Thursday, January24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bal Harbour, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 5:59PM Thursday January 24, 2019 1:11 AM EST (06:11 UTC) Moonrise 10:01PMMoonset 9:57AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1018 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon...
Rest of tonight..South southeast winds 15 to 20 knots along the coast to south southeast 20 to 25 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of light showers late in the evening...then a chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Winds south southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet in the afternoon. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..Along the coast, west winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. In the gulf stream, west southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely in the evening. A chance of Thunderstorms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. A chance of showers
Friday night..North winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Saturday and Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Sunday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely.
Sunday night..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Along the coast, seas 2 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet after midnight. In the gulf stream, seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet along the coast and 7 to 9 feet with occasional to 11 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1018 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis..Strong and gusty southeast to south winds will continue to bring hazardous boating conditions to the atlantic waters and offshore gulf waters overnight. Showers and Thunderstorms are expected to push across the region early Thursday morning through Thursday afternoon. Winds will shift northerly in the wake of the front.
Gulf stream hazards..Southeast to south winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 7 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream is currently unavailable.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bal Harbour, FL
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location: 25.9, -80.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 240014
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
714 pm est Wed jan 23 2019

Update
A few brief showers moved across the atlantic metro areas during
the early evening hours as prevailing southerly flow keeps
advecting moisture from the caribbean and the western atlantic.

Cloud cover and shower coverage will increase overnight, with
highest chances during the mid morning hours, starting around 10
am through noon on Thursday over the gulf areas, and through the
early afternoon hours for the atlantic metro areas.

Prev discussion issued 649 pm est Wed jan 23 2019
aviation... Breezy SE winds veer southerly overnight ahead of
front for all sites. Moist flow brings increasing -shra along east
coast, along with potential for MVFR CIGS around fl020-030. Band
of shra tsra expected with front late tonight thurs morn,
potentially tracking through kapf by 12z, and east coast sites
15z-18z. Expect period of prevailing MVFR, maybe ifr, CIGS just
ahead of and behind the front. Few strong storms possible with
this band. Winds veer SW behind front through afternoon with
speeds diminishing to 10kts or less.

Prev discussion... Issued 403 pm est Wed jan 23 2019
discussion...

breezy SE winds will strengthen and become S tonight as surface
high pressure slides further off to the east ahead of an
approaching cold front. This cold front will push through the area
tomorrow with showers and thunderstorms possible both along and
ahead of the front. The latest guidance has been trending earlier
with the frontal passage. The timing is now looking more like 5
am to noon for the gulf coast through lake okeechobee to 10 am to
4 pm for southeast florida. This timing may speed up a little
more as we get closer to the event if current trends continue. The
primary threats associated with these storms will be isolated
strong wind gusts, lightning, and perhaps a brief tornado or two.

The storm prediction center has portions of south florida from the
gulf coast through lake okeechobee outlooked in a marginal risk
for severe weather tomorrow to account for these threats. The
front and associated showers and thunderstorms should be pushing
out of the area by mid afternoon tomorrow.

Nw to N winds are expected in the wake of the front as high
pressure settles in over the southeast us. This will allow colder
air to filter in over the area once again, with Friday
night Saturday morning the coldest of the forecast period. Low
temperatures Saturday morning are forecast to range from near 40
west of lake okeechobee to the mid 50s along the east coast metro
with wind chills in the mid 30s to the low 50s across those same
areas. By Sunday the high expands eastward, allowing our winds to
become more easterly just in time for the next system to approach
the area. The details with this next system are still a bit
unclear, but for now it looks like some kind of surface low or
elongated trough over the gulf will push across the area from
west to east around Monday. This will likely bring another round
of showers and thunderstorms to the area late Sunday through
Monday night.

The next cold front will push through the area around midweek
next week. Not a lot of precipitation is expected with this front
as it doesn't look like enough moisture will be able to return to
the area prior to its arrival.

Marine... A persistent southeasterly flow will continue through
today with advisory conditions continuing over the atlantic waters
and offshore gulf waters. The wind should begin to diminish over
the gulf waters late tonight into early Thursday morning, allowing
conditions to slowly improve. Increasing shower and thunderstorm
activity is expected on Thursday as a front moves across the
region. A brief dry period is expected Friday and Saturday before
the next disturbance arrives on Sunday into Monday.

Beach forecast... A high risk of rip currents remains along the
atlantic beaches today and Thursday due to breezy southeast winds
and elevated surf.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 68 79 52 67 30 80 40 30
fort lauderdale 71 80 56 67 40 80 40 40
miami 71 79 56 67 40 80 40 40
naples 66 74 52 66 30 80 30 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Thursday evening for flz168-172-
173.

Am... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est Thursday for amz650-651-670-
671.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 5 am est Thursday for gmz676.

Update... 17 ar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 12 mi54 min SE 19 G 24 75°F 71°F1015.8 hPa
PEGF1 13 mi60 min SE 25 G 32 76°F 1015.8 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 13 mi72 min SE 18 G 25 75°F 1016.4 hPa (-2.0)68°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 21 mi72 min SE 32 G 35 75°F 73°F1016.7 hPa (-1.7)
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 49 mi132 min 69°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL8 mi19 minSSE 21 G 3010.00 miOvercast and Breezy76°F66°F74%1015.5 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL9 mi19 minSSE 19 G 2810.00 miOvercast and Breezy75°F66°F76%1015.5 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL10 mi19 minSSE 17 G 2610.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F70°F84%1015.3 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL12 mi19 minSSE 21 G 3010.00 miOvercast and Breezy76°F71°F85%1014.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL21 mi19 minSSE 13 G 2510.00 miOvercast76°F70°F82%1015.4 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL23 mi19 minSSE 13 G 2610.00 miOvercast75°F68°F79%1015 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL24 mi19 minSSE 19 G 278.00 miOvercast and Breezy76°F68°F77%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from OPF (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNW5E13E11E12E16
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2 days agoNW15N10N11N9N12N8N6NE4N4NW6N7N6N6NE13E10N9N11N9N8N5N4N6NW5NW5

Tide / Current Tables for Bakers Haulover Inlet (inside), Florida
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Bakers Haulover Inlet (inside)
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Thu -- 05:56 AM EST     -0.58 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:56 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:55 AM EST     2.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:57 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:27 PM EST     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.31.91.30.70-0.4-0.6-0.40.211.72.22.42.21.71.10.4-0.1-0.4-0.400.61.31.9

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
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Thu -- 03:01 AM EST     -1.96 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:55 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:08 AM EST     2.46 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:56 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:12 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:37 PM EST     -1.96 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:58 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:26 PM EST     0.01 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:45 PM EST     2.33 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-1.4-1.8-2-1.8-1.20.11.52.32.52.41.70.3-1-1.6-1.9-1.9-1.6-0.60.81.92.32.32

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.