Sunrise 6:41 AM   Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 2:01 AM   Moonset 1:18 PM

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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 401 Pm Edt Thu May 2 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Tonight - E winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to E 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 4 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Fri - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E se 2 ft at 4 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. Fri night - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 5 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers.Sat - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 5 seconds and N ne 2 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers. Sat night - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 5 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms. Sun and Sun night - E se winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 5 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Mon - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers. Mon night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers. Tue - E winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers. Tue night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Thu May 2 2024
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate easterly wind flow will prevail over the local waters through the end of the work week. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms will be possible during this time frame. Easterly winds may increase to cautionary to near hazardous levels over the weekend as high pressure builds over the western atlantic -
gulf stream hazards: none
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 02, 2024 at 12 utc - .
7 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles east of lake worth. 17 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 022311 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 711 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 705 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Definitely a quieter evening over SFL compared to yesterday thanks to encroaching ridging and associated warmer temperatures aloft. Scattered showers have developed near the Gulf breeze in SW FL although this activity has struggled to obtain vertical development and produce lightning. This generally weak activity will likely linger a couple hours into the early evening over that area but otherwise a generally dry and mild tonight is expected.

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 126 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

High pressure and ridging in the low to mid levels continues to dominate the weather pattern across South Florida, keeping a typical easterly regime in place. Convective activity will be very limited today and Friday as drier air starts to filter in. Anything that does manage to develop along sea breeze collisions will be heavily focused over interior and Southwest Florida areas.

Outside of a rouge shower or thunderstorm, prevailing conditions will be quite nice with partly cloudy skies and highs in the lower to mid 80s. Across interior and southwest portions of the area, afternoon highs will be a bit warmer in the upper 80s.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 524 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Little to no fluctuation in the overall synoptic weather regime the long term period, as stout mid-level ridging will maintain predominately easterly flow across South Florida into next week.
This easterly surface flow will allow for the Atlantic sea-breeze circulation to progressively move inland, and act as the foci for convective initiation primarily over the interior. East coast metro areas may experience a slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm during the early afternoon and towards the mid to late afternoon for interior and southwest portions of the area. Overall rain chances remain low through the period (generally below 20) as drier air and the absence of synoptic forcing should limit any widespread convective development. For the few showers and thunderstorms that are able to develop, the most likely areas to experience convection will be across the Everglades and Southwest Florida, owing to the aforementioned easterly flow regime.

Temperatures will be near to just above normal through the extended period. The highs will increase into the upper 80s across southwest Florida and the interior region, while remaining in the low to mid 80s along the Atlantic Coast. The overnight lows will be in the 60s, except for low to mid 70s across the east coast metro areas.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 705 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Generally VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period, although showers and storms in the vicinity of KAPF will be possible over the next hour or two. A few showers may be possible near the east coast Friday morning but feel probs are too low to explicitly mention in this issuance. Generally easterly winds prevail through the period with gusts to 20kts possible during the day on Friday. KAPF will see an afternoon wind shift to the W-SW again.

MARINE
Issued at 126 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Mostly benign conditions will continue through the end of the week and into the weekend. There will be chances for showers and a few thunderstorms each day, which could create locally hazardous conditions. Other than the convective threat, there is not expected to be concerns for marine conditions. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less in the Gulf waters. Winds will be around 10-15 kts out of the east.

BEACHES
Issued at 126 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Breezy easterly flow will lead to an elevated risk for rip currents across all Atlantic beaches through the remainder of the week and into the upcoming weekend. Highest rip current risk today will be maximized across the Palm Beach County beaches.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 73 84 73 84 / 10 10 20 30 West Kendall 70 85 70 86 / 10 10 10 30 Opa-Locka 72 86 72 86 / 10 10 10 30 Homestead 72 84 73 84 / 10 10 20 30 Fort Lauderdale 73 83 73 83 / 10 10 20 40 N Ft Lauderdale 73 83 73 83 / 10 10 20 30 Pembroke Pines 73 87 73 87 / 10 10 20 30 West Palm Beach 70 84 71 84 / 10 10 10 30 Boca Raton 72 84 72 84 / 10 10 20 40 Naples 70 89 70 88 / 30 10 10 30

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Key Biscayne Yacht Club
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Thu -- 03:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:43 AM EDT     1.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:26 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:17 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:11 PM EDT     1.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:56 PM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Key Biscayne Yacht Club, Biscayne Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Miami Harbor Entrance
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Thu -- 01:19 AM EDT     1.72 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:10 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:49 AM EDT     -1.13 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 11:24 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:00 PM EDT     1.61 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 02:17 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:39 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:18 PM EDT     -1.20 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 11:51 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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