Monday, February19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Bay Village, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 6:18PM Monday February 19, 2018 2:26 PM EST (19:26 UTC) Moonrise 9:20AMMoonset 9:52PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 941 Am Est Mon Feb 19 2018
.small craft should exercise caution...
Rest of today..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A slight chance of light showers in the morning.
Tonight..East southeast winds around 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers late in the evening...then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday..East southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tuesday night..East southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Wednesday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Wednesday night through Thursday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A slight chance of showers.
Friday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 941 Am Est Mon Feb 19 2018
Synopsis..The strengthening western atlantic ridge axis will remain to our north through late week, bringing moderate to fresh east winds to the local waters. Winds will be a little stronger over the atlantic waters, with the potential for advisory conditions at times. Isolated atlantic showers are possible through the period.
Gulf stream hazards..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas up to 6 feet late tonight. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 17, 2018 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 13 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 9 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Bay Village, FL
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location: 25.85, -80.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 191806
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
106 pm est Mon feb 19 2018

Aviation
A round of showers asssociated with the first disturbance is
pushing through south florida. A second round is expected to near
the region later this evening into tonight. Current rain chances
are not high enough to include impact beyond the next few hours
where MVFR CIGS are possible.VFR should generally prevail at most
sites through the period with gusty easterly flow. Gusts will
diminish a bit overnight before picking back up after sunrise on
Tuesday.

Prev discussion issued 944 am est Mon feb 19 2018
update...

a disturbance rounding the high is creating showers over the
atlantic waters and portions of south florida this morning. As the
disturbance pushes through, the associated convection will
move on. Made slight changes to the pops based off the radar this
morning. Updated zones have been transmitted to indicate these
changes. Otherwise, the forecast is on track for today. Have a
great holiday!
prev discussion... Issued 343 am est Mon feb 19 2018
discussion...

today and tonight: upper level ridge axis currently stretches across
the fl peninsula early this morning, with a strengthening low
level ridge as the main center moves off the new england coast.

Upper level ridge center is expected to become more north-south
oriented today. This will allow two disturbances, one located over
the NW bahamas fl straits, and another located just to the north
of hispaniola, to rotate into the region today and tonight as they
round the base of the ridge.

First feature looks to arrive by mid morning, with general model
consensus bringing a few showers from southeast to northwest
through early afternoon. Expect somewhat of a lull in activity,
with the stronger feature kicking off more showers as it arrives
overnight.

East winds will be breezy at times along the east coast, which
may hold temperatures a degree or two below yesterday in this
area. Otherwise, high temps remain 5-10 degrees above normal in
the low to mid 80s, with a few upper 80s for interior collier
county. The increase in moisture and winds will keep low tonight
mild and muggy in the upper 60s and low 70s, with a few east coast
sites potentially remaining in the mid 70s.

Tuesday and Wednesday: the persistent upper level ridge strengthens
just to our east through mid-week, with a drier airmass arriving in
the wake of the departing low level disturbance. As is often the
case in breezy east-southeast flow, an occasional atlantic shower
can't be ruled out, but the overall forecast looks dry at the
moment. Lack of gulf breeze development will allow temperatures
along the gulf coast and western interior to climb into the mid to
upper 80s. The eastern side of the region will hold a little closer
to normal in the low to mid 80s.

Thursday through Sunday: upper level ridge center slides west across
the fl peninsula to end the week, as the low level ridge axis
migrates southwards. Influence of the ridge will keep the atmosphere
suppressed, limiting any deep convection. However, passing low level
disturbances pockets of higher moisture will be enough to bring
periods of light showers, mainly for the atlantic east coast.

Temperatures continue in the low to mid 80s, with a few upper 80s
for the western interior.

Marine... High pressure to our north will continue to dominate the
local weather pattern through the week. The strengthening western
atlantic ridge axis will remain to our north through late week,
bringing moderate to fresh east winds to both the gulf and atlantic.

Winds over the atlantic may potentially come up to a steady 20
kts later this evening, which may warrant issuing a small craft
advisory later today. Seas 3-4ft in the offshore gulf and 4-5ft,
occasionally 6ft in the atlantic. There will be the potential for
isolated atlantic showers through the period.

Beach forecast... Increasing easterly flow will lead to a high
risk of rip currents on atlantic beaches today, with the threat
likely lingering through most of the week.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 74 84 74 83 20 20 10 10
fort lauderdale 75 83 75 82 20 20 10 10
miami 74 83 75 84 30 10 10 10
naples 70 87 70 86 10 0 0 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for flz168-172-
173.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 02 rag


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 8 mi44 min E 11 G 15 77°F 77°F1022.9 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 17 mi32 min E 11 G 15 78°F 1024.1 hPa68°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 18 mi26 min E 21 G 23 76°F 76°F1023.9 hPa (-1.7)
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 44 mi146 min 77°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 45 mi86 min 77°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 46 mi146 min 77°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 49 mi146 min 76°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 49 mi146 min 77°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL6 mi33 minE 1910.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy83°F68°F61%1023.5 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL7 mi33 minE 14 G 2010.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F70°F76%1023.9 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL11 mi33 minE 16 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F68°F61%1024.1 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL15 mi33 minE 1510.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F71°F74%1023.6 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL20 mi33 minE 1410.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F66°F60%1023.2 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL24 mi33 minE 1810.00 miOvercast and Breezy80°F69°F69%1024.1 hPa

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE13E13E14E9E9E10E11E10E9E8E8E13E10E13E12E12E9E11E11SE7SE7SE9E16
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1 day agoSE9
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SE11SE85SE6SE3CalmSE3CalmCalmNW4N3NW3N4N4NE4CalmE9E13
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2 days agoSE7
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6S7S3S5SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N3E5E8E9
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Tide / Current Tables for Miami, 79th St. Causeway, Florida
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Miami
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:27 AM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:05 PM EST     1.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:16 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:48 PM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:52 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.91.71.40.90.50.1-0.1-0.10.20.71.31.71.91.81.51.10.60.2-0.1-0.200.511.5

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:07 AM EST     -1.55 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:55 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:25 AM EST     2.06 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 09:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:05 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:26 PM EST     -1.65 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:16 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:17 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:52 PM EST     2.12 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 09:52 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-1.2-1.5-1.4-1.2-0.80.11.3221.71.20.1-1-1.6-1.6-1.3-1-0.30.81.82.11.91.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.