Sunrise 6:37 AM   Sunset 7:57 PM Moonrise 5:47 AM   Moonset 7:52 PM

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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 401 Pm Edt Wed May 8 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Tonight - SE winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to se 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E se 2 ft at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Thu - S se winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S se 2 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Thu night - S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S se 2 ft at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Fri - S sw winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Fri night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S sw 2 ft at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Sat - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: W sw 2 ft at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - W winds 10 to 15 kt becoming N nw after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less along the coast and 2 to 3 ft in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Sun night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Mon - E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Mon night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis -
a moderate to fresh southeasterly wind flow across the atlantic waters will become south to southwesterly heading into the end of the week. Across the gulf waters, a moderate south to southeasterly wind flow will become southwest each afternoon through the rest of the week as a gulf breeze develops. Chances of showers and Thunderstorms will increase over the weekend as a front approaches the local waters.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 07, 2024 at 12 utc - .
7 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles east of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 082325 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 725 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 721 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

No major changes this evening as the weather remains benign. The rip current statement remains in effect for the Palm Beaches through at least tomorrow evening. Otherwise, the dry conditions are expected to persist for the most part tonight as temperatures slowly fall as the sun sets. No additional updates are anticipated through midnight. Have a wonderful Wednesday evening!

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1237 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

An expansive mid level ridge centered over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico will continue to build eastward towards South Florida through the rest of this afternoon and into Thursday while high pressure at the surface remains in place over the western Atlantic. With a northwesterly wind flow aloft, a drier air mass will push into the region this afternoon heading into Thursday. This will keep the chances of showers and storms very limited, however, there may be just enough lingering lower level moisture across the Lake Okeechobee region to support an isolated shower or storm where the sea breezes interact late this afternoon. Any shower or storm that does develop will be short lived and will quickly diminish after sunset due to loss of diurnal heating. Low temperatures tonight will generally range from the upper 60s across the Lake Okeechobee region to the mid to upper 70s across the east coast metro areas.

With many areas seeing a good deal of sunshine on Thursday, the heat will return as high temperatures soar into the upper 80s and lower 90s across the coastal areas while the interior sections rise into the mid to upper 90s. Heat index values may reach the triple digits especially across interior portions of Southwest Florida in the afternoon on Thursday.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 257 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

The upper level ridge will break down Friday into the weekend as longwave troughing sets up over the eastern CONUS. An associated weak cold front will advect southwards into the Florida Peninsula on Friday and eventually arrive in South Florida by Saturday morning before stalling. This boundary will be a highly weak one and thus not have strong forcing, plus the upper level pattern will be lacking energy as well as it will be quasi-zonal. Therefore, limited convective showers and storms are expected across the region for the weekend but there still is likely to be some isolated convection since moisture is sufficient (PWATs around 1.2-1/4") and some locations could reach their local convective temperature. Weak ridging will rebuild on Sunday, inhibiting rain chances for Sunday and into early next week.

This benign upper level pattern is projected to remain in place through the middle of next week, keeping conditions mostly dry.
However, slight chance PoPs will be maintained as several vorticity impulses, adequate moisture pooling and hot temperatures could lead to isolated convection in the afternoon hours each day.

Southerly flow ahead of the front will lead to widespread temperatures in the low to mid 90s on Friday. The hot temperatures will continue daily through the rest of the long term with low to mid 90s for most locations. The east and west coasts will both be in the mid 80s on certain days depending on the wind direction. Heat indices will climb into the 100s several days through the long term period, but no counties are expected to reach heat advisory criteria.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 721 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Generally VFR through the period with the southeasterly flow lightening tonight before turning more southerly as it picks up on Thursday morning. APF could see another Gulf sea breeze develop and turn the wind out of the west to southwest by the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 1237 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

A moderate to fresh southeasterly wind flow will continue across the Atlantic waters through tonight. These winds will gradually become more southerly on Thursday and then southwesterly on Friday as a frontal boundary approaches the region. Across the Gulf, moderate southeasterly wind flow tonight will also gradually become more south to southwesterly heading towards the end of the week. The chances of showers and thunderstorms will increase during the first part of the weekend as a frontal boundary moves closer to the region.

BEACHES
Issued at 1237 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

A high risk of rip currents will continue across the Palm Beaches through Thursday while a moderate risk of rip currents remains in place across the beaches of Broward and Miami Dade Counties.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1237 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

As a drier air mass filters into the region, minimum relative humidity values each afternoon through the rest of the week could range between 30 and 35 percent over the interior portions of South Florida. This could lead to enhanced fire weather conditions across these areas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 76 91 75 92 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 74 91 72 94 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 75 91 74 94 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 75 89 74 92 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 76 89 75 91 / 0 0 0 10 N Ft Lauderdale 75 90 75 93 / 0 0 0 10 Pembroke Pines 75 90 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 72 92 73 94 / 0 0 0 10 Boca Raton 75 89 74 95 / 0 0 0 10 Naples 74 89 75 88 / 10 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Biscayne Creek, ICWW, Florida, Tide feet

Miami Harbor Entrance
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Wed -- 01:59 AM EDT     -1.89 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:28 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:37 AM EDT     2.16 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 10:25 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:00 PM EDT     -2.03 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:44 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:04 PM EDT     2.62 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 08:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:14 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
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Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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