Sunrise 6:28 AM   Sunset 7:43 PM Moonrise 3:40 AM   Moonset 4:19 PM

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AMZ075 Northern Bahamas From 24n To 27n- 1026 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2024
Today - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.Tonight - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft atlc exposures, and 2 to 4 ft elsewhere. Wed - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft atlc exposures, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Wed night - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft atlc exposures, and 2 to 4 ft elsewhere. Thu - S to sw winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Thu night - NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Fri - N to ne winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Fri night - NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Sat - NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Sat night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

FXUS62 KMFL 051703 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 103 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

New SHORT TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 101 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

Surface high pressure centered near New England and the Canadian Maritimes. Aloft, a trough extending from an area of low pressure centered over northeastern Canada will exit into the Atlantic while a southern stream shortwave trough moves eastward through the southern Mississippi River valley. The overall pattern will allow for a persistent easterly wind flow to continue even as the surface high is pinched east and south to start the week.

Warm temperatures will continue as the moist tropical airmass continues to hold over the region. With the easterly flow, Southwest Florida will reach the lower 90s for the afternoon highs and the Atlantic sea breeze will help keep Southeast Florida in the mid to upper 80s.

Morning Atlantic showers will transition to inland and Southwest Florida thunderstorms for the afternoon with the retreat of any remnant convection back to the coast with the sea breeze. While the thunderstorms should be more of the garden variety, there is some cooler air aloft which could allow for some stout convection where boundary collisions occur.

LONG TERM
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 345 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

Surface high pressure stays focused to the east in the Atlantic, maintaining the light to moderate east to east-southeasterly flow across the region through much of next week. 500 mb heights begin to increase into mid to late week as upper level ridging will build into the region from the west. A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day next week with eastern areas more likely to see any weak activity during the early afternoon hours with the inland progression of the sea breeze. The east coast breeze will continue to push further inland with slightly better chances for isolated showers or storms across Southwest Florida during the evening hours closer to sunset.

Overall rain chances will remain low through the week, but will decrease even more as upper level ridging builds towards the end of the week. High temperatures through the early portion of the period will run in the low to mid 80s along the coasts with lower 90s likely for interior areas. By the middle to late portion of the week, high temperatures will climb into the upper 80s near the coasts with mid to even upper 90s possible for interior areas. A sobering reminder that another balmy South Florida summer is just around the corner.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 101 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

VFR through much of forecast period, except for bouts of sub-VFR this afternoon at APF due to showers/storms. E/ESE wind around 10-15 kt with higher gusts. Gulf sea breeze may impact APF with onshore flow.

MARINE
Issued at 101 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

Breezy to gusty easterly winds with easterly surges at time, especially across the Atlantic waters over the next several days.
Isolated to scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms are possible each day, which could bring locally higher seas and gusty winds in and around shower/thunderstorm activity. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less across the Gulf waters. During easterly wind surges, conditions could reach Small Craft Exercise Caution (SCEC)
conditions.

BEACHES
Issued at 101 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

Breezy easterly flow will lead to a high risk for rip currents along the Atlantic beaches through the remainder of this weekend. The risk may remain elevated through at least early week, especially across the Palm Beaches.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 75 85 75 85 / 10 20 10 20 West Kendall 72 87 72 88 / 10 20 10 30 Opa-Locka 73 87 73 88 / 10 20 10 20 Homestead 74 85 74 86 / 10 20 10 20 Fort Lauderdale 75 84 75 85 / 10 10 10 20 N Ft Lauderdale 74 85 74 85 / 10 10 10 20 Pembroke Pines 74 88 74 89 / 10 10 10 20 West Palm Beach 72 85 72 86 / 10 10 10 20 Boca Raton 74 86 73 87 / 10 10 10 20 Naples 71 90 72 89 / 40 20 10 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ168-172- 173.

AM...None.
GM...None.

Nassau
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:00 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:11 AM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:14 PM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:39 PM EDT     3.88 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Nassau, New Providence Island, Bahamas, Tide feet

Fresh Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:14 AM EDT     3.26 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:01 PM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:39 PM EDT     3.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Fresh Creek, Andros Island, Bahamas, Tide feet

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