Thursday, June22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Islandia, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 8:03PM Thursday June 22, 2017 4:25 PM EDT (20:25 UTC) Moonrise 3:58AMMoonset 5:36PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Islandia, FL
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location: 25, -77.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 222002
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
402 pm edt Thu jun 22 2017

Discussion
The remnants of cindy are pushing into the lower mississippi river
valley this afternoon as atlantic high pressure digs into much of
the peninsula of florida. Drier air continues to hold over the
region along with the deep-layered high pressure. As cindy's
moisture is absorbed into an approaching trough, a frontal
boundary will develop over the lower tennessee valley into the
mid-atlantic over the weekend and begin to approach the region
late in the weekend into early next week.

As the frontal boundary approaches south florida Monday into
Tuesday, moisture begins to rebound with increasing shower and
thunderstorm chances. The frontal boundary has some mid-level
support in the gfs, which has more defined front in the 12z
solution, while the ECMWF has a more diffused moisture boundary.

Either way, the available moisture, instability, and forcing
should see a return to rain and storms for our area.

In the extended, the model solutions begin to diverge as the ecmwf
starts building in a ridge at the mid to upper levels while the
gfs holds the ridge back through the end of the week. The
return of moisture will help usher back in a rainy season pattern
that could bring heavy rain threats back starting near the end of
the weekend.

Marine
Southeasterly to easterly flow will continue through the weekend
over the waters. Overnight, conditions in the outer waters will
push scec criteria with improvement expected on Friday morning.

Overnight scec surges over the coming days cannot be ruled out.

Next week, a frontal boundary will begin to near the region early
in the week which could create some hazards for mariners.

Beach forecast
Decided to continue with the high risk of rip currents for this
evening and extend through late Friday. The persistent
southeasterly flow has continued to create rip currents along
the atlantic beaches of south florida today and tomorrow will
still have many of the remnant conditions hanging around. Local
modeling underestimated today's rip current risk a tad and
tomorrow appears to be very similar in pattern. At best, atlantic
beaches may see a moderate risk of rip currents, but even that
elevated risk may be magnified by this week's rip current activity
and rising attendance as the weekend begins.

Prev discussion issued 154 pm edt Thu jun 22 2017
aviation...

vfr conds expected through the rest of this evening with few sct
low cumulus clouds, bases 2500 ft msl, passing along the east
coast TAF sites. SE winds, 10-15 kt, will continue through
23 0000z, decreasing there afternoon. Mostly dry conditions will
persist tonight with a few sct low clouds along the eastern
peninsula, bases near 3000 ft msl. SE winds will increase again
aft 23 1500z tomorrow morning.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 77 89 77 90 10 20 10 20
fort lauderdale 79 90 79 91 10 20 10 10
miami 78 90 79 91 10 20 20 10
naples 77 92 76 91 20 30 20 30

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Friday evening for flz168-172-173.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 02 rag
marine... 02 rag
aviation... 27 jt
beach forecast... 02 rag


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL156 mi88 minE 11 G 1610.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F78°F76%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE10SE10SE11SE10SE7E6E8E6E4E6E4E6E5E8E7E7E9E13
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1 day agoE11
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2 days agoSE8E14SE10
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G19

Tide / Current Tables for Nassau, New Providence Island, Bahamas
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Nassau
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:46 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:51 AM EDT     3.24 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:50 PM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:22 PM EDT     3.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.30.61.21.92.63.13.232.41.60.80.30.20.41.122.93.643.93.42.61.6

Tide / Current Tables for Fresh Creek, Andros Island, Bahamas
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Fresh Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:40 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:55 AM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:38 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:36 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:22 PM EDT     3.89 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.50.81.322.633.232.41.60.90.50.40.71.42.22.93.53.93.83.42.61.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.