Thursday, April25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fisher Island, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 7:49PM Thursday April 25, 2019 8:13 PM EDT (00:13 UTC) Moonrise 12:02AMMoonset 10:53AM Illumination 60% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 346 Pm Edt Thu Apr 25 2019
Tonight..South southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet along the coast and 2 to 3 feet in the gulf stream. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..East northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Saturday night and Sunday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Sunday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Monday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 346 Pm Edt Thu Apr 25 2019
Synopsis.. SE winds are forecast to veer and increase from the sw tonight into Friday morning as a cold front approaches the region. Then, Friday night into Saturday morning, winds will veer from the w/nw after frontal passage. For the time being, small craft should exercise caution across the offshore atlantic waters and lake okeechobee throughout the day tomorrow. Increasing chance for showers and Thunderstorms Friday into parts of the weekend, particularly for the atlantic waters. By next week, a persistent easterly flow returns with the potential for increasing winds and waves.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 25, 2019 at 1200 utc... 7 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fisher Island, FL
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location: 25.77, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 252330 aaa
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
730 pm edt Thu apr 25 2019

Aviation
The winds will be from the southerly direction tonight with speeds
between 5 to 10 mph over all of the TAF sites before going
southwest on Friday with speed increasing to around 15 knots
ahead of a cold front. The front should be mostly a dry front on
Friday, except for some showers around kapf TAF site. The ceiling
and vis should remain inVFR conditions through Friday.

Update
Main change is to add a slight chance of showers for portions of
the atlantic coast and kept higher winds into the overnight hours.

Otherwise, little change to the forecast.

Prev discussion issued 351 pm edt Thu apr 25 2019
discussion...

weakening surface high pressure to the east has kept today's
weather mostly dry with near normal temperatures across the
region. To the northwest, an upper-level trough is chugging across
the lower mississippi river valley with an associated surface low
pressure area and attendant cold front stretching southward into
the west central gulf of mexico. As the evening and overnight
hours progress, the system will continue its eastward voyage
towards the florida peninsula, increasing the thunderstorm and
shower chances along with the pressure gradient. A breezy day is
in store for Friday due to the tighter pressure gradient which
will may possibly provide advisory level conditions across the
atlantic waters and cautionary conditions across lake okeechobee... More
in marine section below...

the main story here is what the storm prediction center is saying.

Previously, a good chunk of south florida was under a "marginal"
risk for severe storms Friday; now, that risk has been pulled
northwards with only the far NW portion of glades county in the
"marginal" risk. Otherwise, pretty much all of south florida is
now in a general thunderstorm risk, moreso along the waters and
lake okeechobee region. As the front traverses the state from nw
to SE on Friday, the stronger and more supportive dynamics rest
across central northern florida. Regardless, there is still a
chance for isolated thunderstorms across the region tomorrow.

Friday night into Saturday looks even more unfavorable for
thunderstorm development across the peninsula as dry air begins
to filter in and the environment becomes increasingly hostile for
thunderstorm development.

Entering the weekend, guidance continues to hone in on drier air
filtering southward into south florida. This will lead for a
generally mostly dry weekend. Some showers, fed by atlantic and
gulf moisture, cannot be ruled out especially if any sea breezes
were able to get going on Saturday or Sunday (which it looks like
they will). Temperature wise, no impact from the cold front
whatsoever... High temps are still forecast to be in the low to mid
80s areawide.

By early next week, high pressure will build back towards the
area from the atlantic which will allow for persistent easterly
flow to return through the rest of the forecast period. GFS and
ecmwf do differ a bit in the amount of available moisture heading
into mid-week next week. Favored a blend between the two models
for pops for the time being due to low confidence.

Marine...

se winds are forecast to veer and increase from the SW tonight
into Friday morning as a cold front approaches the region. Then,
Friday night into Saturday morning, winds will veer from the W nw
after frontal passage. For the time being, small craft should
exercise caution across the offshore atlantic waters and lake
okeechobee throughout the day tomorrow. Advisory criteria might be
met for the offshore waters, but will monitor overnight to see if
that is the case.

Increasing chance for showers and thunderstorms Friday into parts
of the weekend, particularly for the atlantic waters. By next
week, a persistent easterly flow returns with the potential for
increasing winds and waves.

Beach forecast...

as a cold front approaches the region Friday, an elevated risk of
rip currents could develop briefly along the palm beach county
beaches due to a northeasterly swell. That risk should stick
around for the couple of days before further increasing early
next week as easterly winds return. This return in easterly wind
flow will also increase the rip current threat for the rest of
the atlantic beaches by early next week.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 70 88 68 83 10 20 10 10
fort lauderdale 73 89 71 83 10 20 10 10
miami 73 88 69 83 10 20 10 10
naples 70 84 66 86 10 30 10 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 03 fell
discussion... 03 fell
marine... 03 fell
aviation... 54 bnb
beach forecast... 03 fell


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 3 mi61 min SSE 8.9 G 12 79°F 81°F1014.4 hPa
PEGF1 22 mi61 min SE 15 G 18 79°F 1014.8 hPa
MDKF1 36 mi73 min 84°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 39 mi73 min 85°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 40 mi73 min 83°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 41 mi133 min 83°F
THRF1 41 mi133 min 82°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 44 mi133 min 83°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 44 mi133 min 86°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 45 mi133 min 82°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 47 mi73 min 87°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 48 mi73 min 81°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 48 mi73 min 83°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 49 mi73 min 82°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 49 mi73 min 83°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi20 minSSE 9 G 2010.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F68°F71%1015 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL12 mi20 minS 1110.00 miFair79°F66°F65%1015.1 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL17 mi20 minS 610.00 miFair79°F66°F67%1014.7 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL17 mi20 minSE 1110.00 miFair78°F66°F67%1015.1 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL21 mi20 minSSE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F66°F65%1014.5 hPa
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL23 mi17 minSE 410.00 miFair77°F68°F76%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9SE7SE6SE4E4E4CalmCalmE3CalmE5E6SE7SE9SE12SE11SE10S11
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1 day agoNE9
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NE8E6NE4NE3CalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmN35CalmE8NE8555SE7SE8SE7SE5SE9
2 days agoE9NE8NE5NE5NE6NE3NE3N3N3NE3N3Calm4E8E12
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Tide / Current Tables for Miami, Causeway (east end), Florida
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Miami
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:43 AM EDT     1.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:49 AM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:53 PM EDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:03 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.71.91.91.81.51.10.70.50.40.50.81.11.41.61.71.61.310.60.30.20.30.6

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:51 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:28 AM EDT     -1.05 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:02 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:29 AM EDT     1.46 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:00 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:29 PM EDT     -1.05 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:22 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:56 PM EDT     1.62 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.60.9-0.1-0.8-1-1-1-0.8-00.91.41.41.30.90-0.7-1-1-1-0.9-0.40.71.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.