Saturday, May27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cutler Bay, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 8:07PM Saturday May 27, 2017 5:53 AM EDT (09:53 UTC) Moonrise 7:25AMMoonset 9:15PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 350 Am Edt Sat May 27 2017
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters a light chop, becoming a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Sunday night..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Bay waters a light chop.
Monday..Southwest winds around 5 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Tuesday through Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 350 Am Edt Sat May 27 2017
Synopsis..A diffuse front over the atlantic waters will become diffuse late today as high pressure builds over south florida the remainder of the memorial day weekend. The high will then shift north into central florida by the middle of next week. Winds will be driven largely by land and sea breeze interactions through Sunday, with light winds at night and higher winds approaching 15 knots with sea breezes each afternoon, mainly near shore. Southeast wind pattern becomes established across the local waters Monday through Wednesday. Seas will be mainly 3 feet or less.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 27, 2017 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 19 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cutler Bay, FL
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location: 25.56, -80.24     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 270834
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
434 am edt Sat may 27 2017

Hot memorial day weekend...

Discussion
Near-term (this morning): diffuse frontal boundary over the
atlantic extending to the SE florida coast along with a passing
mid-level shortwave trough are helping to trigger showers and
thunderstorms near and just east of the upper keys early this
morning. Expect this activity to remain over the gulf stream
through the morning hours, with mostly clear skies over the
peninsula.

Short-term (today through memorial day): the memorial day weekend
will be a hot and mainly dry one across south florida as high
pressure aloft builds into the area. For today, there will be just
enough influence from the diffuse front and passing mid-level
shortwave trough to favor a few showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon primarily over interior sections south of lake
okeechobee as well as the east coast metro area south of west
palm beach. Sea breeze collision will be over the interior, with
the low mid level flow moving any showers and storms slowly
towards the east coast. Went with similar pops as the previous
forecast, which is higher than MOS and close to the model
consensus. As the high pressure aloft builds into florida Sunday
and memorial day, deep-layer drying will be more pronounced,
thereby further reducing rain chances. An isolated afternoon storm
or two over the southern everglades is about all that is in the
forecast for the end of the holiday weekend.

High temperatures through memorial day will rise into the lower
to mid 90s, except for coastal areas which will top out in the
upper 80s. 1000-850 mb thickness increase to over 1430m over
interior sections each afternoon, which should easily support mid
90s with a few upper 90s possible. Even the western suburbs of
the miami-fort lauderdale-west palm beach metro may reach the mid
90s, especially on Sunday. Afternoon sea breezes will mitigate the
heat over metro areas, but not provide much relief over interior
sections. Heat index values are forecast to reach 100-102 degrees
over most of metro SE florida today, and around 100 degrees Sunday
and memorial day. Despite warmer daytime temperatures, heat index
over interior sections will likely fail to reach 100 degrees due
to low relative humidity values. Minimum temperatures will be
in the sultry mid 70s east coast metro, but cool down into the
upper 60s interior sections tonight and possibly again Sunday
night as dry air and clear skies promote some radiational cooling
and temporary relief from the daytime heat.

Long term (Tuesday through Friday of next week): high pressure
surface and aloft will shift east into the atlantic, leading to
prevailing and humid E SE wind and a pattern reminiscent of
summer. This pattern favors night and morning showers isolated
thunderstorms atlantic and east coast and afternoon and evening
showers thunderstorms interior and gulf coast. Temperatures will
be close to average for the end of may and beginning of june, with
highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s and lows in the 70s.

Marine
As the high pressure remains over south florida through the
memorial day weekend, winds will be largely driven by sea breezes.

Light wind at night and morning will increase to near 15 knots
during the afternoon sea breeze cycle near shore. More steady
east southeast wind beginning Tuesday as the high pressure area
shifts north and east. Seas will be mainly 3 feet or less.

Beach forecast
Light winds in the morning will increase some each afternoon with
the sea breeze cycle, but overall surf conditions should be rather
benign. Isolated thunderstorms possible this afternoon east coast
beaches, otherwise mostly dry conditions through the holiday
weekend.

Fire weather
Dry air which filtered into the lake okeechobee area yesterday
behind the weak front will linger over the next 2-3 days, leading
to low relative humidity values well below 40 percent over most of
interior south florida through memorial day. Driest air expected
today as relative humidity values will drop to below 30 percent
over parts of glades county. As a result, a red flag warning has
been issued for glades and hendry counties this afternoon into
early evening. Rh values remain near critical levels Sunday,
lowering to below 40 percent even into interior portions of
southeast florida, then slowly moderate memorial day into early
next week.

Prev discussion issued 149 am edt Sat may 27 2017
aviation...

vfr conditions should prevail, although very brief periods of
sub-vfr stratus is possible over miami-dade and broward terminals
through about 12z. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms also possible
over these locations, but pop too low to warrant mention in taf
attm. Light winds will persist until midday seabreezes penetrate
each coast, bringing onshore wind at around 10 kt. Wind will
diminish again tonight.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 91 75 92 75 10 0 10 0
fort lauderdale 90 78 91 77 20 10 10 0
miami 93 77 93 77 20 10 10 10
naples 89 74 89 75 10 0 0 0

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... Red flag warning from noon today to 8 pm edt this evening for
flz063-066.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 59 molleda
marine... 59 molleda
aviation... 23 sk
beach forecast... 59 molleda
fire weather... 59 molleda


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 8 mi53 min SSE 9.9 G 11 82°F 82°F1017.3 hPa (-0.8)
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 13 mi53 min SE 5.1 G 7 82°F 84°F1016 hPa (-0.8)
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 24 mi173 min 87°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 25 mi113 min 86°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 26 mi173 min 86°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 28 mi173 min 86°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 29 mi173 min 87°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 29 mi173 min 86°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 32 mi113 min 88°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 34 mi113 min 87°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 36 mi113 min 87°F
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 37 mi53 min S 4.1 G 5.1 80°F 1016.7 hPa (-0.6)77°F
TBYF1 38 mi113 min 89°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 38 mi173 min 85°F
NRRF1 39 mi113 min 86°F
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 39 mi53 min ESE 5.1 G 7 80°F 82°F1017.2 hPa (-0.6)
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 40 mi173 min 88°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 40 mi113 min 91°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 40 mi113 min 86°F
LRIF1 40 mi113 min 87°F
WWEF1 43 mi173 min 85°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 43 mi113 min 85°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 43 mi173 min NW 6 88°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 44 mi113 min 85°F
BKYF1 44 mi113 min 87°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 44 mi113 min 85°F
HREF1 44 mi113 min 84°F
CWAF1 45 mi173 min 86°F
LBRF1 - Broad River Lower, FL 48 mi173 min 85°F
SREF1 48 mi113 min 85°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 49 mi113 min 88°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 49 mi113 min 85°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SE10
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Force Base, FL9 mi55 minS 510.00 miFair76°F76°F100%1016.9 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL12 mi4 hrsSE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F77°F88%1017.4 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL18 mi60 minSE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F78°F88%1016.8 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL24 mi60 minS 310.00 miFair80°F79°F97%1016.9 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmN3CalmCalmCalmNW3E3E5E7E9E8E4SE4SE4SE3CalmSE3E3--SE3CalmCalmE3S5
1 day agoS7S9S10S12SW15
G23
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G26
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W11SW10SW9W7W6W3CalmSE3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoS5S6S9S12S15S14
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G25
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W10S5S6SW6S7S5S6SW7

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Chita Key, Biscayne Bay, Florida
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Boca Chita Key
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:41 AM EDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:34 AM EDT     1.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:01 PM EDT     -0.79 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
21.71.20.60.1-0.2-0.300.511.51.91.91.61.10.4-0.2-0.6-0.8-0.6-0.10.61.21.8

Tide / Current Tables for Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current
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Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:12 AM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:07 AM EDT     -2.22 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:33 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:02 AM EDT     1.37 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:45 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:11 PM EDT     -2.72 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:46 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:45 PM EDT     2.05 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 10:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.2-1-1.9-2.2-2-1.5-0.60.41.11.41.20.6-0.2-1.3-2.3-2.7-2.5-1.9-0.90.31.31.921.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.