Thursday, November15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Chokoloskee, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 5:38PM Thursday November 15, 2018 1:57 PM EST (18:57 UTC) Moonrise 1:09PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ657 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 1125 Am Est Thu Nov 15 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 pm est this afternoon through Friday afternoon...
Rest of today..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots nearshore and north northwest 15 to 25 knots offshore. Seas 2 to 3 feet nearshore and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet offshore. Period 9 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning...then a chance of showers.
Tonight..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet nearshore and 5 to 7 feet with occasional to 9 feet offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots nearshore and north 15 to 20 knots offshore. Seas 2 to 3 feet nearshore and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet offshore. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..North northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday and Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas less than 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..North northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 914 Am Cst Thu Nov 15 2018
Synopsis..A moderate to strong northerly wind flow this morning will slowly diminish through early Friday as high pressure to the west shifts east. A light northerly wind flow will persist over the marine area through early next week as the ridge of high pressure settles over the north central gulf.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chokoloskee, FL
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location: 25.8, -81.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 151808
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
issued by national weather service jacksonville fl
108 pm est Thu nov 15 2018

Aviation
The majority of this morning's convection has pushed into the
atlantic ahead of the front this afternoon. Some additional
showers and storms may develop ahead of the front this afternoon.

Otherwise, low CIGS and shifting winds will be the main aviation
concerns through the period. Sub-vfr CIGS could persist from this
evening into the day on Friday.

Prev discussion issued 1039 am est Thu nov 15 2018
update...

a few lines of showers and thunderstorms are moving across south
florida this morning. The forecast has been updated to bump up the
rain and thunderstorm chances just slightly along the east coast
in the next few hours. As the final pre-frontal trough pushes
through, thunderstorm chances should begin to decrease and rain
chances should also begin to taper off into the late afternoon and
evening.

Spc hourly mesoanalysis had highlighted some portions along the
atlantic coast with higher values on the non-supercell tornado
parameter. As the convection continues to push east, so should the
risk of waterspouts and or funnel clouds. Additional updates may
be necessary as the morning and early afternoon continue. Based
off current trends, those updates may be to trim back rain chances
and or hazard wording as the threat diminishes. Have a great
Thursday!
prev discussion... Issued 346 am est Thu nov 15 2018
discussion...

the cold front is currently moving on shore early this morning
just to the north of the area. This front will slowly progress
across south florida on Thursday morning across the western areas
and then it will clear the east coast metro areas during the
afternoon hours. There will be showers out ahead of the front,
however, thunderstorm activity will be limited as most of the
instability remains well off to the north of the region. Behind
this front, a drier and cooler air mass will filter in from west
to east as Thursday progresses. The exception to this will be
across the atlantic waters as a chance of showers will linger
through Friday.

The main change with this cold front will once again be the drier
and cooler air mass that moves into south florida during the end
of the work week. Low temperatures on Thursday night will drop
into the upper 40s across the northwestern interior sections to
the lower 60s across the east coast metro areas. As the upcoming
weekend approaches, a ridge of high pressure will build to north
of the region and morning lows will rebound to near normal levels
by the end of the weekend. Day time highs will warm up as well
through the period but only slightly expected to remain near
normal or even may be slightly below. It will remain dry through
most of the weekend but by late in the weekend and into early next
week a slight chance to a chance of showers is forecast along
atlantic waters and the adjacent east coast as the low level flow
turns out of the northeast and east with low level limited
moisture gradually on the increase.

Marine...

winds will begin to shift around to the west and then eventually
the northwest across the atlantic and gulf coastal waters as a
cold front pushes through the area. Marine conditions will
deteriorate during the day on Thursday and a small craft advisory
has been issued for the gulf coastal waters. A small craft
advisory may be needed for the atlantic waters as well on Thursday
night. Marine conditions will slowly start to improve over the
upcoming weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 58 76 63 79 20 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 63 77 67 80 20 10 10 10
miami 61 77 64 81 20 0 10 10
naples 55 73 55 79 0 0 0 0

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 1 pm est Friday for gmz656-657-676.

Aviation... 02 rag


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 8 mi57 min 83°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 11 mi57 min 83°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 19 mi57 min 83°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 22 mi57 min 81°F
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 26 mi72 min 78°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 29 mi57 min 81°F
HREF1 30 mi57 min 81°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 33 mi57 min 82°F
SREF1 33 mi57 min 83°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 34 mi117 min 82°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 34 mi39 min 16 G 19 75°F 81°F1015.2 hPa
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 34 mi57 min 80°F
CWAF1 39 mi117 min 83°F
NRRF1 39 mi57 min 83°F
LRIF1 43 mi57 min 83°F
WWEF1 45 mi117 min 81°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL33 mi64 minNW 1010.00 miA Few Clouds78°F63°F60%1015.4 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW9SW8SW8S6S4E6E6E4E4SE4SE4E4CalmCalmCalmN6N9N9N6N4NE9N6NW10
1 day agoSW7S10SW7S6S4S3CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3NE3E4NE3NE3E4E5E53SW5
2 days agoW9SW13S12S9S5S5CalmE3E5E5E5E5E6E4E5E5E5E5E5SE6SE10S10SW12SW10
G17

Tide / Current Tables for Chokoloskee, Florida
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Chokoloskee
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:40 AM EST     1.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:13 AM EST     2.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:54 AM EST     First Quarter
Thu -- 01:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:59 PM EST     0.48 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:53 PM EST     2.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.2111.31.82.22.42.42.221.71.41.10.80.60.50.611.522.42.52.32.1

Tide / Current Tables for Pavilion Key, Florida
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Pavilion Key
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:02 AM EST     3.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:54 AM EST     First Quarter
Thu -- 01:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:09 PM EST     0.62 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:42 PM EST     3.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.522.633.23.12.92.62.11.61.20.80.60.71.11.72.32.93.23.332.52

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.