Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cutler Bay, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:17PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 1:15 PM EDT (17:15 UTC) Moonrise 10:17AMMoonset 11:14PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 1025 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Rest of today..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..East southeast winds around 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late in the evening,...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning,...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday and Saturday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1025 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis..Generally good boating conditions will prevail across the local waters for the next several days with light southeasterly flow. Local sea breezes may briefly enhance winds near the coast to 10-15 knots during the afternoon, from the southeast along the atlantic coast and west/southwest along the gulf coast. Additionally, locally erratic winds along with lightning will be possible in and around Thunderstorms which are expected to be isolated to widely scattered in coverage. Waves will be 3 feet or less heading into the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 27, 2017 at 1200 utc... 14 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 20 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 13 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 14 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cutler Bay, FL
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location: 25.56, -80.24     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 281458
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
1058 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

Update
This mornings surface analysis showed a cold front draped east to
west across north-central florida, similar to 24-hours ago. The
12z mfl RAOB sounding indicated light and variable winds from near
the surface up to around 300 mb and a pwat slightly above 1.7
inches. Light flow will allow both the gulf and atlantic sea
breeze to develop late this morning, generating convection along
this feature. As the afternoon progresses, short term model
guidance progs showers and storms to drift inland, driven by
storm outflow boundary collisions. Therefore, expanded the
coverage of likely pops in the morning update based on current
model trends. Slow storm motion may also lead to an increase
threat of waterspouts over the atlantic and lake okeechobee as
well as an increased, but isolated, flooding threat from slow
moving thunderstorms. Maximum temperatures are forecast mainly in
the low 90s, a few degrees above seasonal norms.

Prev discussion issued 809 am edt Wed jun 28 2017
aviation...

expecting a similar set up as yesterday with mostly clear skies
and light winds through mid morning. Aft around 28 1700z, both
the atlantic and gulf sea breeze will develop, sustained near 10
kt. The breezes will move inland over the TAF sites, triggering
convection and vcts conds. By late afternoon, most activity should
have moved towards the interior, but outflow from the storms may
continue the threat of storms through early evening. Winds and
shower activity is expected to diminish aft 29 0000z.

Prev discussion... Issued 305 am edt Wed jun 28 2017
discussion...

near term through 6 pm Wednesday evening ...

as of 305 am edt... A weak frontal boundary continues to slowly
wash out with time just north of the region, as an upper-level
trough exiting out of the northeast keeps the bermuda high
influence limited across south florida. This synoptic setup will
lead to another day of sea breeze driven circulations with
otherwise light flow.

Through daybreak, isolated to widely scattered showers will be
possible in a moist environment, as pwats linger around 2 inches
slightly above normal for this time of year. Any activity over
inland areas should be rather brief and light, with the better
chance for more robust showers and a few storms over the local
atlantic and gulf waters.

After daybreak, a similar forecast to yesterday will take shape,
with both atlantic and gulf sea breezes developing in the late
morning and into the afternoon hours, being the primary focus for
scattered shower and thunderstorm development later today. The best
chances for thunderstorms will be across the interior, although
activity will also be possible along the coasts as well, especially
initially along the leading edge of the sea breezes and later in the
afternoon on the heels of outflow boundaries that refire additional
convection. Midlevel temps near normal for this time of year and an
overall lack of forcing beyond typical mesoscale circulations will
yield general thunderstorms with lightning and heavy rain the
primary threats. With plenty of instability in place and pwats near
2 inches, cannot rule out some brief gusty winds with a weak wet
microburst with the strongest storms.

Convection will begin to slowly wane towards sunset, gradually
shifting towards marine areas, with a few lingering showers and
rumbles of thunder possible over the mainland. High temperatures
today look to reach into the lower 90s for most, with mid 90s across
portions of the interior. With plenty of tropical moisture in place,
it will feel hot with heat indices likely reaching into the lower
100s across many areas as well, especially south.

Short term 6 pm Wednesday evening through Friday night ...

the short term period will continue to see the frontal boundary to
the north gradually wash out and retreat northward with time, as
upper-level energy across the northeast helps keep the bermuda high
suppressed and a weak flow pattern dominated by sea breezes in place
across south florida. Other than some minor surges in moisture
through the period, the pattern will generally remain stagnant
across the immediate region, with scattered to locally numerous
showers and thunderstorms primarily focused in interior areas during
the afternoon and evening hours. Midlevel temps remain near normal,
so most thunderstorm activity will be garden variety, although a few
strong storms each afternoon will be possible. By Thursday, the
bermuda high will begin to restrengthen and mark a transition to a
more moderate easterly flow regime.

Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal with highs in the
upper 80s lower 90 along the coasts to lower and mid 90s in the
interior. Low temperatures will generally be in the 70s, with a few
readings near 80 in the east coast metro.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

the long term period will continue to see the reestablishment of the
bermuda high, along with a predominately summertime easterly flow
regime. This pattern will feature typical sea breeze development
during the afternoon hours, with scattered showers and thunderstorms
favored over the interior and gulf coast, with nighttime activity
favored over the atlantic waters and east coast. With the bermuda
high becoming well established, subsidence in the mid-levels will
lead to near of slightly below normal pwats for this time of year,
helping to keep rain chances towards seasonal norms. Temperatures
will be near to slightly above normal during the long term period.

Marine...

generally good boating conditions will prevail across the local
waters for the next several days with light southeasterly flow.

Local sea breezes may briefly enhance winds near the coast to 10-15
knots during the afternoon, from the southeast along the atlantic
coast and west southwest along the gulf coast. Additionally, locally
erratic winds along with lightning will be possible in and around
thunderstorms which are expected to be isolated to widely scattered
in coverage. Waves will be 3 feet or less heading into the weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 92 78 91 78 50 30 40 30
fort lauderdale 92 79 91 80 50 30 40 30
miami 93 78 92 79 50 30 40 30
naples 92 76 91 77 40 30 40 30

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 27 jt
discussion... 92 irl
marine... 92 irl
aviation... 27 jt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 8 mi76 min SE 5.1 G 6 83°F 84°F1017.9 hPa (+0.9)
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 13 mi46 min E 5.1 G 8 85°F 87°F1016.8 hPa
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 24 mi136 min 90°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 25 mi76 min 89°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 26 mi136 min 89°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 28 mi136 min 89°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 29 mi136 min 88°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 29 mi136 min 88°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 32 mi76 min 91°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 34 mi76 min 90°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 36 mi76 min 89°F
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 37 mi52 min E 4.1 G 7 87°F 1017.4 hPa73°F
TBYF1 38 mi76 min 91°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 38 mi136 min 85°F
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 39 mi76 min SE 5.1 G 6 83°F 84°F1017.5 hPa (+0.7)
NRRF1 39 mi76 min 88°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 40 mi136 min 85°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 40 mi76 min 91°F
LRIF1 40 mi76 min 88°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 43 mi76 min 84°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 43 mi136 min SE 1.9 91°F
WWEF1 43 mi136 min 88°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 44 mi76 min 91°F
HREF1 44 mi76 min 86°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 44 mi76 min 86°F
BKYF1 44 mi76 min 91°F
CWAF1 45 mi136 min 89°F
SREF1 48 mi76 min 88°F
LBRF1 - Broad River Lower, FL 48 mi136 min 86°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 49 mi76 min 91°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL9 mi18 minSE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F77°F65%1016.9 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL12 mi23 minESE 1010.00 miFair91°F75°F61%1016.7 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL18 mi23 minSE 10 G 1510.00 miMostly Cloudy91°F75°F61%1016.7 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL24 mi23 minE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F77°F70%1017.1 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--E8N10W3----CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE7E9SE6
1 day agoSE6E8SE8E10E6E5E3CalmCalmE3E3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--E4--SE6--
2 days agoE8E10E10E10SE8SE9E5E3CalmE5NE6E5E5E5E6E7E6E7SE7E6SE7SE5SE9E8

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Chita Key, Biscayne Bay, Florida
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Boca Chita Key
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:37 AM EDT     1.89 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:08 AM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:59 PM EDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:29 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.41.81.91.61.20.70.3-0.1-0.2-0.10.30.71.21.61.71.61.30.80.4-0-0.2-0.20.10.5

Tide / Current Tables for Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current
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Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:15 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:18 AM EDT     -1.87 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:55 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:29 AM EDT     1.04 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:14 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:30 PM EDT     -1.94 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:11 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.410.2-0.7-1.5-1.9-1.8-1.4-0.70.10.7110.70.2-0.6-1.4-1.9-1.9-1.6-1-0.20.61.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.