Tuesday, March28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cutler Bay, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 7:37PM Tuesday March 28, 2017 11:16 PM EDT (03:16 UTC) Moonrise 6:46AMMoonset 7:25PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 929 Pm Edt Tue Mar 28 2017
Rest of tonight..East southeast winds around 5 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop.
Friday night and Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots in the evening becoming variable winds less than 5 knots. Bay waters light chop.
Sunday..Variable winds 5 knots or less becoming east southeast around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 929 Pm Edt Tue Mar 28 2017
Synopsis..Weak high pressure over florida will lead to mostly light winds through Wednesday. Southeast winds begin to increase on Thursday, becoming southeast to south 15 to 20 knots over most of the local waters Thursday night and Friday. High pressure shifting south of the area Saturday and Sunday turns winds to south and southwest and decreasing to less than 15 knots. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms are expected Friday and Friday night.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of mar 28, 2017 at 1200 utc... 13 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 14 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cutler Bay, FL
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location: 25.56, -80.24     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 290126 aac
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
926 pm edt Tue mar 28 2017

Update 2
Quick update to add a slight chance of showers over the atlantic
waters for the evening hours tonight, as a few showers have
develop over the atlantic waters.

The other change is that the lastest short range models this
evening have dropped the dew points over the western interior
areas of south florida by couple of degrees compare to the
afternoon models for Wednesday. These lower dew points have
allowed for the relative humidities over the western interior
areas to fall down into the mid to upper 30s for Wednesday
afternoon. If this trend continues overnight with the 00z run
models, then a red flag warning maybe needed for interior collier
county for Wednesday. The night shift will take a closer look at
this tonight.

Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other changes
are planned.

Update 2... 54/bnb

Prev discussion /issued 754 pm edt Tue mar 28 2017/
update...

a couple of showers possible early this evening with late sea
breeze collision over the middle of the everglades between
alligator alley and tamiami trail, otherwise a dry and mild night
is in store. Patchy fog expected after midnight over the interior
to just inland of the gulf coast. All forecast elements on track
and no updates needed.

Prev discussion... /issued 710 pm edt Tue mar 28 2017/
aviation...

the winds will be light and variable tonight into Wednesday
morning over all of south florida TAF sites. The ceiling and vis
will also remain in theVFR conditions along with dry weather at
all of south florida TAF sites.

Prev discussion... /issued 347 pm edt Tue mar 28 2017/
fair weather through at least Thursday...

discussion...

near-term (this afternoon and tonight): weak mesoscale low
pressure off the palm beach county coast this afternoon causing a
few showers over the gulf stream. Otherwise, light background
synoptic pattern promoting inland penetration of both east and
west coast sea breezes this afternoon, but with dry air
predominating, little in the way of showers anticipated except
for maybe an isolated shower or two over the everglades south of
alligator alley. Light winds and mostly clear skies tonight will
be favorable for patchy fog over interior sections, mainly during
the pre-dawn and sunrise hours.

Short-term (Wednesday through Friday): high pressure surface and
aloft will dominate the weather pattern across florida through
Thursday as area in between low pressure systems over the SW united
states and new england. Weak pressure gradient on Wednesday once
again will lead to sea breezes pushing inland during the afternoon,
but dry air in place will limit if not completely prevent any
showers. Patchy fog possible late Wednesday night and early
Thursday over interior sections. On Thursday, high pressure shifts
east of area as upstream low pressure system enters the gulf of
mexico. Low level flow will become southeast with the gulf sea
breeze not pushing as far inland as previous days. Although
suppressing influence of the high pressure will diminish on
Thursday, still not enough moisture for more than perhaps an
isolated shower or two. On Friday, the low pressure system moves
across the southeast united states, but the associated mid/upper
level trough becomes less amplified as it approaches florida. As a
result, possible area of showers and thunderstorms over the gulf
of mexico early in the day on Friday may weaken substantially as
it nears south florida, but enough increase in low level moisture
with the s-sw wind will support at least low-end chance of showers
Friday afternoon. Will have to watch for potential of more
organized convection holding together enough for more widespread
activity affecting parts of the area, but we have time to monitor
this further.

Temperatures will remain a few degrees above normal for late
march, with highs in the 80s and lows in the upper 50s and 60s.

Dry air will keep dewpoints and relative humidity values on the
low to moderate side.

Extended period (Saturday through early next week): mid/upper
level trough departs on Saturday, with lingering moisture trailing
back over area leading to a chance of showers. Sunday looks a
little drier before moisture surges back into area early next week
in association with next mid/upper level trough moving across the
southeast united states. For now models showing this next system
to be similar to the one expected on Friday, which means a better
chance of showers along with increasing south-southeast winds.

Temperatures expected to warm up a bit this upcoming weekend, and
we may see a few 90-degree readings over the interior along with
mid 80s over the metro areas along both coasts. Remaining warm
into early next week, along with increasing humidity levels.

Marine...

generally good boating conditions expected through Wednesday
(wind generally 10 knots) before winds gradually increase
Thursday and especially Friday. Winds on Thursday will be in the
10-15 knot range, highest over the near shore atlantic and gulf
waters. By Friday, southeast winds will be in the 15-20 knot range
over most of the local waters along with seas building to 3-5 ft.

Wind and seas look to decrease in time for the upcoming weekend,
then increasing again by early next week ahead of the next low
pressure system.

Beach forecast...

decent beach conditions expected through Thursday with the rip
current risk staying on the low side, expect borderline moderate
risk for the palm beaches due to a small northeast swell. The rip
current risk will increase on Friday as southeast winds pick up,
possibly lingering into at least the first part of the upcoming
weekend.

Fire weather...

dry air in place across south florida along with little if any
precipitation through Thursday will lead to some fire weather
concerns, particularly a result of low relative humidity values in
the 35 percent range over the interior (glades county through
inland collier county). Although fuels are quite dry, forecast wind
speed and duration of critical relative humidity values are
at worst marginal for red flag warning conditions. Future shifts
will evaluate the need for warnings if trends show lower humidity.

Preliminary point temps/pops
West palm beach 64 83 67 84 / 0 0 0 0
fort lauderdale 67 82 71 81 / 10 0 0 0
miami 67 84 69 83 / 10 0 0 0
naples 65 84 65 83 / 0 0 0 0

Mfl watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 54/bnb
discussion... 59/rm
marine... 59/rm
aviation... 54/bnb
beach forecast... 59/rm
fire weather... 59/rm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 8 mi77 min ESE 8 G 8 76°F 77°F1017.7 hPa (+1.6)
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 25 mi137 min 81°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 32 mi137 min 83°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 34 mi137 min 81°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 36 mi137 min 78°F
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 37 mi35 min SSE 4.1 G 7 77°F 1017.5 hPa65°F
TBYF1 38 mi137 min 84°F
NRRF1 39 mi137 min 80°F
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 39 mi77 min SSE 6 G 6 76°F 78°F1017.3 hPa (+1.7)
LRIF1 40 mi137 min 80°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 40 mi137 min 83°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 40 mi137 min 78°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 43 mi137 min 80°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 44 mi137 min 76°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 44 mi137 min 80°F
BKYF1 44 mi137 min 83°F
HREF1 44 mi137 min 75°F
SREF1 48 mi137 min 76°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 49 mi137 min 77°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 49 mi137 min 78°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Force Base, FL9 mi19 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F68°F91%1017.6 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL12 mi24 minSSE 410.00 miOvercast76°F64°F69%1017.5 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL18 mi24 minSSE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F66°F79%1017.7 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL24 mi24 minSE 410.00 miOvercast76°F66°F72%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5CalmNW3CalmNW3CalmN3NW3CalmN4N4E4N3E6E7E9E10SE7SE8SE5CalmE4CalmCalm
1 day agoE6E7E7E6E3CalmNW5NW5NW3NW5N6NE8E7NE9
G15
NE10E10E12E11NE11NE8NE5NE6NE6NE5
2 days agoE8E10
G17
E5SE10E7SE4N4E5E5E12
G16
E13E11NE5E14E13E13
G18
E11E12NE10E7E9NE7E7E7

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Chita Key, Biscayne Bay, Florida
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Boca Chita Key
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Tue -- 04:42 AM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:41 AM EDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:02 PM EDT     -0.59 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:09 PM EDT     1.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.510.5-0-0.3-0.4-0.10.40.91.41.81.91.61.20.5-0-0.4-0.6-0.40.10.71.31.72

Tide / Current Tables for Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current
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Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:06 AM EDT     -2.57 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:35 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:14 AM EDT     1.74 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:10 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:21 PM EDT     -2.62 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:47 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:36 PM EDT     2.03 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:45 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.2-2.2-2.6-2.4-1.7-0.70.41.31.71.61.10.2-1-2-2.6-2.5-1.9-0.90.31.31.921.60.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.