Friday, February22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Villa Pancho, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 6:28PM Friday February 22, 2019 8:18 PM CST (02:18 UTC) Moonrise 10:00PMMoonset 9:23AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ130 Laguna Madre From The Port Of Brownsville To The Arroyo Colorado- Laguna Madre From The Arroyo Colorado To 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield Tx- Laguna Madre From 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield To Baffin Bay Tx- 352 Pm Cst Fri Feb 22 2019
.dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am cst Saturday...
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots after midnight. A light chop on the bay building to a moderate chop after midnight. Areas of fog. Isolated showers.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots shifting north in the afternoon. A moderate chop on the bay. Areas of fog in the morning. Isolated showers in the morning.
Saturday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. A moderate chop on the bay subsiding to a light chop after midnight.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay. Slight chance of rain showers.
Monday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay. Slight chance of showers.
GMZ100 Synopsis For Baffin Bay To Rio Grande Out 60 Nm- 352 Pm Cst Fri Feb 22 2019
Synopsis..SEa fog will continue across the nearshore waters and laguna madre tonight with modest southeast winds. Gusty winds are possible late this evening into tonight in response to an approaching cold front. The front will sweep through early Saturday afternoon, with a brief period of winds reaching 20 knots. Small craft advisories are possible early Saturday afternoon. Marine conditions improve briefly into Sunday before a coastal trough of low pressure spins back up early next week, agitating seas once again.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Villa Pancho, TX
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location: 25.88, -97.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Brownsville, TX
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Fxus64 kbro 222317 aaa
afdbro
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service brownsville tx
517 pm cst Fri feb 22 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation Fog remains the main concern over the TAF period, with
increasing southeasterly winds this evening potentially holding
fog development off until just after midnight. As winds begin to
decrease, fog is expected to develop quickly and could potentially
become dense into mid morning Saturday. A cold front works NW to
se with gusty NW winds and much drier air, bringing back MVFR to
vfr conditions.

Prev discussion issued 304 pm cst Fri feb 22 2019
short term (now through Saturday night): coastal trough remains
right along the shoreline, with north winds across land areas and
south winds across the waters. The trough will move northward
tonight, allowing winds to shift from the southeast through the
night. Winds will briefly reach 10 to 15 knots, keeping the fog
somewhat mixed early tonight, but gradual wind decrease with the
approach of the front will allow some dense fog along the coast late
tonight. The front will sweep through during the morning tomorrow,
reaching the north ranchlands around 12z and kbro roughly around
18z. A few showers are still possible with the front across cameron
county, but the front will be mostly dry. Drier air and some breezes
may bring an elevated risk for fires out west tomorrow afternoon,
but the highest winds and lowest rh may not line up well enough for
red flag conditions.

Long term (Sunday through Friday): convergent mid level flow and
surface high pressure over the area on Sunday will provide fair
weather. It will still be dry and cured out west, with a non
negligible fire weather concern, but 20 feet winds will be on the
light side and only heightened awareness may be sufficient. Fire
weather products will not be needed.

By Monday the old front from Saturday that was south of the area
will push back north as a coastal trough warm front, bringing a few
showers to the coastal areas Monday afternoon. The surface trough
will fill and lift north on Tuesday, while a short wave moving over
texas may marginally enhance weak rain chances along the coast.

The next front will push into north texas on wed, but due to
progressive west to east mid level flow, it will have a weak
meridional component and will have limited impact as far south as
deep south texas and the lower rgv. Another short wave moving over
the area may help trigger a few showers across the ranchlands and
brush country Thursday afternoon, though the model blend is just a
skosh more robust than that on Thursday. Friday will be uneventful
though warmer, with the next canadian air supply heading into texas
on Friday and toward the CWA for a Saturday am arrival.

Marine:
now through Saturday night: southeast winds will nudge up briefly
tonight, reaching near 15 knots for most marine areas. The front
will arrive early tomorrow afternoon, with a brief corridor of
higher winds reaching near 20 knots. Winds will shift northeast
and decrease in the afternoon, with more modest flow overnight.

Seas will not jump much, maybe up to 5 feet just behind the front.

Sunday through Thursday: northeast winds on Sunday will shift to
east on Monday and finally to southeast on Tuesday. Enhanced swell
will prevail Sunday through Tuesday on the gulf waters due to high
pressure over the north gulf producing a favorable east fetch across
the gulf. Wave heights, especially offshore, will range from the
small craft should exercise caution category to the low end small
craft advisory category during the period from Sunday through
Tuesday. Along with the higher gulf swells, additional beach run up
will be possible, with water running farther up the sand toward the
dunes than normal.

Bro watches warnings advisories
Tx... None.

Gm... Dense fog advisory until 9 am cst Saturday for gmz130-132-135-
150-155.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov rgv
56 61


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PTIT2 - 8779770 - Port Isabel, TX 20 mi31 min E 5.1 G 5.1
BZST2 23 mi37 min ESE 8.9 G 11 66°F 61°F1009.7 hPa
PCGT2 - 8779748 - South Padre Island CGS, TX 23 mi31 min E 8 G 9.9
RLIT2 29 mi37 min E 7 G 8 67°F 64°F1010.4 hPa
PMNT2 47 mi37 min 62°F 66°F1010.8 hPa

Wind History for Port Isabel, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brownsville, Brownsville / South Padre Island International Airport, TX5 mi26 minSE 510.00 miOvercast74°F73°F97%1010.4 hPa
Port Isabel, Port Isabel-Cameron County Airport, TX22 mi26 minESE 45.00 miFog/Mist70°F68°F93%1010.2 hPa

Wind History from BRO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5N3N4N6N3NE4NE3NE3N3N3CalmNW3CalmE4CalmN8N6N4NW4SE10SE12SE9SE9SE5
1 day agoCalmNW3W5W4W6NW6NW6N3N4N3NE3N3NW4SW5CalmW4N33SE3NE12NE12NE9NE6NE7
2 days agoN6N7N8N10N10
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Tide / Current Tables for Matamoros, Tamaulipas, Mexico
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Matamoros
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:00 AM CST     0.99 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:59 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:22 AM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:25 AM CST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:54 PM CST     0.85 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:27 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:00 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:43 PM CST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.60.70.8110.90.80.60.40.20.10.10.20.40.60.70.80.80.80.70.50.30.2

Tide / Current Tables for Port Isabel, Texas
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Port Isabel
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:04 AM CST     0.92 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:58 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:21 AM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:53 AM CST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:57 PM CST     0.80 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:26 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:59 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:56 PM CST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Brownsville, TX (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Brownsville, TX
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.