Sunday, November19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Surfside, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 5:31PM Sunday November 19, 2017 4:28 PM EST (21:28 UTC) Moonrise 7:31AMMoonset 6:40PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 357 Pm Est Sun Nov 19 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 11 pm est this evening through Monday evening...
Tonight..Along the coast, north winds 10 to 15 knots. In the gulf stream, northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north northeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 30 knots after midnight. Seas around 2 feet building to 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet after midnight. Period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers.
Monday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to east 15 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet along the coast and 5 to 7 feet with occasional to 9 feet in the gulf stream. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers.
Tuesday..Along the coast, southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. In the gulf stream, southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning...then showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Along the coast, west winds 5 knots. In the gulf stream, south southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the evening...then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..North winds around 5 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. A slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..East winds around 5 knots becoming south southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Thursday..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely.
Friday..West winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 357 Pm Est Sun Nov 19 2017
Synopsis..A cold front will move across the atlantic and gulf waters tonight brining gusty winds along with it behind the front. Seas could reach up to 8 feet in the gulf stream potentially through Monday night. Rain chances will gradually increase tonight through Monday night and Thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday. Due to the increase in winds and seas tonight, hazardous marine conditions are expected later tonight through Monday morning.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas up to 8 feet late tonight through at least Monday. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 18, 2017 at 1200 utc... 5 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 23 nautical miles southeast of port everglades. 13 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Surfside, FL
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location: 25.84, -79.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 192032
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
332 pm est Sun nov 19 2017

Discussion
A weak cold front will approach and move through the region
tonight bringing slightly cooler temperatures to south florida.

This front will have very little moisture to work with as it
passes through, so the rain chances will be low, however, the
highest chances tonight will be confined to the east coast as well
as the marine areas. Rain chances increase over the region on
Monday as this front will stall out over the florida straits and
a northeasterly flow brings in more moisture from the atlantic. At
the same time, an upper level shortwave will deepen over the
northern gulf of mexico which will help to increase the rain
chances on Tuesday as well. Conditions will be unstable enough to
support a slight chance of thunderstorms as well on Tuesday.

Temperatures will be slightly cooler tonight and Monday behind the
front with low temperatures tonight dropping into the 50s across
the northwest interior to the 60s across the rest of the region.

High temperatures on Monday will range from the upper 70s to
around 80.

Both the GFS and the ECMWF continue to agree on the progression of
a shortwave trough over the northern gulf as well as an area of
low pressure impacting south florida towards the end of the week.

This trough will deepen Wednesday as it approaches northern
florida on thanksgiving day. The best support of convection will
be in northern florida, however, we will be in a warm and humid
air mass to the south on Wednesday. A surface trough will move
through the region on thanksgiving day, which will allow for more
showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms across south florida.

The GFS and the ECMWF continue to differ in timing of the
departure of the system on Friday and the arrival of drier air to
the region, however, they both agree that there will not be a
significantly cooler air mass behind it. High temperatures behind
the system will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s with lows in the
mid to upper 50s across the interior, to the 60s across the east
coast metro areas.

Marine
A cold front will move across the atlantic and gulf waters tonight
brining gusty winds along with it behind the front. Seas could
reach up to 8 feet in the gulf stream potentially through Monday
night. Rain chances will gradually increase tonight through
Monday night and thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday. Due
to the increase in winds and seas tonight, hazardous marine
conditions are expected later tonight through Monday morning.

Beach forecast
A cold front will move across south florida tonight and the winds
will increase out of the east northeast behind the front. The
onshore flow will increase the risk of rip currents across the
atlantic beaches on Monday.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 67 79 72 82 30 40 30 60
fort lauderdale 68 79 72 83 30 50 40 60
miami 68 80 71 83 30 50 40 60
naples 65 81 67 81 10 20 20 60

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 11 pm this evening to 7 pm est Monday
for amz650-651-670-671.

Gm... Small craft advisory from 9 pm this evening to 11 am est Monday
for gmz676.

Discussion... 55 cwc
marine... 55 cwc
beach forecast... 55 cwc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 17 mi40 min S 8.9 G 8.9 78°F 78°F1011.8 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 21 mi28 min S 6 G 6 77°F 78°F1012.9 hPa (-1.0)
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 22 mi34 min W 8 G 12 80°F 1011.9 hPa59°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL22 mi35 minW 610.00 miFair81°F63°F54%1012.3 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL22 mi35 minWNW 810.00 miA Few Clouds80°F61°F52%1011.6 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL22 mi35 minW 610.00 miA Few Clouds82°F57°F43%1012.2 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL23 mi35 minW 410.00 miFair81°F60°F49%1012.4 hPa

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3W4W5W6W6W5W6W6
1 day agoNE10NE9NE5NE5NE5NE6NE3N4N4NW3N3N4N3N4CalmNW4N3NE6NE7NE9E9
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2 days ago4NE5N54N7N5N7N5N6N5N4N5N6N5N6N54NE9NE13NE11NE10
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Tide / Current Tables for Haulover Pier, North Miami Beach, Florida
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Haulover Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:14 AM EST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:41 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:31 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:35 AM EST     3.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:44 PM EST     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:41 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:39 PM EST     2.78 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.40.20.30.71.32.12.733.12.82.21.610.60.50.71.21.82.42.72.82.52

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:22 AM EST     -1.57 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:44 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:41 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:09 AM EST     2.14 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:31 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:07 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:54 PM EST     -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:12 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:41 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:56 PM EST     1.74 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 10:08 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.4-1.6-1.5-0.90.41.522.121.20.1-0.7-1.1-1.4-1.5-1.2-0.311.61.71.71.20.1-0.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.