Sunday, April22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian Creek, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 7:48PM Sunday April 22, 2018 2:18 PM EDT (18:18 UTC) Moonrise 11:46AMMoonset 12:38AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1108 Am Edt Sun Apr 22 2018
Rest of today..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Wednesday night..West northwest winds 5 to 10 knots along the coast to west northwest 10 to 15 knots in the gulf stream. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Thursday..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1108 Am Edt Sun Apr 22 2018
Synopsis..High pressure over the mid-atlantic and low pressure over the mid-south states will bring moderate southeasterly winds across the area today. Winds veer around to south by Monday night and southwest by late Tuesday as a front approaches. Scattered to numerous showers and isolated Thunderstorms are likely over the waters through late Tuesday. Winds and waves may be locally higher near Thunderstorms. Winds shift to northwest behind the front as conditions improve Wednesday.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas near 6 feet through early this afternoon in the waters off of palm beach county. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 21, 2018 at 1200 utc... 12 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 10 nautical miles east of port everglades. 8 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 11 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Creek, FL
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location: 25.88, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 221723
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
123 pm edt Sun apr 22 2018

Aviation
Scattered showers and thunderstorms across south florida this
afternoon will create brief times of subVFR conditions. Easterly
flow will start to veer more to the southeast today. At kapf, a
gulf sea breeze will develop this afternoon. Winds will be between
10 and 15 knots, however, they could gust higher in showers and
thunderstorms.

Prev discussion issued 1006 am edt Sun apr 22 2018
update...

no changes needed to be made to the previous forecast as
everything looks on track. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue to develop across the region today. The best chance
of thunderstorms will shift from the east coast metro areas to the
western interior sections this afternoon in the predominant
southeasterly flow. The greatest threats with these storms will be
lightning, locally heavy downpours and brief gusty winds.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through tonight
especially across the east coast metro areas.

Prev discussion... Issued 730 am edt Sun apr 22 2018
aviation...

scattered showers and thunderstorms across south florida today
will create brief times of subVFR conditions. Easterly flow will
start to veer more to the southeast today. At kapf, a gulf sea
breeze will develop this afternoon. Winds will be between 10 and
15 knots, however, they could gust higher in showers and
thunderstorms.

Prev discussion... Issued 333 am edt Sun apr 22 2018
discussion...

a relatively active pattern is now in place. A vertically-stacked
upper low is over the southern plains early this morning, with
our region in a downstream area of upper diffluence. At the
surface, high pressure over the tidewater region and a low over
the ozarks is yielding moderate southeast flow over south florida.

This has also established a modest feed of tropical moisture with
pw values near or over 1.5 inches per the nassau 00z sounding and
goes-16 total pw imagery. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the atlantic waters have been moving inland
over the east coast metro area early this morning.

Today and tonight, scattered to occasionally numerous showers and
isolated thunderstorms will continue along the moisture axis from
the atlantic into the east coast. During the afternoon, the best
chances for numerous showers and a few thunderstorms will focus
over the western interior and lake okeechobee region in the
predominant SE flow. The lowest pops will be in the far southern
peninsula bordering florida bay.

Monday, flow veers a bit to sse, becoming ssw over western
sections later as a surface front approaches. This will favor
numerous showers and a few thunderstorms over the lake okechobee
region shifting toward the palm beaches Monday night as flow veers
around to ssw, with scattered to sometimes numerous showers
elsewhere.

The greatest threats associated with convection today through
Monday night are likely to be lightning, brief gusty winds, and
locally heavy downpours. Most areas north of an immokalee to
hollywood line will likely end up with a general 1-2 inches of
rain, but some isolated amounts over 3-4 inches will be possible
just about anywhere, which may bring brief periods of flooding to
streets and the usual vulnerable locations. Right now expecting
any flood issues to remain local and mostly advisory-level.

Tuesday into Tuesday night, the low kicks out into the tennessee
valley, pushing a surface front across the northeastern gulf
toward the area. Models indicate CAPE increasing into the
2500-3000 j kg range, confluent southerly flow, bulk shear of
30-40 knots in the lowest 6km, differential cva increasing with
height, and some modestly cool air aloft, all arguing a few
thunderstorms Tuesday may be strong. Greatest coverage over the
northern part of the area closest to the front, with more
scattered activity further south. Lack of any low-level jet and
increasing detachment of the front from the better upper forcing
lifting away from the region will serve as mitigating factors for
any widespread severe thunderstorms.

Wednesday, the decaying front pushes out of the area bringing
drier air into the region and bringing calmer weather. Later in
the week into next weekend, several disturbances translate
southeastward around the back of the eastern us mean longwave
trough. This will drive a couple of reinforcing fronts toward the
region. Will not get fancy with the pops as the timing of these
fronts and quality of moisture availability will likely change
with future model runs.

Marine...

moderate to fresh southeast winds continue over the local waters
today. The winds and waves likely peaked out early this morning
over the gulf stream, so for now the small craft advisory will be
allowed to expire later this morning. Still, small craft should
exercise caution through Tuesday, particularly over the open
atlantic waters, due to winds of 15 to 20 knots. Scattered
thunderstorms will also pose a hazard to mariners in all the local
waters, bringing locally higher winds and waves through Tuesday
night. As a front approaches, winds will veer around to southeast
later today, southwest by Tuesday, and then around to northwest
Tuesday night following its passage.

Aviation...

passing showers, and possibly thunderstorms, through the forecast
period will create brief bouts of sub-vfr conditions. Generally
easterly flow will veer a bit more south of east today. Apf will
see the influence of a gulf sea breeze today as well. Variable
gustiness possible around convection today.

Beach forecast...

a high risk of rip currents will continue today at the palm beaches
due to persistent moderate southeasterly winds, with a moderate risk
at the rest of the atlantic beaches. At least a moderate risk will
continue for east coast beaches Monday.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 72 83 71 84 60 50 60 70
fort lauderdale 74 83 73 84 50 50 40 50
miami 73 86 73 87 40 40 40 50
naples 70 85 71 84 30 30 30 40

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 8 pm edt this evening for flz168.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 55 cwc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 10 mi49 min ESE 11 G 15 79°F 80°F1017.7 hPa
PEGF1 14 mi49 min E 6 G 13 80°F 1018 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 15 mi37 min ESE 5.1 G 11 80°F 1018.5 hPa73°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 20 mi79 min ESE 13 G 14 78°F 78°F1019.3 hPa (+0.0)
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 46 mi139 min 82°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 48 mi79 min 83°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 49 mi139 min 82°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL8 mi26 minESE 1310.00 miMostly Cloudy85°F71°F63%1018.4 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi26 minSE 10 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F71°F65%1018 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL10 mi26 minSSE 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F70°F61%1018.7 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL13 mi26 minSE 1310.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F73°F82%1018 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL22 mi26 minSE 1510.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F69°F57%1017.7 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL22 mi26 minSE 12 G 1710.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F73°F79%1018.4 hPa

Wind History from OPF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E8NE8E12E11E11E12E9E8E9E8E9E7E9E9E7E9E6E6SE6E10
G23
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1 day agoE6E10E10E10E8E9SE8E8E8E4E4SE5E4E3CalmCalmNE3CalmE3Calm4E7E7E8
2 days agoSE9SE10SE10SE10S8SE9S9S8S7W9SW5SW5W4W3W4W5W6W5NW5NW7NW7W5NW64

Tide / Current Tables for Indian Creek Golf Club, ICWW, Florida
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Indian Creek Golf Club
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Sun -- 01:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:43 AM EDT     2.27 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:04 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:00 PM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 PM EDT     First Quarter
Sun -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:32 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.81.41.82.22.32.11.71.10.70.30.20.30.71.21.622.121.61.20.60.2-0-0

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
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Sun -- 01:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:36 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:10 AM EDT     -1.28 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:52 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 12:13 PM EDT     1.77 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 12:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:53 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:46 PM EDT     First Quarter
Sun -- 06:29 PM EDT     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:16 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.121.60.7-0.4-1.1-1.3-1.3-1.2-0.80.21.31.81.71.50.9-0.1-1-1.3-1.3-1.3-1.1-0.30.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.