Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Key Largo, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:17PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 6:52 PM EDT (22:52 UTC) Moonrise 10:17AMMoonset 11:14PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 321 Pm Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Tonight..East southeast winds around 5 knots becoming south after midnight. Bay waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning... Then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters light chop.
Saturday and Saturday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East southeast winds around 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East southeast winds around 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 321 Pm Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis..Generally good boating conditions will continue across the south florida waters into the weekend and early next week. Prevailing winds will be southeasterly at 10kts or less, with the gulf and atlantic sea breezes briefly enhancing winds near the coast during the afternoons. Scattered Thunderstorms can be expected, over the open gulf and atlantic during the nights and mornings and over inland waterways and the gulf coast during the afternoons. Locally higher winds and seas, as well lightning can be expected near any storms that develop.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 27, 2017 at 1200 utc... 14 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 20 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 13 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 14 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Key Largo, FL
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location: 25.31, -80.27     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 281926
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
326 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017

Discussion
This afternoon and tonight: remainder of the afternoon is expected
to pan out similarly to yesterday with scattered showers and storms
now ongoing along the seabreezes as well as other boundaries across
the region. A special 15z sounding shows that steering flow remains
non-existent over the region, so storms that develop will move
very little. New development will trend further inland with the
seabreezes as we move through the afternoon, though outflow
boundaries may initiate additional storms back towards the coasts.

Best chances will be late afternoon early evening with the
seabreeze collision over the interior. Lightning will remain the
main hazard with storms, though slow storm movement will also
bring locally heavy rainfall and boundary collisions may produce
stronger storms with gusty winds and small hail.

Storms are expected to wind down by midnight, with scattered
activity over the open waters overnight occasionally brushing the
coasts.

Thursday: this will be a transitional day, as we lose the influence
of the weak front currently across north central florida as high
pressure begins to build in from the east. The overall drier, and
slightly more subsident airmass will keep coverage of showers and
storms right around seasonal norms.

Isolated showers and storms will likely get going along both
seabreezes as they develop and move inland early in the afternoon,
with the east coast seabreeze moving more quickly and afternoon
coverage generally favoring the western interior. With temps aloft
near normal and no significant synoptic features, the biggest hazard
with storms will remain lightning. The light southeasterly wind
profile is also favorable for waterspout development over the local
waters, especially in the morning.

Friday through fourth of july holiday: somewhat stagnant, and fairly
typical summertime pattern will be in place across the region for
this weekend through the upcoming holiday. The axis of the western
atlantic ridge, both at the surface and aloft, will extend across
the florida peninsula bringing prevailing easterly flow. Both
seabreezes will develop each afternoon, with the atlantic seabreeze
dominating and convection favoring the gulf coast and western
interior. Best rain chances along the east coast will be during the
overnights and mornings. Warm and muggy temperatures will continue
with highs in the lower 90s, leading to afternoon heat indices
around 100f. Overnight lows will be in the mid-upper 70s, with east
coast locations potentially remaining above 80f for many nights.

Marine Generally good boating conditions will continue across the
local waters into the weekend and early next week. Prevailing winds
will generally be southeasterly at 10kts or less, with local sea
breezes briefly enhancing winds near the coast to 10-15 knots during
the afternoon.

Overall coverage of showers and storms will be on the decrease as we
go into the weekend, with the best coverage over the open waters
during the nights and mornings. Inland waterways, as well as the
gulf coast will see better chances during the afternoons and
evenings. Erratic winds and higher seas, along with lightning will
be possible in and around thunderstorms.

Aviation Both the atlantic and gulf sea breezes have
developed and are currently moving across the peninsula around 10
kt. Scattered thunderstorms in the western portion of the east
coast metro area may push an outflow boundary or two across the
taf sites, but less than 25 kt. Winds and shower activity should
diminish aft 29 0000z. Light and variable winds are expected
tonight with mostly dry conditions. The gulf and atlantic sea
breezes will push inland again aft 29 1700z with more shower storm
activity developing inland.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 78 91 78 91 20 30 20 40
fort lauderdale 79 91 79 90 20 30 30 30
miami 79 92 79 90 20 30 30 30
naples 76 91 76 91 20 40 40 40

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 88 alm
marine... 88 alm
aviation... 27 jt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 10 mi173 min 94°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 11 mi113 min 91°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 11 mi173 min 92°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 13 mi173 min 92°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 15 mi173 min 91°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 15 mi173 min 93°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 20 mi113 min 92°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 21 mi113 min 93°F
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 21 mi53 min SE 1 G 1.9 83°F 85°F1016.8 hPa (-0.0)
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 21 mi113 min 92°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 21 mi53 min E 7 G 7 84°F 85°F1016.9 hPa (-0.4)
TBYF1 26 mi113 min 95°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 29 mi113 min 92°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 30 mi173 min S 4.1 95°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 30 mi113 min 96°F
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 30 mi53 min ENE 7 G 8 85°F 88°F1015.8 hPa (-0.4)
BKYF1 33 mi173 min 97°F
LRIF1 33 mi113 min 92°F
NRRF1 34 mi113 min 89°F
WWEF1 36 mi173 min 92°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 36 mi173 min 86°F
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 37 mi113 min 92°F
LRKF1 - Little Rabbit Key, FL 37 mi173 min 92°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 37 mi173 min 89°F
JKYF1 - Johnson Key, FL 38 mi173 min 93°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 38 mi113 min 91°F
CWAF1 39 mi173 min 92°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 41 mi113 min 87°F
HREF1 43 mi113 min 86°F
SREF1 44 mi113 min 89°F
LONF1 - Long Key, FL 45 mi173 min ENE 1 G 5.1 85°F 90°F1016 hPa75°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 45 mi113 min 86°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL13 mi55 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds82°F76°F83%1016.5 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE7E9SE6SE7E8CalmW5Calm
1 day agoE5E3CalmCalmE3E3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--E4--SE6----E8N10W3--
2 days agoSE9E5E3CalmE5NE6E5E5E5E6E7E6E7SE7E6SE7SE5SE9E8SE6E8SE8E10E6

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean Reef Harbor, Key Largo, Florida
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Ocean Reef Harbor
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:28 AM EDT     2.75 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:46 AM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:50 PM EDT     2.53 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:07 PM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.72.72.31.60.90.2-0.2-0.200.61.21.92.42.52.31.710.4-0.1-0.3-0.20.311.6

Tide / Current Tables for Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current
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Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:15 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:18 AM EDT     -1.87 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:55 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:29 AM EDT     1.04 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:14 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:30 PM EDT     -1.94 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:11 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.410.2-0.7-1.5-1.9-1.8-1.4-0.70.10.7110.70.2-0.6-1.4-1.9-1.9-1.6-1-0.20.61.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.