Sunrise 6:41 AM   Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 1:19 AM   Moonset 12:12 PM

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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1001 Am Edt Wed May 1 2024
Rest of today - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the morning. Tonight - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers through the night. Thu - E ne winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. Thu night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. Fri - E ne winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning. Fri night through Sun - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight. A slight chance of showers and tstms.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Am Edt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate easterly wind flow will prevail over the local waters through the end of the week. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms will be possible during this time frame, especially across the atlantic waters.
gulf stream hazards: none
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 30, 2024 at 12 utc - .
18 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 011141 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 741 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 259 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

The overall pattern across the region highlights a departing shortwave trough on Wednesday and a quasi-unstable pattern thereafter with ongoing impulses of vorticity advection through the area. The weather for today will largely be similar to yesterday since the trough is still present over South Florida, so expect more scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. The brunt of the convection should develop over the interior as near surface flow will remain out of the east, but surface flow will be weaker today and thus allow for any convection over the interior to drift towards the east coast under a westerly/northwesterly steering flow.

For Thursday, residual moisture and the aforementioned vorticity pulses will provide energy for a few showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm chance again, but activity will be less since the stronger forcing will have departed. Temperatures will range from the low to mid 80s over the east coast metro areas to the upper 80s and near 90 over the interior sections today and tomorrow.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 259 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

As we move into the latter half of the week, the trough will make its exit eastward into the Atlantic as a mid-level ridge gradually moves into the Southeast. Through the majority of the long term, a weak body of surface high pressure will have the main influence on the conditions over the Peninsula, thus keeping it drier and warm. The high will be situated over the western Atlantic which will lead to consistent easterly flow near the surface. With the E/SE flow, there will be a chance (15-30%) for isolated to scattered showers daily due to modest moisture advection and pooling. Showers and isolated storms could be enhanced further by daily gulf and sea breezes. However, in the current ensemble outlook, widespread heavy rainfall, or significant instability, does not appear to be a threat for the long term. Caution will need to be taken with any slow-moving rain showers due to sensitivity to flash flooding, especially when the grounds are saturated.

Temperatures will be near to just above-normal through the extended period. The highs will be rise into the upper 80s to low 90s across the SW and interior, while remaining in the low to mid 80s along the Atlantic Coast. The overnight lows will be in the 60s, except for low to mid 70s across the east coast metro areas.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 740 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.
Isolated to scattered shower activity will be possible near the east coast terminals through the morning hours. Some thunderstorms may develop early this afternoon near the east coast terminals before shifting towards the interior later in the afternoon. Light winds this morning will increase out of ESE by the early afternoon. At KAPF, winds increase early this afternoon out of the SW as a Gulf breeze develops.

MARINE
Issued at 259 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Mostly benign conditions will continue through the end of the week.
There will be further chances for some scattered showers and a couple isolated storms, which could create locally hazardous conditions. However, minus the convective threat there is not expected to be concerns. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less in the Gulf waters.
Winds will be around 10-15 kts out of the east.

BEACHES
Issued at 259 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

A high risk of rip currents will be present for the Palm beaches on Wednesday with a lingering swell. The rest of the coast will see a moderate risk and it is likely that at least an elevated risk continues for all beaches along the Atlantic coast through the end of the week as breezy onshore flow continues.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 85 73 86 73 / 40 20 20 10 West Kendall 85 71 86 72 / 50 20 20 10 Opa-Locka 85 73 86 73 / 40 20 20 10 Homestead 83 72 83 72 / 40 20 20 10 Fort Lauderdale 85 74 85 74 / 40 20 20 10 N Ft Lauderdale 84 73 84 73 / 40 20 20 10 Pembroke Pines 85 73 85 73 / 40 20 20 10 West Palm Beach 84 70 85 71 / 40 20 20 10 Boca Raton 85 73 84 73 / 40 20 20 10 Naples 85 71 87 70 / 20 20 20 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Dumfoundling Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:09 AM EDT     1.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 10:52 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:29 PM EDT     1.91 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:20 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Dumfoundling Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:18 AM EDT     1.82 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:10 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:21 AM EDT     -1.07 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 10:25 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:45 PM EDT     1.56 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:48 PM EDT     -1.12 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:48 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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