Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Villa Pancho, TX
April 26, 2024 12:34 AM CDT (05:34 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:55 AM Sunset 8:00 PM Moonrise 9:53 PM Moonset 7:31 AM |
GMZ130 Laguna Madre From The Port Of Brownsville To The Arroyo Colorado- Laguna Madre From The Arroyo Colorado To 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield Tx- Laguna Madre From 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield To Baffin Bay Tx- 956 Pm Cdt Thu Apr 25 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening - .
Rest of tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay.
Friday - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Rough on the bay.
Friday night - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Rough on the bay becoming choppy after midnight.
Saturday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Gusts to 35 knots. Choppy on the bay becoming rough in the afternoon.
Saturday night - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Rough on the bay.
Sunday - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Rough on the bay becoming choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay.
Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay.
Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night - Southeast winds around 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ100 956 Pm Cdt Thu Apr 25 2024
Synopsis - Fresh to strong southeast winds and high seas are expected to continue through Sunday. Winds will diminish Sunday night, with elevated wave heights persisting on the gulf of mexico waters into next week. Thunderstorms are possible Sunday through Tuesday.
Area Discussion for - Brownsville, TX
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FXUS64 KBRO 252328 AAA AFDBRO
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 628 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
The main headline in the short term will continue to be the wind. A tight pressure gradient has produced a windy day across deep South Texas and the RGV so far. As repeating storm systems mature and lift over the Southern Plains in the short term, the mechanism of lower pressure upstream interacting with higher pressure over the Gulf of Mexico will drive stronger winds. Southeast winds will decrease slightly tonight, but will come right back on Friday. A wind advisory will be possible for southeastern sections of the CWA on Friday, as some model guidance kicks sustained winds to 30 mph or higher and/or gusts to 40 mph or higher.
With marine moisture being well mixed into the low levels of the atmosphere, light fog or haze may slightly limit visibility at times. Elevated waves and longer swell periods will contribute to an elevated rip current risk and a high risk is now in effect, likely to extend through Friday night.
The forecast will continue dry in the short term, with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Temperatures will remain above average by about 5 degrees. Lows will be in the 70s. Highs will range from the 80s nearer the coast to the 90s inland.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
Tight pressure gradients will remain in place for the start of the long term period, supporting a strong 850mb LLJ (Low Level Jet) running along the Texas Coast up into the Midwest. Stronger winds will likely mix to the surface Saturday, possibly prompting a Wind Advisory for some of the southeastern counties, though conditions appear to be borderline.
As we continue through the period, an upper level trough over the central plains will traverse further east, weakening the LLJ and pushing it further offshore. Breezy conditions are likely Sunday, but Wind Advisories look unlikely. Mostly zonal flow aloft looks to dominate the start of the workweek, with weak ridging taking over by mid-week. At the surface southeasterly winds will continue to advect warm, humid air into the region, keeping high temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s, and low temperatures in the 70s.
Overall, rain chances are fairly low through the period, however there are a couple opportunities for some areas to get rain. The first will be Sunday, when a cold front looks to stall just to the north of the CWA, possibly promoting some isolated showers and thunderstorms along the northern CWA border.
Beginning Monday, a series of shortwaves moving through the upper level flow could kick off some convection along the Sierra Madre Mountains, and some of those showers and thunderstorms could make it to Deep South Texas before dissipating. The best rain chances look to be Monday night into Tuesday, though confidence is still low, and rain chances are capped at 20-30%.
Additionally, with stronger winds offshore for the start of the period, higher seas are expected through at least Monday , most likely resulting in a high risk of rip currents.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
Southeast winds remain elevated through the TAF period, with gusts up to 35 knots possible by Friday morning. MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected to arrive this evening with VFR ceilings possible Friday at MFE and HRL. Low clouds may persist at BRO.
MARINE
Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
Tonight through Friday night...Small craft advisory conditions are ongoing through Friday and may be extended into Friday night. A tight pressure gradient is fueling the stronger southeast winds and elevated seas. The stronger winds are helping marine moisture mix into the lower atmosphere, supporting some patchy fog in coastal areas, especially through the overnight and early morning hours.
Saturday through next Thursday...Strong pressure gradients along the Lower Texas Coast will likely support elevated winds through the start of the period. Wind speeds will likely decrease by Sunday afternoon, however elevated seas will likely remain a bit longer. Small Craft Advisories will likely be needed through the weekend, and possibly carrying into the day Monday. Light to moderate winds and moderate seas look to continue through the remainder of the period, though some Small Craft Exercise caution headlines may be needed Monday and Tuesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 75 86 75 89 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 73 89 73 91 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 75 91 76 91 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 74 95 73 95 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 75 79 75 81 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 73 85 73 87 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk through Friday evening for TXZ451-454-455.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT Friday for GMZ130-132-135- 150-155-170-175.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 628 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
The main headline in the short term will continue to be the wind. A tight pressure gradient has produced a windy day across deep South Texas and the RGV so far. As repeating storm systems mature and lift over the Southern Plains in the short term, the mechanism of lower pressure upstream interacting with higher pressure over the Gulf of Mexico will drive stronger winds. Southeast winds will decrease slightly tonight, but will come right back on Friday. A wind advisory will be possible for southeastern sections of the CWA on Friday, as some model guidance kicks sustained winds to 30 mph or higher and/or gusts to 40 mph or higher.
With marine moisture being well mixed into the low levels of the atmosphere, light fog or haze may slightly limit visibility at times. Elevated waves and longer swell periods will contribute to an elevated rip current risk and a high risk is now in effect, likely to extend through Friday night.
The forecast will continue dry in the short term, with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Temperatures will remain above average by about 5 degrees. Lows will be in the 70s. Highs will range from the 80s nearer the coast to the 90s inland.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
Tight pressure gradients will remain in place for the start of the long term period, supporting a strong 850mb LLJ (Low Level Jet) running along the Texas Coast up into the Midwest. Stronger winds will likely mix to the surface Saturday, possibly prompting a Wind Advisory for some of the southeastern counties, though conditions appear to be borderline.
As we continue through the period, an upper level trough over the central plains will traverse further east, weakening the LLJ and pushing it further offshore. Breezy conditions are likely Sunday, but Wind Advisories look unlikely. Mostly zonal flow aloft looks to dominate the start of the workweek, with weak ridging taking over by mid-week. At the surface southeasterly winds will continue to advect warm, humid air into the region, keeping high temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s, and low temperatures in the 70s.
Overall, rain chances are fairly low through the period, however there are a couple opportunities for some areas to get rain. The first will be Sunday, when a cold front looks to stall just to the north of the CWA, possibly promoting some isolated showers and thunderstorms along the northern CWA border.
Beginning Monday, a series of shortwaves moving through the upper level flow could kick off some convection along the Sierra Madre Mountains, and some of those showers and thunderstorms could make it to Deep South Texas before dissipating. The best rain chances look to be Monday night into Tuesday, though confidence is still low, and rain chances are capped at 20-30%.
Additionally, with stronger winds offshore for the start of the period, higher seas are expected through at least Monday , most likely resulting in a high risk of rip currents.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
Southeast winds remain elevated through the TAF period, with gusts up to 35 knots possible by Friday morning. MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected to arrive this evening with VFR ceilings possible Friday at MFE and HRL. Low clouds may persist at BRO.
MARINE
Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
Tonight through Friday night...Small craft advisory conditions are ongoing through Friday and may be extended into Friday night. A tight pressure gradient is fueling the stronger southeast winds and elevated seas. The stronger winds are helping marine moisture mix into the lower atmosphere, supporting some patchy fog in coastal areas, especially through the overnight and early morning hours.
Saturday through next Thursday...Strong pressure gradients along the Lower Texas Coast will likely support elevated winds through the start of the period. Wind speeds will likely decrease by Sunday afternoon, however elevated seas will likely remain a bit longer. Small Craft Advisories will likely be needed through the weekend, and possibly carrying into the day Monday. Light to moderate winds and moderate seas look to continue through the remainder of the period, though some Small Craft Exercise caution headlines may be needed Monday and Tuesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 75 86 75 89 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 73 89 73 91 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 75 91 76 91 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 74 95 73 95 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 75 79 75 81 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 73 85 73 87 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk through Friday evening for TXZ451-454-455.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT Friday for GMZ130-132-135- 150-155-170-175.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
PTIT2 - 8779770 - Port Isabel, TX | 20 mi | 46 min | SSE 13G | 77°F | 78°F | 29.85 | ||
BZST2 | 23 mi | 46 min | SE 9.9G | 76°F | 78°F | 29.80 | ||
PCGT2 - 8779748 - South Padre Island CGS, TX | 23 mi | 46 min | SE 13G | 76°F | 80°F | 29.82 | ||
RLIT2 | 29 mi | 46 min | SSE 15G | 78°F | 80°F | 29.84 | ||
PMNT2 | 47 mi | 46 min | 78°F | 82°F | 29.83 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KBRO BROWNSVILLE/SOUTH PADRE ISLAND INTL,TX | 5 sm | 17 min | SSE 12G19 | 8 sm | Overcast | 79°F | 75°F | 89% | 29.84 | |
KPIL PORT ISABELCAMERON COUNTY,TX | 22 sm | 41 min | SSE 12 | 8 sm | Overcast | 79°F | 73°F | 84% | 29.85 |
Matamoros
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:57 AM CST Sunrise
Thu -- 06:08 AM CST 1.35 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:49 AM CST Moonset
Thu -- 06:58 PM CST Sunset
Thu -- 08:52 PM CST Moonrise
Thu -- 09:38 PM CST -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:57 AM CST Sunrise
Thu -- 06:08 AM CST 1.35 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:49 AM CST Moonset
Thu -- 06:58 PM CST Sunset
Thu -- 08:52 PM CST Moonrise
Thu -- 09:38 PM CST -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Matamoros, Tamaulipas, Mexico, Tide feet
12 am |
0.2 |
1 am |
0.4 |
2 am |
0.7 |
3 am |
1 |
4 am |
1.2 |
5 am |
1.3 |
6 am |
1.4 |
7 am |
1.3 |
8 am |
1.3 |
9 am |
1.2 |
10 am |
1.1 |
11 am |
1.1 |
12 pm |
1 |
1 pm |
1 |
2 pm |
1 |
3 pm |
0.9 |
4 pm |
0.7 |
5 pm |
0.5 |
6 pm |
0.2 |
7 pm |
-0 |
8 pm |
-0.2 |
9 pm |
-0.3 |
10 pm |
-0.3 |
11 pm |
-0.3 |
Port Isabel
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:56 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:42 AM CDT 1.56 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:47 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 07:57 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:51 PM CDT Moonrise
Thu -- 10:53 PM CDT -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:56 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:42 AM CDT 1.56 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:47 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 07:57 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:51 PM CDT Moonrise
Thu -- 10:53 PM CDT -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Port Isabel, Texas, Tide feet
12 am |
0.1 |
1 am |
0.3 |
2 am |
0.6 |
3 am |
0.8 |
4 am |
1.1 |
5 am |
1.3 |
6 am |
1.5 |
7 am |
1.5 |
8 am |
1.6 |
9 am |
1.5 |
10 am |
1.5 |
11 am |
1.4 |
12 pm |
1.3 |
1 pm |
1.2 |
2 pm |
1.2 |
3 pm |
1.1 |
4 pm |
1 |
5 pm |
0.8 |
6 pm |
0.7 |
7 pm |
0.4 |
8 pm |
0.2 |
9 pm |
-0 |
10 pm |
-0.2 |
11 pm |
-0.2 |
Brownsville, TX,
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