Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian Creek, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 6:21PM Saturday February 24, 2018 10:50 AM EST (15:50 UTC) Moonrise 1:01PMMoonset 1:50AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 959 Am Est Sat Feb 24 2018
Rest of today..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday and Monday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 959 Am Est Sat Feb 24 2018
Synopsis..High pressure shifts westward into the florida peninsula will allow a more east to southeast flow later this afternoon into the evening. Pressure gradient will gradually weaken providing moderate winds today. An approaching cold front will cause the wind to become more southerly for the gulf waters. The front is forecast to be weak, and may stall before moving through the area and dissipate. High pressure is forecast to quickly build back in for the middle of the week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 22, 2018 at 1200 utc... 11 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 20 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 6 nautical miles east of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Creek, FL
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location: 25.88, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 241543
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
1043 am est Sat feb 24 2018

Update
Latest radar and Sat imagery show shower activity initiating over
the atlantic waters and moving inland affecting portion of miami-
dade and broward metro areas. This morning sounding suggests
conditions are favorable for general shower activity today. The
showers will continue through the morning, mainly for the east
coast metro areas south of fort lauderdale. Precipitable water
values in this morning sounding are on average for this time but
more low level moisture in the periphery of the high pressure is
expected to move over S fl today. Short term models indicate gulf
sea breeze is possible into the afternoon hours further to the north
but some of this showers could extend further south into hendry
and collier county. The only updated on this package is to reflect
the slight chance of some showers initiating over the west coast
areas this afternoon. The remainder of the forecast remains on
track at this time. Temperatures will remain in the mid to upper
80s out west and low to mid 80s east coast.

Prev discussion issued 612 am est Sat feb 24 2018
aviation...

isolated light showers continue to advect on shore from over the
atlantic. Breezy east southeast winds will persist through the
remainder of this morning, mainly 10-13 kt. Aft 24 1400z, expect
winds to increase around 15 kt with occasional higher gusts.

These winds will begin to weaken as evening approaches. Sct bkn
low clouds should be present through the period along the eastern
portion of the peninsula with bases 2000-3500 ft agl.

Prev discussion... Issued 318 am est Sat feb 24 2018
discussion...

the ECMWF and the GFS in good agreement with the bermuda high
hanging on for the weekend, then weakening the beginning of next
week. This will keep the east to southeast wind across the region,
and showers periodically moving onshore this weekend. The GFS is
showing some CAPE across the region, less than 1000 joules, but
nam model soundings are showing an inversion starting just over
800mb persisting through the weekend, which should hinder
convective development, and thus, only showers are in the forecast
at this time. This will need to be re-evaluated with new
soundings and model updates to see if the cap may erode enough to
be broken and allow thunderstorm development.

By Monday, a cold front is progged to approach the area. The
models are in agreement with the front weakening as it does, and
possibly even dissipating over the area. The tail and looks to
make it to around the lake, maybe palm beach county. The tail end
may get lifted back to the north as high pressure builds over
bermuda by the middle of the week. Really, the front does not look
to make a significant impact on the region, except perhaps a wind
direction change. Models are not even indicating any significant
enhancement for showers attm.

As the front lifts away for the latter half of next week, models
are indicating clearing skies, and a couple of dry days. Dew
points remain in the 60s and high temperatures continue to run in
the low to mid 80s for the week.

By the end of the week, a stronger cold front approaches the area.

Again, the ECMWF and the GFS are in pretty good agreement with
this. The front is progged to move through the entire CWA by
Saturday morning. Both models are indicating this should be a dry
passage. But, it does look to bring somewhat cooler temperatures
for next weekend, with the highs in the 70s for most of the cwa.

The dew points look to be the most significant change, with the
current forecast calling for them to drop into the 40s and 50s by
Saturday morning.

Marine...

a bermuda high is forecast to maintain the east to southeast wind
for most of the weekend. The high should begin to weaken on
Sunday, ahead of a weak cold front that will move into the area on
Monday. The wind is forecast to gradually relax over the next
couple of days. Showers will continue to be possible, especially
over the atlantic waters through the middle of the week. Seas are
forecast to subside to generally 2 foot or less by the end of the
weekend, and persist that way through the middle of the week. For
the latter half, seas are currently forecast to build back to 4
to 5 feet in the gulf stream.

Beach forecast...

the bermuda high is forecast to maintain the breezy east wind
through the day. This will bring a high risk of rip currents to
all the south florida atlantic beaches today. The wind is forecast
to relax beginning tonight, into tomorrow morning, possibly
reducing the risk to a moderate risk for Sunday.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 72 84 72 85 20 20 10 10
fort lauderdale 74 81 73 83 20 20 20 10
miami 73 84 73 84 20 20 10 10
naples 68 85 67 86 10 10 10 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 7 pm est this evening for flz168-172-
173.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 67 mt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 10 mi50 min E 15 G 18 76°F 76°F1022.9 hPa (+1.0)
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 15 mi50 min E 6 G 12 77°F 1024 hPa (+1.2)67°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 20 mi50 min E 19 G 22 75°F 76°F1024 hPa (+0.9)

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL8 mi57 minE 1510.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F68°F71%1023.9 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi57 minE 14 G 2310.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F66°F69%1023.7 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL10 mi57 minE 12 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F66°F67%1024.2 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL13 mi57 minE 1710.00 miA Few Clouds77°F69°F77%1023.6 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL22 mi57 minE 1710.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F68°F77%1023.4 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL22 mi57 minESE 1710.00 miA Few Clouds78°F66°F69%1023.9 hPa

Wind History from OPF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE16
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E8NE5E10E9E7E11SE8E9E9E10E11E15
1 day agoE13
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2 days agoE14
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G22

Tide / Current Tables for Indian Creek Golf Club, ICWW, Florida
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Indian Creek Golf Club
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:49 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:20 AM EST     1.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:37 AM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:29 PM EST     1.85 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:19 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 11:08 PM EST     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.81.31.71.91.91.61.20.80.40.20.20.40.81.31.61.81.81.61.20.70.2-0.1-0.3

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:20 AM EST     1.95 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:49 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:18 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:05 AM EST     -1.06 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:26 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:44 PM EST     1.63 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:27 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:19 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:25 PM EST     -1.36 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:54 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.91.91.71.30.3-0.6-1-1.1-1.1-0.9-0.40.61.51.61.51.20.5-0.5-1.2-1.4-1.4-1.2-0.80.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.