Saturday, June23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Aventura, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 8:17PM Saturday June 23, 2018 11:01 PM EDT (03:01 UTC) Moonrise 3:25PMMoonset 2:20AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 930 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Rest of tonight..Along the coast, east northeast winds around 5 knots becoming south southeast 5 knots after midnight. In the gulf stream, east winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southeast after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots along the coast to southeast 10 to 15 knots in the gulf stream. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 930 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Synopsis..Light winds are expected through tonight. A ridge of high pressure over the northeastern gulf beginning Sunday will help cause winds for south florida waters to come out of the southeast Sunday lasting well into next week. Seas are forecast to be up to 2 feet for the coastal waters through the middle of next week. Showers and Thunderstorms will be possible each day through the week. Locally higher winds and waves are likely within and near Thunderstorms.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 23, 2018 at 1200 utc... 14 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 19 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 18 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 22 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Aventura, FL
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location: 25.95, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 240007
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
807 pm edt Sat jun 23 2018

Update
Most of the earlier thunderstorm activity has weakened or
dissipated, at least the activity over land. Overnight, scattered
clusters of thunderstorms should be over the atlantic waters. From
time to time, a few of these may move over east coast areas before
dissipating. Rain chances are lower tonight for areas farther
inland. Made some minor adjustments to pops for this update.

Otherwise, there are just some minor adjustments to the other
variables to take into account the latest data.

Prev discussion issued 736 pm edt Sat jun 23 2018
aviation...

the winds will remain light and variable tonight before going
easterly around 5 to 10 knots on Sunday at most of the TAF sites.

The only exception is at kapf TAF site, where the winds will
become westerly after 18z on Sunday. There could still be some
showers around until 03 04z, then mostly dry conditions through
rest of tonight. On Sunday, vcts from 15z through 18 19z, then
vcsh until 00z for east coast TAF sites. Kapf vcsh from 14z till
18z, then vcts. Ceiling and vis inVFR conditions outside of any
showers or thunderstorms where they could fall into MVFR or even
ifr conditions.

Aviation... 54 bnb
prev discussion... Issued 405 pm edt Sat jun 23 2018
discussion...

weak surface ridging and ample moisture over the area today has
led to light winds along with numerous thunderstorms. The storms
formed along both sea breezes during the late morning and midday
hours. Although both sea breezes continued inland, the storms
remained nearly stationary a short distance inland from both
coasts through early afternoon. Since that time, the storms have
pulsed up and down and shifted locations as boundary collisions
have been occurring through the afternoon. During the late
afternoon hours, expect greater coverage over the northern two-
thirds of south fl compared to far southern areas.

Sunday, a surface high over the northeastern gulf will turn the
winds over south fl to be from the southeast Sunday through Tuesday.

This will keep ample moisture over the region, with pwats averaging
around 2.0-2.2 inches. Showers and storms are likely each afternoon.

Storm motion will be east to west, or southeast to northwest.

Expect a chance of midday storms closer to east coast and interior,
with more storms interior to gulf coast later in the day. Scattered
nighttime storms will be possible over the atlantic and gulf waters
with isolated activity possible along the east coast.

The pattern does not really change much for the middle to latter
portion of next week. Weak ridging will still generally be located
to our north. This should keep the 500mb temps on the warm side,
and allow the weather to be mainly sea breeze dominated for the
week. The general wind is forecast to remain out of the southeast
for the rest of the week. Showers and thunderstorms are forecast
each day for the afternoons across south florida. Basically, the
typical summertime pattern of diurnal showers and storms over the
mainland and some nocturnal activity over the coastal waters each
night.

During the middle of next week, we could be looking at heat index
values in the 105-108 range for areas near the gulf coast.

Marine...

very light winds are expected for all waters through tonight,
except in near thunderstorms. Beginning Sunday, a general
southeast wind is expected for the remainder of the week. Showers
and thunderstorms will be possible through the week. Seas are
forecast to run up to around 2 feet, with locally rough seas under
gusty showers and thunderstorms. Also, with a light wind field in
the mornings, and then with any convection in the afternoon,
along with boundary collisions, waterspouts will continue to be
possible.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 76 90 77 89 40 50 20 50
fort lauderdale 78 89 79 89 40 50 30 50
miami 78 91 78 89 40 60 20 50
naples 77 92 77 92 30 60 40 60

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 98 abh
discussion... 98 abh
marine... 98 abh
aviation... 54 bnb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 9 mi49 min WNW 1 G 2.9 82°F 1016.9 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 10 mi37 min NW 1.9 G 2.9 81°F 1017.4 hPa73°F
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 15 mi43 min Calm G 2.9 80°F 87°F1016.8 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 25 mi61 min NE 4.1 G 6 83°F 83°F1017.8 hPa (+0.9)

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL6 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair81°F75°F85%1017.6 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL8 mi68 minENE 310.00 miFair79°F75°F90%1017.4 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL8 mi68 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F77°F90%1016.9 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL12 mi68 minNE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F75°F87%1017.2 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL17 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair81°F75°F85%1017.2 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL21 mi68 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds82°F73°F77%1017 hPa

Wind History from HWO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmW7W5NW7N5E8CalmSW33S3E12S3N4CalmN4CalmCalm
1 day agoN5CalmSW3CalmCalmS3CalmSW4W5W7W10W7W12NW7SW6W9S8NW7E10SE10E4NE4W3Calm
2 days agoS5S4S4S3CalmCalmSW4CalmSW4W9W7NW5W7W8
G15
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G25
W10NW7NW6NW5NW5NW5NW5

Tide / Current Tables for Dumfoundling Bay, Florida
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Dumfoundling Bay
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Sat -- 01:27 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:00 AM EDT     2.00 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:51 PM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:45 PM EDT     2.09 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.20.30.511.51.921.91.61.20.70.3-0-0.10.10.51.11.622.11.91.61.2

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
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Sat -- 12:29 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:08 AM EDT     1.71 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:41 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:40 AM EDT     -1.61 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 12:56 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:40 PM EDT     2.01 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:38 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:17 PM EDT     -1.44 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.50.51.21.51.71.50.6-0.2-0.8-1.2-1.5-1.6-10.11.11.61.921.40.5-0.2-0.7-1.1-1.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.