Wednesday, June19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Bay Village, FL

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Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 8:16PM Wednesday June 19, 2019 12:51 PM EDT (16:51 UTC) Moonrise 9:23PMMoonset 7:25AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1047 Am Edt Wed Jun 19 2019
Rest of today..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots along the coast to south 5 to 15 knots in the gulf stream. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Thursday night..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Friday night..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Saturday..East southeast winds 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Saturday night..South southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Sunday..South winds around 5 knots becoming east southeast in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1047 Am Edt Wed Jun 19 2019
Synopsis..Light south southwest flow will be in place across the local waters the next few days, allowing both the gulf and atlantic seabreezes to develop the next few days. Scattered showers and storms are expected today, with gradually decreasing coverage later this week into the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 18, 2019 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 13 nautical miles northeast of port everglades. 8 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 10 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Bay Village, FL
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location: 25.85, -80.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 191519
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
1119 am edt Wed jun 19 2019

Update A few subtle features in place today that will drive
the weather as we head into the afternoon. Satellite imagery
shows a broad low level convergent area stretching from the
eastern gulf across central florida and into the atlantic on the
north side of the ridge.

A weak vort MAX that rotated through this morning kicked off a
thunderstorm complex along this boundary across west central
florida earlier this morning. Given a favorable environment, the
well-defined outflow from this has continued to kick off new
storms as it propagates south and east, now currently moving
through palm beach county.

While this boundary is losing some steam as it GOES along, expect
it to continue to generate new showers and storms as it's western
end moves into hendry collier broward counties. There's enough
clearing behind this line that additional activity is expected
behind it later this afternoon. In addition to this line, we
will see activity popping up along a diffuse east coast seabreeze
as we go into midday. Given the west southwest steering flow, most
activity will be focused towards palm beach and broward as we go
into the afternoon. Heavy rain and lightning will be the main
concerns, though some gusty winds can't be ruled out.

Prev discussion issued 814 am edt Wed jun 19 2019
aviation... Ongoing complex of shra tsra approaching lake
currently, may reach kpbi and kapf this morn. Otherwise, a few
shra and tsra developing vcnty all terminals by late morn as
seabreezes get going. Prevailing ssw flow limits inland push of
east coast seabreeze, with a few sites potentially remaining more
s to ssw rather than se. Kpbi has best chances of seeing direct
tsra impacts, with other east coast sites potentially remaining
dry. Winds diminish after sunset, with generally dry conditions
overnight.

Prev discussion... Issued 236 am edt Wed jun 19 2019
discussion...

today and tonight...

a low amplitude shortwave trough will depart to our east, with a few
remnant perturbations riding the weak (~20 kt) westerly 500 mb flow
across central florida. A gradual decrease in mid-level tropospheric
moisture is expected as the shortwave departs, however low-level
moisture will remain in place. Surface to 850 mb ridging will be the
primary feature in the lower levels, with light ssw steering flow.

Given the light wind regime both gulf and atlantic sea breezes are
anticipated today. These will be drivers for thunderstorm
development, with rain chances gradually spreading inland from the
coastal areas from late morning into early afternoon. Following
afternoon sea breeze collisions, the steering flow should direct
late day thunderstorms towards the north and northeast portions of
our area, including broward and palm beach counties. There is a
robust signal for localized heavy rainfall (to ~2"+) in this area,
but placement differs among the global and mesoscale guidance. The
mesoscale models favor more inland portions of these counties, while
the global guidance paints the heavier QPF more towards the east
coast metro areas. Given this uncertainty, will split the
difference with advertised qpf. Heavy rainfall and localized minor
flooding remain a possibility today, especially for western
portions of the broward palm beach urban corridor. Given cool
temperatures aloft (-7 to -8 degrees celsius at 500 hpa) with the
passing wave, a few stronger storms producing gusty winds are
possible today as well. A warming trend in temperatures should
begin today, with highs climbing into the lower 90s away from the
east coast where the atlantic sea breeze will have a moderating
effect.

Thursday through Saturday...

a slowly retrograding and zonally elongated mid-level ridge will
prevail from the caribbean sea into eastern gulf of mexico. This
will support decently strong low-level ridging during the early
portion of this period, with surface high pressure getting pinched
off over the western gulf of mexico by Saturday in response to
troughing pushing from the eastern seaboard into the western north
atlantic ocean. With large scale subsidence shower thunderstorm
coverage should be more limited during this period with sea
breeze driven diurnal cycles. Rising thicknesses are supportive of
warm temperatures through much of this period, with highs mostly
in the 90s. Maximum heat index values could eclipse 105 degrees
for some areas during this time.

Sunday through Tuesday...

the mid-level ridge will deamplify in response to shortwave
perturbations crossing from the eastern CONUS into the western
atlantic. This will lower thicknesses somewhat as an easterly low-
level wind component becomes established. High temperatures will
likely cool a few degrees for eastern areas as a result. South
florida will be located along the eastern periphery of the
anticyclonic flow around the mid-level ridge, leaving us exposed to
southward dropping perturbations around the ridge margins. This
may increase our shower storm chances somewhat, although mid-level
moisture doesn't appear overly impressive at this time.

Marine...

scattered showers and storms are expected today, with gradually
decreasing coverage later this week into the weekend. While some of
the storms may produce locally gusty winds and heavy rain, winds
outside of this activity should be on the order of 5-10 knots. Wave
heights are expected to generally be 1-2 feet.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 87 76 91 76 60 30 20 10
fort lauderdale 88 79 90 79 30 20 20 10
miami 90 79 90 79 20 10 20 10
naples 89 78 90 78 20 10 10 0

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 88 alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 8 mi57 min ESE 8 G 9.9 84°F 84°F1017.5 hPa
PEGF1 17 mi57 min SE 11 G 12 85°F 1018 hPa
MDKF1 41 mi111 min 84°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 44 mi111 min 86°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 45 mi111 min 84°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 46 mi171 min 85°F
THRF1 46 mi171 min 85°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 48 mi171 min 85°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 49 mi171 min 85°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 49 mi171 min 84°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL6 mi58 minSSE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F75°F59%1017.6 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL7 mi58 minS 910.00 miA Few Clouds89°F75°F63%1017.8 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL11 mi58 minSSE 910.00 miA Few Clouds91°F73°F57%1017.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL15 mi58 minSE 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy88°F75°F68%1017.3 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL20 mi58 minSSE 810.00 miA Few Clouds91°F75°F59%1017.3 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL24 mi58 minSE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F75°F70%1017.8 hPa

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8SE10S11
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1 day agoNW5E5E3CalmNW3NE5NE4E7E7E9SE10SE11SE11S6S4SE5SE3CalmCalmCalmCalm6SE6SE7
2 days agoS7
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Tide / Current Tables for Miami, 79th St. Causeway, Florida
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Miami
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:36 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:59 AM EDT     1.89 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:44 PM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.121.71.20.80.40.20.10.40.91.41.71.91.81.51.10.60.2-0.1-0.10.10.61.21.7

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:32 AM EDT     -1.47 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:48 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:40 AM EDT     1.68 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:47 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:22 PM EDT     -1.46 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:01 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:09 PM EDT     1.99 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 10:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.9-1.2-1.4-1.4-0.90.21.31.71.71.50.8-0.2-1-1.3-1.4-1.4-1-01.21.9221.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.