Monday, November20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Homestead Base, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 5:32PM Monday November 20, 2017 12:58 AM EST (05:58 UTC) Moonrise 8:23AMMoonset 7:27PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 943 Pm Est Sun Nov 19 2017
Rest of tonight..North northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers.
Monday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Tuesday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the morning...then showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 knots in the evening becoming variable winds less than 5 knots...then becoming west northwest around 5 knots in the morning. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers in the evening...then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..East northeast winds 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..South southeast winds around 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers.
Thursday..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Friday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 943 Pm Est Sun Nov 19 2017
Synopsis..Gusty northwest, and eventually northeasterly winds will overspread the local waters tonight as a cold front moves through. Hazardous boating conditions are expected through Monday as winds drive seas up to 8 feet in the gulf stream and offshore gulf waters. Rain chances will increase late tonight, with an unsettled pattern continuing through the remainder of the week.
Gulf stream hazards..Winds becoming north-northeast 15 to 25 knots late tonight. Seas building up to 7 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 18, 2017 at 1200 utc... 5 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 23 nautical miles southeast of port everglades. 13 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Homestead Base, FL
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location: 25.44, -80.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 200031
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
731 pm est Sun nov 19 2017

Update
Lowered pops across the region based on radar trends for this
evening. Otherwise, there were no other changes made to the
previous forecast. The cold front will push through the region
tonight, however it will not have a lot of moisture to work with.

There still will be the chance of a shower mainly over the marine
areas and the east coast metro areas during the overnight hours.

The front then stalls out over the florida straits and the
moisture begins to increase on Monday. This will allow for a
better chance of showers especially across the eastern half of
south florida during the afternoon.

Prev discussion issued 640 pm est Sun nov 19 2017
aviation... Front currently moving into region with little more
than extra midlevel clouds and the occasional sprinkle. Light west
winds currently should become NW late evening as front moves in.

Can't rule out a sprinkle, but threat looks to low to include at
the moment. Brief MVFR CIGS possible behind front, mainly at kapf.

Front stalls over south portion of region late, winds become nne
10-12z, with gusty ene winds at all sites after 14z. Threat for
shra generally limited to kmia-ktmb after 19z for this TAF cycle.

Prev discussion... Issued 332 pm est Sun nov 19 2017
discussion...

a weak cold front will approach and move through the region
tonight bringing slightly cooler temperatures to south florida.

This front will have very little moisture to work with as it
passes through, so the rain chances will be low, however, the
highest chances tonight will be confined to the east coast as well
as the marine areas. Rain chances increase over the region on
Monday as this front will stall out over the florida straits and
a northeasterly flow brings in more moisture from the atlantic. At
the same time, an upper level shortwave will deepen over the
northern gulf of mexico which will help to increase the rain
chances on Tuesday as well. Conditions will be unstable enough to
support a slight chance of thunderstorms as well on Tuesday.

Temperatures will be slightly cooler tonight and Monday behind the
front with low temperatures tonight dropping into the 50s across
the northwest interior to the 60s across the rest of the region.

High temperatures on Monday will range from the upper 70s to
around 80.

Both the GFS and the ECMWF continue to agree on the progression of
a shortwave trough over the northern gulf as well as an area of
low pressure impacting south florida towards the end of the week.

This trough will deepen Wednesday as it approaches northern
florida on thanksgiving day. The best support of convection will
be in northern florida, however, we will be in a warm and humid
air mass to the south on Wednesday. A surface trough will move
through the region on thanksgiving day, which will allow for more
showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms across south florida.

The GFS and the ECMWF continue to differ in timing of the
departure of the system on Friday and the arrival of drier air to
the region, however, they both agree that there will not be a
significantly cooler air mass behind it. High temperatures behind
the system will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s with lows in the
mid to upper 50s across the interior, to the 60s across the east
coast metro areas.

Marine... A cold front will move across the atlantic and gulf
waters tonight brining gusty winds along with it behind the front.

Seas could reach up to 8 feet in the gulf stream potentially
through Monday night. Rain chances will gradually increase tonight
through Monday night and thunderstorms will be possible on
Tuesday. Due to the increase in winds and seas tonight, hazardous
marine conditions are expected later tonight through Monday
morning.

Beach forecast... A cold front will move across south florida
tonight and the winds will increase out of the east northeast
behind the front. The onshore flow will increase the risk of rip
currents across the atlantic beaches on Monday.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 67 79 72 82 30 40 30 60
fort lauderdale 68 79 72 83 30 50 40 60
miami 68 80 71 83 30 50 40 60
naples 65 81 67 81 10 20 20 60

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 11 pm this evening to 7 pm est Monday
for amz650-651-670-671.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 11 am est Monday for gmz676.

Update... 55 cwc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 14 mi119 min 79°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 16 mi59 min 77°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 16 mi59 min NW 9.9 G 11 73°F 78°F1015.8 hPa (+0.6)
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 17 mi119 min 76°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 19 mi119 min 76°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 19 mi119 min 77°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 20 mi119 min 75°F
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 22 mi41 min W 2.9 G 4.1 74°F 78°F1014.9 hPa
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 23 mi59 min 76°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 24 mi59 min 76°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 26 mi59 min 75°F
TBYF1 29 mi59 min 77°F
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 30 mi59 min N 9.9 G 11 73°F 80°F1015.4 hPa (+0.4)
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 31 mi59 min 77°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 32 mi119 min 76°F
LRIF1 32 mi59 min 76°F
NRRF1 32 mi59 min 76°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 33 mi119 min W 8 75°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 34 mi59 min 76°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 34 mi119 min 76°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 35 mi59 min 75°F
BKYF1 35 mi59 min 75°F
WWEF1 35 mi119 min 75°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 37 mi59 min 75°F
CWAF1 38 mi119 min 76°F
HREF1 39 mi59 min 75°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 39 mi59 min 75°F
LRKF1 - Little Rabbit Key, FL 41 mi119 min 76°F
JKYF1 - Johnson Key, FL 41 mi119 min 74°F
SREF1 41 mi59 min 76°F
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 42 mi59 min 75°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 45 mi59 min 76°F
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 47 mi35 min WNW 7 G 11 73°F 1015.1 hPa66°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL4 mi63 minN 010.00 miFair68°F67°F100%1015.2 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL15 mi66 minN 010.00 miFair66°F64°F93%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmNW6NW3NW3NW4NW5NW7NW4W4CalmSW3S3W7W4W6NW4W6W5W6W4CalmCalm
1 day ago----------NW5N3N5N6NE7NE12NE10NE8
G15
NE10NE8NE9NE6NE5NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN8N7N8N8N6N5N5NW7N11N11NE16NE15NE15NE13
G20
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NE13NE12NE9NE9NE9--------

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, Biscayne Bay, Florida
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:14 AM EST     0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:42 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:22 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:45 AM EST     2.06 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:44 PM EST     0.46 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:27 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 11:46 PM EST     1.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.91.71.310.60.30.20.30.61.11.622.11.91.71.310.70.50.50.71.11.51.8

Tide / Current Tables for Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current
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Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:31 AM EST     -2.18 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:08 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:41 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:57 AM EST     1.53 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:22 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:12 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:07 PM EST     -1.75 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:41 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:26 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 07:55 PM EST     0.93 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:36 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.6-2.1-2.1-1.7-1-0.10.81.41.51.40.90.2-0.7-1.5-1.7-1.6-1.2-0.50.20.80.90.70.3-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.