Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cutler Bay, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 5:33PM Friday November 16, 2018 5:53 PM EST (22:53 UTC) Moonrise 1:41PMMoonset 12:26AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 410 Pm Est Fri Nov 16 2018
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters light chop.
Sunday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters light chop.
Monday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Monday night through Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 410 Pm Est Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis..Gusty northerly flow behind a frontal boundary will continue to bring hazardous boating conditions over the local waters through this evening. Conditions will gradually improve into the weekend as winds veer northeasterly.
Gulf stream hazards..North winds around 20 knots becoming north-northeast 15 to 20 knots this evening. Seas up to 7 feet through this evening. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 15, 2018 at 1200 utc... 13 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 17 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 13 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 11 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cutler Bay, FL
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location: 25.56, -80.24     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 162052
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
352 pm est Fri nov 16 2018

Discussion
Short term (tonight-Sunday): minimal shower activity is present on
radar over the gulf and atlantic waters. Currently, satellite
derived pwats exhibit drier values ranging from 1.0-1.4" filtering
in across southern and eastern portions of south florida while
values below 1.0" are present along the western counties. This
will keep shower activity low tonight and for the remainder of the
weekend as high pressure continues to build over the area keeping
a north-northeasterly wind flow. Low temperatures will range
tonight from the low to mid 60's for the eastern metro areas and
upper 50s along the western region. While along the northwestern
interior, temperatures range from the upper 40s to low 50s.

Long term (Monday-Thursday): as we enter into the early portions
of next week, winds will become more easterly as the
aforementioned area of high pressure moves up the eastern
seaboard. The return of a more easterly wind flow will increase
low-level moisture and thus a chance of showers for south florida.

As we approach the middle of the week into thanksgiving, model
guidance from the GFS and ecwmf suggest a shortwave trough
entering into the gulf of mexico by late Wednesday into early
Thursday. Currently, guidance exhibits enough upper level dynamics
to develop a closed surface low that tracks over florida by next
weekend. This will have the potential to increase showers and
thunderstorms for our area. Certainly, the timing of this
cyclogenesis and approach to our area is within the extended
period. It will be something of interest to monitor next week.

Marine
Hazardous marine conditions will persist across the
atlantic and gulf coastal waters Friday. A small craft advisory
remains in effect for the local waters through this evening.

Biscayne bay and lake okeechobee will experience cautionary
conditions as well. Gusty northwest to north winds will remain in
place through Saturday. Marine conditions will slowly begin to
improve during the upcoming weekend.

Aviation
Ongoing bkn-ovc cloud deck around fl050 continues to
affecting east coast sites from kfxe southward. Low level stratocu
also filtering down atlc coast, so occasional fl015-020 possible
as well. Both cloud decks look to persist remainder of day into
overnight, and can't rule out occasional temp bkn015-020 into
tonight. Prevailing north to north-northeast winds through
remainder of overnight, though areas under cloud cover may remain
nnw.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 63 80 67 82 10 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 67 80 71 82 10 10 10 10
miami 64 81 69 83 10 10 10 10
naples 54 80 62 83 0 0 0 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 7 pm est this evening for amz650-651-
670-671.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 11 hvn
marine... 11 hvn
aviation... 88 alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 8 mi54 min N 22 G 24 74°F 80°F1016.6 hPa (-0.0)
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 13 mi36 min N 4.1 G 8.9 74°F 80°F1016 hPa
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 25 mi174 min 77°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 32 mi174 min 76°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 34 mi174 min 78°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 36 mi174 min 78°F
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 37 mi30 min NNE 6 G 13 73°F 1016.5 hPa60°F
PEGF1 37 mi42 min N 12 G 19 73°F 1016.3 hPa
TBYF1 38 mi174 min 76°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 38 mi174 min 77°F
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 39 mi54 min NNE 16 G 17 74°F 81°F1016.1 hPa (-0.0)
NRRF1 39 mi174 min 77°F
LRIF1 40 mi174 min 77°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 40 mi174 min 77°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 40 mi174 min 73°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 43 mi174 min 71°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 43 mi174 min NNW 8 77°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 44 mi174 min 79°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 44 mi174 min 78°F
HREF1 44 mi174 min 80°F
BKYF1 44 mi174 min 76°F
SREF1 48 mi174 min 81°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 49 mi174 min 80°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 49 mi174 min 78°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL9 mi2 hrsN 610.00 miOvercast74°F62°F67%1015.9 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL12 mi61 minN 910.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F59°F60%1016 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL18 mi61 minN 610.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F60°F62%1016.3 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL24 mi61 minNE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F61°F62%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9NW10NW15NW16NW11NW13NW11NW11NW10NW14NW10NW14NW11NW12NW11NW9NW10NW11NW10--N9N8--N6
1 day agoE8E5SE4SE5E4E6E7E6E5SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW6CalmW5W6SW4NW8NW8NW6
2 days agoSE6--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE7E9E9E9E10E10E10E9

Tide / Current Tables for Ragged Keys, Biscayne Bay, Florida
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Ragged Keys
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:26 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:23 AM EST     1.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:50 AM EST     0.66 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:40 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:53 PM EST     1.78 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:32 PM EST     0.65 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.31.51.61.61.51.31.10.90.70.70.811.31.51.71.81.71.51.310.80.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current
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Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:26 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 01:42 AM EST     0.42 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 04:05 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:29 AM EST     -1.31 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 11:24 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:40 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:25 PM EST     0.72 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:00 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:32 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:17 PM EST     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.40.40.30-0.5-1-1.3-1.3-1.1-0.7-0.20.30.60.70.70.50-0.6-1.1-1.3-1.3-1-0.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.