Friday, July28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cutler Bay, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 8:10PM Friday July 28, 2017 9:04 AM EDT (13:04 UTC) Moonrise 10:52AMMoonset 11:04PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 329 Am Edt Fri Jul 28 2017
Today..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening...then a chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..West southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..South southwest winds around 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds around 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 329 Am Edt Fri Jul 28 2017
Synopsis..Weakening ridge will keep winds southeasterly through today, before veering more south-southwesterly into the weekend as a front sags into north florida. Isolated to widely scattered showers and Thunderstorms will be possible over the next several days. Seas will be 3 feet or less.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jul 27, 2017 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 16 nautical miles east of port everglades. 14 nautical miles east of lake worth. 19 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cutler Bay, FL
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location: 25.56, -80.24     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 281132 aaa
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
732 am edt Fri jul 28 2017

Aviation
GenerallyVFR flying conditions will prevail at the TAF sites,
with MVFR and possibly ifr restrictions in and around
thunderstorms. With flow becoming more south southwest, east coast
sites should see a better opportunity for activity later this
morning and through the afternoon, with vcts possible. Will
continue to assess trends in model guidance and may include tempo
groups to account for better timing in future amendments. East
coast sea breeze will have a hard time pushing inland today, but
still expect southeast winds generally around 10 knots, except
southwesterly at kapf.

Prev discussion issued 328 am edt Fri jul 28 2017
discussion...

today: upper trough over southern ga and northern fl will move into
western atlantic waters today before it gets pick up by a deepening
trough along the northeast plains the coming week. This has allowed
for the ridge to erode with a more S to SW flow setting up over the
fl peninsula. There is still the potential for afternoon
scattered showers and storms mainly in the interior and building
into the east coast metro areas as the steering flow shifts more
southwest today. This will also limit east coast sea breeze from
developing this pm. High temperatures will remain above normal
ranging from the low to mid 90s across the forecast area.

Dewpoints will lower into the mid to low 70s today helping keep
heat indices ranging from the 100-108. Conditions will remain
below advisory criteria at this time for all south fl.

This weekend and next week: southwesterly flow will prevail through
the weekend as upper level low over the northeast plains deepens an
elongated trough along the east coast. This trough is expected to
remain in place through next week, potentially digging as far south
to fl bringing an unseasonably robust surface front into the state
Monday, potentially reaching as far south as central fl. Abundant
deep moisture ahead of the front will result in an increase period
of precipitation through mid week across south fl, with a few
more stronger storms possible as temps aloft cool down. Western
atlantic ridge gradually retrogrades westward returning SE flow
across south fl and as a result lifting the moist boundary north.

There will be a chance of showers and thunderstorm through the end
of the week but with less coverage into Friday.

A thick plume of saharan dust is observed tracking east over the
atlantic. This time it looks more robust stretching across the
atlantic into the greater antilles and eventually into florida by
the end of the week into next weekend. Models continue to show a
decent bulk of it north enough for most of the fl peninsula to feel
the effects of it.

Marine... Southeasterly winds will veer south to southwest today into
the weekend around 10 knots and begin to pick up up to 15 knots over
the 15 knots into Sunday. Expect the gulf seabreeze to develop today,
with the atlantic breeze struggling to develop as winds shift more
sw. Afternoon showers and storms will generally remain over the
interior, with more isolated activity over the open waters during
the nights and morning. Coverage of showers and storms are expected
to increase as we head into the weekend and early next week. Ridge
begins to build by the end of the week returning light southeast
flow across the coastal waters.

Aviation...

a typical summertime pattern will be in place once again, with
showers developing in the morning hours, and thunderstorms by
early afternoon for all TAF sites. The uncertainty is how far
inland they will occur. Some models do have the convection further
inland, so it is possible the TS is a little over done today, but,
it should be close enough to warrant the mention in the forecast.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 94 78 95 79 50 40 30 20
fort lauderdale 94 80 94 80 30 30 30 20
miami 94 80 94 80 40 30 30 20
naples 93 79 92 81 20 20 30 40

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 67 mt
marine... 67 mt
aviation... 92 irl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 8 mi65 min SSE 2.9 G 4.1 85°F 86°F1015.8 hPa (+1.4)
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 13 mi47 min SW 1.9 G 2.9 84°F 89°F1014.7 hPa
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 24 mi125 min 89°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 25 mi65 min 88°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 26 mi125 min 90°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 28 mi125 min 88°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 29 mi125 min 93°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 29 mi125 min 89°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 32 mi65 min 88°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 34 mi65 min 89°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 36 mi65 min 89°F
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 37 mi65 min NW 1.9 G 2.9 83°F 1015 hPa (+1.3)76°F
TBYF1 38 mi65 min 92°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 38 mi125 min 86°F
NRRF1 39 mi65 min 86°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 40 mi125 min 84°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 40 mi65 min 85°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 40 mi65 min 89°F
LRIF1 40 mi65 min 88°F
WWEF1 43 mi125 min 87°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 43 mi65 min 84°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 43 mi125 min ESE 1.9 90°F
BKYF1 44 mi65 min 88°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 44 mi65 min 88°F
HREF1 44 mi65 min 84°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 44 mi65 min 86°F
CWAF1 45 mi125 min 87°F
SREF1 48 mi65 min 87°F
LBRF1 - Broad River Lower, FL 48 mi125 min 86°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 49 mi65 min 87°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 49 mi65 min 88°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL9 mi67 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds80°F79°F98%1015.2 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL12 mi72 minN 010.00 miFair83°F78°F85%1015.1 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL18 mi72 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F77°F77%1015.3 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL24 mi72 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds83°F80°F91%1015.4 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7E10E8E7E6E8E10E8E7E8E6E5CalmCalmSE3SW4NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoE4SE5NE8E7NE7E7E5E8E6E9E8E5E3E5E5E5E7E4E3CalmCalmNW6CalmCalm
2 days ago--E5E8E8E8E9E3SW8CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3E3E4E3E5SE5E3

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Chita Key, Biscayne Bay, Florida
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Boca Chita Key
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:55 AM EDT     1.81 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:31 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:22 PM EDT     1.71 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:53 PM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.31.71.81.71.40.90.50.2-0-00.20.61.11.51.71.71.51.10.80.40.20.20.30.6

Tide / Current Tables for Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current
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Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:19 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:28 AM EDT     -1.85 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:10 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:47 AM EDT     1.05 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:43 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:49 PM EDT     -1.66 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:31 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.20.90.3-0.6-1.4-1.8-1.8-1.5-0.9-0.10.6110.90.5-0.2-1-1.5-1.7-1.5-1-0.40.30.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.