Friday, October19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fisher Island, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 6:50PM Friday October 19, 2018 9:27 AM EDT (13:27 UTC) Moonrise 3:07PMMoonset 1:43AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 313 Am Edt Fri Oct 19 2018
Today..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..East northeast winds 5 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Saturday night..North northeast winds 5 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Sunday..North northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet building to 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet after midnight. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers.
Monday night..East winds around 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 313 Am Edt Fri Oct 19 2018
Synopsis..With high pressure continuing to dominate across the south florida atlantic waters, moderate easterly wind will persist today before tapering off into the weekend. An isolated chance for showers will also prevail, mainly in the overnight into early morning hours today. For this morning, wind speeds may reach 15-18 kts, so small craft should exercise caution. Lastly, a cold front is forecast to arrive early next week, increasing the potential for higher winds and seas, and Thus, advisory levels, especially Sunday into Monday night.
Gulf stream hazards..None the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of oct 18, 2018 at 1200 utc... 3 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 14 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 9 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 11 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fisher Island, FL
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location: 25.77, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 191135
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
735 am edt Fri oct 19 2018

Aviation
Vfr conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. The
easterly wind flow will continue throughout today. Wind speeds
will increase to 10 to 12 knots later this morning and into this
afternoon. For kapf, a weak sea breeze will develop this afternoon
which will shift the winds around to the southwest. Winds will
diminish across all terminals later this evening.

Prev discussion issued 352 am edt Fri oct 19 2018
discussion...

tranquil weather continues again today and into tomorrow as high
pressure governs across south florida. This, in combination with
breezy easterly flow and a dry air mass with pwat values hovering
around 1.00"-1.20", will limit shower thunderstorm activity. Similar
to last night, a few showers will try to push inland early this
morning across east coast sites before marching westward by the
afternoon, but again, no thunder is forecast. High temperatures
today will range from the upper 80s across the east coast metro
areas to the lower 90s across the interior and west coast sections.

A new story unfolds this weekend as a frontal boundary stalls over
central florida Friday before lifting back to the north as a warm
front Saturday. A secondary cold front will then shove its way
through the state Sunday into Monday before eventually stalling
out a pinch to the south of miami-dade county. Because of this,
pops will increase along the eastern portions of south florida,
especially since pwats increase to the 1.80"-2.00" range. High
pressure will then rebuild back into the region midweek with a shift
and increase in winds from the east. Coastal sites can see winds in
the 18-22 mph range while inland sites can see winds in the 8-12 mph
range.

Marine...

with high pressure continuing to dominate across the south
florida atlantic waters, moderate easterly wind will persist today
before tapering off into the weekend. An isolated chance for
showers will also prevail, mainly in the overnight into early
morning hours today. For this morning, wind speeds may reach 15-18
kts, so small craft should exercise caution. Lastly, a cold front is
forecast to arrive early next week, increasing the potential for
higher winds and seas, and thus, advisory levels, especially Sunday
into Monday night.

Aviation...

vfr conditions will prevail throughout the period. A few quick
passing showers possible this morning but rain chances will be low
through the forecast period with high pressure in place. Easterly
winds will increase to 10-12 knots this afternoon. For apf, a weak
gulf sea breeze is expected to form shifting winds from the sw
around 19z around 10 knots. Tonight, winds will relax becoming light
and variable for all sites.

Beach forecast...

east wind of 15 to 20 mph has prevailed for several days and will
continue throughout the day today. Because of this, a high risk of
rip currents will occur on the atlantic beaches. A moderate to high
risk for east coast beaches will likely continue into the early part
of the weekend.

Fire weather...

an area of high pressure will continue to reign across south florida
for the first half of this weekend with only a few showers pushing
inland early this morning before marching westward by the afternoon.

Expect easterly winds of 5 to 10 mph each day this weekend. Because
of relatively light winds, dispersion values below 25 are forecast
for Saturday, leading to poor dispersion. However on Sunday behind a
passing cold front, values above 75 are expected, leading to
excellent dispersion as winds pick up. Relative humidity values will
remain above critical thresholds through the period.

Climate...

a record high minimum was tied at fort lauderdale on Thursday,
october 18th. The low temperature of 80 degrees tied 1998's daily
record warm low temperature of 80 degrees.

Persistent onshore flow from the warm atlantic threatens
additional warm records for today as well --
the record warm minima for today, october 19th are as follows:
city record date
naples 78 1968
west palm beach 78 2001
fort lauderdale 79 2013
miami 79 1970

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 88 75 89 73 10 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 87 77 87 76 10 10 10 10
miami 87 75 88 74 10 10 10 0
naples 90 72 88 72 10 10 0 0

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through this evening for flz168-172-173.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 55 cwc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 3 mi40 min E 9.9 G 13 83°F 84°F1020.3 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 13 mi88 min E 17 G 18 82°F 82°F1020.7 hPa (+1.1)
PEGF1 22 mi46 min E 13 G 15 83°F 1020.6 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 22 mi46 min E 8 G 11 83°F 1020.7 hPa73°F
MDKF1 36 mi148 min 82°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 39 mi148 min 82°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 40 mi88 min 81°F
THRF1 41 mi148 min 83°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 41 mi148 min 82°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 44 mi148 min 83°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 44 mi148 min 82°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 47 mi88 min 82°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 48 mi88 min 84°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 48 mi88 min 82°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 49 mi88 min 81°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 49 mi88 min 83°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi35 minE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F73°F77%1020.8 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL12 mi35 minE 710.00 miFair83°F73°F74%1021 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL17 mi35 minE 810.00 miFair83°F73°F74%1021.2 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL17 mi35 minE 910.00 miFair83°F73°F72%1020.4 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL21 mi35 minESE 1210.00 miA Few Clouds82°F75°F82%1020.5 hPa
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL23 mi92 minE 810.00 miFair81°F72°F75%1020.3 hPa

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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E11E10E9NE5E7E9E9E8E6E9E6E7E5E7E8E11
1 day agoE14E13
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E15SE12SE13SE11E9E12E11E7E7NE8E9E6E6E7CalmCalmE5NE4N3E6E8E11
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Tide / Current Tables for Miami, Causeway (east end), Florida
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Miami
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Fri -- 12:06 AM EDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:17 AM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:22 PM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:47 PM EDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.911.21.41.722.12.11.91.61.210.80.811.31.722.22.22.11.81.51.1

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:06 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:56 AM EDT     1.30 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:20 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:32 AM EDT     -1.03 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 12:30 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:21 PM EDT     1.45 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 06:54 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:00 PM EDT     -1.09 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.10.81.11.21.310.2-0.4-0.6-0.8-1-1-0.50.51.11.31.41.30.7-0.1-0.5-0.8-1-1.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.