours, and then lull in the afternoon hours. Rain and Thunder chances will remain low through early next week.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of may 15, 2024 - .
49 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 32 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 24 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 27 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 29 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 8 nm southeast of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 3 nm southeast of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west.

FXUS62 KKEY 160229 AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1029 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

Currently - A deep layered trough is riding eastward through the eastern United States this evening. This is resulting in an associated surface low near the New England coast with a trough extending southwestward through the southeastern United States.
This low has nudged the Atlantic ridge southward across Cuba. The combination of the above has resulted in a nebulous wind field across the Keys. Meanwhile, modest confluence has setup across our broader area, but is maximized across Central Florida and well north our area. While a few showers were able to percolate in the eastern Lower Keys earlier this afternoon, all more recent activity has been located along the confluent zone far to the north. More recently, this activity has been trending downwards but is still sagging slowly southwards.

Short Term Update - The previously mentioned low will meander of the coast while the attached surface trough pivots slightly eastward off the southeast coast. As a result, the surface ridge will remain across Cuba. As day time effects wear off, expect winds to firm up modestly out of the south to southwest. The best low level confluence is expected to remain to our north. The Keys will remain within the southern fringes of this confluent flow, but also not far away from the lower level ridge axis. Forecast soundings suggest some low level inhibition will persist. Taken together, along with the current activity in the southeast gulf, a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms is justified. The increasing flow will forestall any notion of appreciable radiational cooling and overnight lows should still be well up in the lower 80s. Dew points will also high in the upper 70s.

MARINE
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

The combination of mainland day time heating, troughing over the eastern United States, and a ridge across Florida has resulted in light and variable winds across Keys waters this evening. As the mainland cools and day time effects wear off, expect winds to firm up modestly out of the south to southwest. Have only refreshed first period wind wording in the evening marine update.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals overnight.
Surface winds will start out light and variable, but will gradually firm up out of the south to southwest late.

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GM...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Annette Key
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:08 AM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 08:55 AM EDT     1.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:26 PM EDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:42 PM EDT     2.03 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Annette Key, north end, Big Spanish Channel, Florida, Tide feet

No Name Key (northeast of)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:18 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:51 AM EDT     0.48 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:14 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 08:51 AM EDT     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 01:17 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:19 PM EDT     0.33 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:16 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:08 PM EDT     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

No Name Key (northeast of), Florida Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Key West, FL,