Monday, May27, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Villa Pancho, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 8:16PM Monday May 27, 2019 6:04 AM CDT (11:04 UTC) Moonrise 1:36AMMoonset 1:17PM Illumination 40% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ130 Laguna Madre From The Port Of Brownsville To The Arroyo Colorado- Laguna Madre From The Arroyo Colorado To 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield Tx- Laguna Madre From 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield To Baffin Bay Tx- 437 Am Cdt Mon May 27 2019
.small craft should exercise caution this afternoon...
Today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. A moderate chop on the bay building to choppy in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Choppy on the bay subsiding to a moderate chop after midnight.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. A light chop on the bay building to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Friday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots after midnight. A moderate chop on the bay subsiding to a light chop after midnight.
GMZ100 Synopsis For Baffin Bay To Rio Grande Out 60 Nm- 437 Am Cdt Mon May 27 2019
Synopsis..A strong pressure gradient between surface high pressure over the northeast gulf of mexico and low pressure troughing across west texas will result in periodic hazardous marine conditions through at least the first half of the week. Pressure differences will gradually weaken Wednesday night through Thursday night allowing winds and seas to slowly subside.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Villa Pancho, TX
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location: 25.88, -97.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Brownsville, TX
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Fxus64 kbro 270944
afdbro
area forecast discussion
national weather service brownsville tx
444 am cdt Mon may 27 2019
.Short term (now through Tuesday): mid to upper level ridging will
continue across the southeast u.S. With persistent troughing and
unsettled weather over the desert southwest. A closed high noted in
the 500mb flow over the northern gulf has broadened and extended
westward into deep south texas. This will maintain hot and dry
weather through the short term. Model time-heights indicate very
shallow moisture, with strong subsidence above 850mb. This will make
it very difficult for any showers to develop across the region.

Radar imagery this morning shows some weak showers trying to stream
northward over the waters, but they will have trouble surviving
inland. Have maintained 10% pop along the coast and offshore today
with around 5% elsewhere. Similar conditions on Tuesday with above-
normal temperatures and very low rain chances.

.Long term (Tuesday night through Sunday): for this portion of the
forecast, 500 mb high pressure will be the dominant force over the
entirety of the gulf of mexico, deep south texas, and the rio
grande valley. This synoptic situation will produce dry weather
for the bro cwfa during the period. However, some model guidance
suggests that precipitation may occur within the forecast area on
Friday and Saturday courtesy of the quick passage of weak mid-
level disturbances. This forecast versus model difference will
need to be monitored by successive forecast shifts, even through
precipitation amounts would likely not be appreciable.

Temperature-wise, the presence of the 500 mb high will support
well above normal daytime high and overnight low temperatures for
the entire forecast period.

.Marine (now through Tuesday): a strong pressure gradient between
surface high pressure over the northeast gulf of mexico and low
pressure troughing across west texas will result in periodic
hazardous marine conditions through at least the first half of the
week. Small craft advisories will be possible on Tuesday across the
gulf waters as seas build to 5 to 7 feet.

Tuesday night through Sunday: small craft advisory conditions
will prevail along the lower texas coast Tuesday night through
Wednesday night courtesy of an enhanced pressure gradient. Much
improved winds and seas will occur Thursday through Sunday as
the gradient weakens and high pressure becomes a more dominant
force over the western gulf of mexico.

Preliminary point temps pops
Bayview port isabel 92 78 90 80 10 10 10 0
brownsville 94 77 92 80 10 10 10 0
harlingen 96 76 94 79 10 0 10 0
mcallen 96 77 95 79 10 0 10 0
rio grande city 98 76 98 78 10 0 10 0
south padre island 88 78 84 80 10 10 10 0

Bro watches warnings advisories
Tx... High rip current risk through this evening for txz256-257-351.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov rgv
short term... Birchfield-65
long term... Tomaselli-66
upper air meso... Brady-62


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PTIT2 - 8779770 - Port Isabel, TX 20 mi35 min SSE 9.9 G 13 79°F 82°F1012.5 hPa
BZST2 23 mi41 min SSE 12 G 14 79°F 80°F1011.9 hPa
PCGT2 - 8779748 - South Padre Island CGS, TX 23 mi41 min SSE 11 G 12 79°F 1012.9 hPa
RLIT2 29 mi41 min SE 15 G 18 85°F 81°F1012.3 hPa
42044 - PS-1126 TABS J 33 mi125 min 1012.4 hPa (-2.0)
PMNT2 47 mi35 min 80°F 84°F1012.2 hPa
42045 - PI-745 TABS K 59 mi125 min SSE 16 G 19 78°F 81°F1013.2 hPa (-1.4)

Wind History for Port Isabel, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brownsville, Brownsville / South Padre Island International Airport, TX5 mi72 minSSE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F75°F94%1012.1 hPa
Port Isabel, Port Isabel-Cameron County Airport, TX22 mi72 minSSE 78.00 miFair76°F72°F88%1012.1 hPa

Wind History from BRO (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Matamoros, Tamaulipas, Mexico
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Matamoros
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:35 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:10 AM CDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:39 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:35 PM CDT     0.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:16 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:21 PM CDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:35 PM CDT     0.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.40.30.20.20.20.30.40.50.60.80.90.90.90.90.80.70.60.60.50.50.50.60.6

Tide / Current Tables for Port Isabel, Texas
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Port Isabel
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:34 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:13 AM CDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:37 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:29 PM CDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:15 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:14 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:19 PM CDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:35 PM CDT     0.70 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.50.40.30.30.30.40.50.70.811.11.11.11.110.90.80.80.70.70.70.70.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Brownsville, TX (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Brownsville, TX
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.