Sunrise 6:38 AM   Sunset 7:58 PM Moonrise 6:37 AM   Moonset 8:59 PM

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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 401 Am Edt Thu May 9 2024
Today - S se winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. Tonight - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. Fri - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop.Fri night - W sw winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. Sat - W sw winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - W nw winds 10 to 15 kt becoming N nw 5 to 10 kt in the morning. Bay waters a moderate chop. Sun and Sun night - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. Mon - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Thu May 9 2024
Synopsis -
a moderate to fresh southeasterly wind flow across the atlantic waters will become south to southwesterly heading into the end of the week. Across the gulf waters, a moderate south to southeasterly wind flow will become southwest each afternoon through the rest of the week as a gulf breeze develops. Chances of showers and Thunderstorms will increase over the weekend as a front approaches the local waters.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 09, 2024 at 12 utc - .
7 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 090715 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 315 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES, FIRE WEATHER

SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 253 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

An expansive mid level ridge centered over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico will build over South Florida today, while surface high pressure remains over the western Atlantic. With a northwesterly wind flow aloft, a drier air mass will keep the chances of showers and storms very limited, however, there may be just enough lingering lower level moisture across the Lake Okeechobee region to support an isolated shower or storm where the sea breezes interact during the afternoon. Any shower or storm that does develop will be short lived and will quickly diminish after sunset due to loss of diurnal heating. With many areas seeing a good deal of sunshine, high temperatures today will soar into the upper 80s and lower 90s across the coastal areas while the interior sections rise into the mid to upper 90s. Heat index values may reach the triple digits especially across interior portions of Southwest Florida in the afternoon.

On Friday, the mid-level ridge will remain in control over South Florida with dry conditions, but a mid-level shortwave and associated surface low will drop into the Southeast US. This will result in surface winds over our area turning southwesterly, and allow high temperatures on Friday to be a bit warmer than on Thursday. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with most of the metro area in the low to mid 90s. Interior areas will reach the mid or even upper 90s. Heat index values will reach triple digits across most of South Florida during the afternoon.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 253 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

The long anticipated weak cold front arrives in Florida on Saturday morning before stalling over the Peninsula. This boundary will be a highly weak one and thus not have strong forcing, plus the upper level pattern will be lacking energy. Therefore, limited convective showers and storms are expected across the region for the weekend. There is likely to be isolated convection due to sufficient moisture (PWATs ~ 1.2-1.5") and some locations could reach their local convective temperature with warm diurnal heating on the menu on Saturday. However, cloud coverage with the approaching front could prevent this warming. The strength of the cap, along with above normal temperatures and plentiful moisture, will be the determining factors. Weak ridging will rebuild on Sunday, inhibiting rain chances for Sunday.

While a relatively benign upper level pattern is projected to remain in place through the middle of next week, there are several opportunities for quick impulses to interact with the adequate moisture pooling and hot temperatures. Thus, with the daily sea breezes, there is chance for daily isolated to scattered convective showers and thunderstorms.

The temperatures will continue to trend above normal with daily highs, through the long term, will reach the low to mid 90s for most locations. Despite the frontal passage, Saturday will is forecast to remain warm due to it's weakness. Heat indices have the potential to climb into the 100s on several days through the long term period. However, at this moment, no counties are expected to reach heat advisory criteria.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

Generally VFR through the period with light southeasterly flow turning more southerly as it picks up later this morning. APF could see another Gulf sea breeze develop and turn the wind out of the west to southwest by the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 253 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

A moderate to fresh southerly wind flow across the local waters today will turn southwesterly on Friday as a frontal boundary approaches the region. The chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase during the first part of the weekend as a frontal boundary moves closer to the region.

BEACHES
Issued at 253 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

A high risk of rip currents will continue across the Palm Beaches today, while a moderate risk of rip currents remains in place across the beaches of Broward and Miami-Dade Counties.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 253 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

As a drier air mass filters into the region, minimum relative humidity values each afternoon through the rest of the week could range between 30 and 35 percent over the interior portions of South Florida. This could lead to enhanced fire weather conditions across these areas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 88 75 94 76 / 0 0 0 10 West Kendall 91 72 94 73 / 0 0 0 10 Opa-Locka 92 74 95 75 / 0 0 0 10 Homestead 88 74 91 75 / 0 0 0 10 Fort Lauderdale 87 75 92 76 / 0 0 0 10 N Ft Lauderdale 88 75 94 76 / 0 0 0 10 Pembroke Pines 92 75 96 76 / 0 0 0 10 West Palm Beach 90 73 95 74 / 10 0 10 20 Boca Raton 90 74 94 75 / 0 0 10 20 Naples 90 75 89 77 / 0 0 0 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Turkey Point
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Thu -- 12:09 AM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:09 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:14 PM EDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:23 PM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Turkey Point, Biscayne Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Caesar Creek
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Thu -- 02:48 AM EDT     -1.96 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:13 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:37 AM EDT     1.13 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:11 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:44 PM EDT     -2.54 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:22 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:24 PM EDT     1.87 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current, knots

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