Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Aventura, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:16PM Thursday June 20, 2019 12:53 AM EDT (04:53 UTC) Moonrise 10:07PMMoonset 8:18AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 842 Pm Edt Wed Jun 19 2019
Rest of tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Thursday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Friday..South southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Saturday..East southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Saturday night..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday..South winds around 5 knots becoming east northeast in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 842 Pm Edt Wed Jun 19 2019
Synopsis..Light south southwest flow will be in place across the local waters through Friday allowing both the gulf and atlantic seabreezes to develop and push inland. Isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms are expected Thursday afternoon mainly over the northeast areas before going isolated over the interior areas of Friday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 18, 2019 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 13 nautical miles northeast of port everglades. 8 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 10 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Aventura, FL
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location: 25.95, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 192357 aaa
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
757 pm edt Wed jun 19 2019

Aviation
With the loss of daytime heating, most convection has diminished,
though vcsh remains in all east coast taf's through 01z. Otherwise,
vfr conditions prevail overnight with winds under 5 kt. For
thurs, there is a slight chance for shra tsra for the east coast,
predominately kpbi, kfll, & kfxe, but the likelihood is too low
to mention at this time. S winds at 8-10 kt will prosper during
the day tomorrow as well. Kapf is expected to remain dry andVFR
throughout the TAF period with SW winds near 8 kt thurs.

Update
Most of the showers and thunderstorms have dissipated early this
evening, except for isolated showers over the northern interior
areas of south florida. These showers should continue to dissipate
while moving to the north northeast through rest of the evening
hours, as the heating of the day is lost and the saharan air
continues to work into the region from the south. Therefore,
slight chance of showers will remain in the forecast for areas
north of alligator alley for the evening hours before going dry.

The areas south of alligator alley will be dry for tonight.

Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other changes
are planned.

Prev discussion issued 408 pm edt Wed jun 19 2019

Hot temperatures possible late this week over south florida
with near to record highs...

discussion...

Friday and Saturday...

high pressure will remain over the bahamas tonight through Friday
allowing for some saharan air over the caribbean sea to move
northwest into south florida tonight through Friday. This air mass
will bring in drier air into south florida with pwat values
getting down to 1.4 to 1.5 inches by Friday which is around 25
percentile for this time of year. Therefore, the showers and
thunderstorm coverage will be low with only 20 to 30 percent range
mainly over the northeast areas on Thursday and over the interior
areas on Friday. At this same time, highs will be warming up into
the lower to mid 90s on Thursday and into the mid to upper 90s on
Friday. These highs will be near record highs for this time of
year and more on this in the climate section below.

This weekend...

the saharan air will continue to move northward away from south
florida around the ridge of high pressure, as the high moves back
northward extending across south florida. This will cause weak
steering flow over the region this weekend where the sea breezes
will be the main players for the area. Therefore, isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop along the sea
breeze with the best coverage over the interior areas.

Extended forecast...

the ridge of high pressure will remain over south florida early
next week keeping the steering flow light over the region.

Therefore, the sea breezes will be the main players next week over
south florida allowing for isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms to develop along the sea breezes and push inland
each day.

Marine...

the winds will be south southwest less than 10 knots tonight into
Friday before going light and variable this weekend. This will
keep the seas at 2 feet or less in both the atlantic and gulf
waters of south florida late this week into this weekend.

Therefore, boating conditions will be good over south florida
waters through this weekend outside of any showers or
thunderstorms.

Climate...

here are the forecast highs and record highs for Thursday and
Friday.

6 20 19 6 20 19 6 21 19 6 21 19
cities forecast highs record highs forecast highs record highs
mia 95 95 - 2009 96 96 - 2009
fll 94 96 - 1992 95 98 - 2009
pbi 94 100 - 1921 96 96 - 2009
apf 91 96 - 1964 93 96 - 1997
the heat indices will also be getting up to around 105 degrees
over the interior areas and 105 to 108 degrees over the interior
areas. On Friday, the heat indices could get up into the 105 to
109 degrees over most of south florida. Will continue to monitor
the heat indices in later forecast to see if a heat advisory will
be needed for portions of south florida for late this week.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 76 94 78 96 20 30 20 10
fort lauderdale 79 94 79 95 10 20 10 10
miami 79 95 80 96 10 20 10 10
naples 77 91 78 93 10 10 0 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 54 bnb
discussion... 54 bnb
marine... 54 bnb
aviation... 03 fell
climate... 54 bnb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 9 mi59 min SE 2.9 G 2.9 83°F 1017.8 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 15 mi59 min SSE 1 G 1.9 83°F 85°F1017.1 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 46 mi59 min NNE 11 G 12 81°F 81°F1019.3 hPa
MDKF1 48 mi173 min 89°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL6 mi60 minN 010.00 miFair80°F77°F90%1018.1 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL8 mi60 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F77°F85%1017.4 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL8 mi60 minN 010.00 miFair82°F78°F88%1017.9 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL12 mi60 minSE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F75°F79%1017.6 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL17 mi60 minN 010.00 miFair80°F75°F87%1017.8 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL21 mi60 minNE 310.00 miFair80°F75°F87%1017.8 hPa

Wind History from HWO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4CalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5S7S8SE9SE10
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SE10N10S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSE10S12SE3SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmS3S6SW7W4S7SE7S12S7E8S7S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoE7SE7E6E11E8NE4E5S8S6E9S13
G19
CalmW10NE3CalmE4N3NE5E6E5E6SE5SE6SE10

Tide / Current Tables for Dumfoundling Bay, Florida
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Dumfoundling Bay
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:34 AM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:13 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:38 PM EDT     1.94 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:20 PM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.221.61.10.70.40.20.30.61.11.61.91.91.71.40.90.50.1-000.30.91.4

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:27 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:12 AM EDT     -1.35 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:30 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:55 AM EDT     1.60 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:35 PM EDT     -1.32 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:42 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:24 PM EDT     1.88 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.5-0.5-1-1.2-1.3-1.2-0.60.61.41.61.61.30.5-0.5-1.1-1.3-1.3-1.2-0.70.31.41.91.91.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.