Sunrise 6:38 AM   Sunset 7:56 PM Moonrise 4:24 AM   Moonset 5:35 PM

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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 400 Am Edt Mon May 6 2024
Today - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E se 3 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. Tonight - E se winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to E se 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. Tue - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E se 2 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers. Tue night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E se 2 ft at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. Wed - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: se 1 foot at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Wed night and Thu - S se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E se 2 ft at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Thu night and Fri - S sw winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 400 Am Edt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate easterly flow continues to prevail across the atlantic waters with southwesterly flow developing over gulf waters each afternoon. A few isolated showers and Thunderstorms may be possible at times, particularly over the gulf waters. Easterly winds could increase to near hazardous levels at times over the atlantic waters this weekend as high pressure builds over the western atlantic.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 04, 2024 at 12 utc - .
1 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 060726 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 326 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES

SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 319 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

High pressure continues to dominate the benign and warm weather pattern across South Florida. This will keep generally easterly to southeasterly flow at the surface for today and Tuesday. Upper levels remain too dry for significant convection, and Monday and Tuesday are likely to be mainly sunny and dry outside of a few isolated showers that may impact interior and southwest portions of the area. A few showers will be possible across eastern areas during the morning and as the sea breeze pushes inland, the focus of any convection will shift over the southwest portions of the area during the evening hours. Rain chances will remain very low overall without much synoptic forcing and moisture, although can't totally rule out a few sprinkles for some isolated areas.

Forecasted afternoon highs will top out in the mid 80s to near 90 degrees across southwestern Florida with highs in the low to mid 80s across the eastern half of the area thanks to the persistent onshore flow. The overnight lows will trend in the low to mid 70s along the east coast while interior locations dip into the mid to upper 60s.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 319 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Surface high pressure over the western Atlantic will gradually weaken and shift southeast by the mid-week period, resulting in initially easterly low level flow veering more southeasterly while decreasing in magnitude. At the mid-levels, ridging over the GOM will build northeastward with the ridge axis largely positioned overhead by Wed/Thursday. Friday into Saturday the aforementioned ridge will flatten in response to a northern branch shortwave shifting into the eastern US, while surface low pressure and its associated cold front will also move towards the area.

In terms of rain chances, Wednesday-Friday will likely be completely dry thanks to a ridge building nearly overhead. The next notable rain chances come ahead of the aforementioned cold front next weekend on Saturday depending on the progression of the parent low. Given that the mid-lvl wave is passing well to our north, would expect the boundary to be frontolytic by the time it reaches SFL, largely maintaining PoPs only in the 15-30% for Saturday.

As low level flow begins to attain a more southerly and southwesterly component through the end of the week, temperatures will warm over the area. Thursday-Saturday will likely be the warmest stretch of the year thus far with widespread highs in the 90s, with mid 90s possible (especially over the Interior). Although there should be some some mixing down of drier air aloft, peak heat indices could also reach triple digits for the first time in 2024 for portions of the area.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 319 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

VFR conditions expected to prevail at all terminals during the next 24 hours, with maybe APF experiencing brief ISLD/SCT SHRA this afternoon. Winds over the Atlantic terminals will be generally ESE around 5 to 10 kt, increasing into the 12 kts range after 13Z. Gulf sea-breeze expected along the Gulf coast this afternoon which may affect APF.

MARINE
Issued at 319 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Breezy to gusty easterly winds with southeasterly easterly surges at time, especially across the Atlantic waters over the next several days. Isolated rain showers and a few thunderstorms are possible each day, which could bring locally higher seas and gusty winds in and around shower/thunderstorm activity although rain chances remain quite low overall. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less across the Gulf waters. During easterly wind surges, conditions could reach Small Craft Exercise Caution (SCEC) conditions.

BEACHES
Issued at 319 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Breezy easterly flow continues the high risk of rip currents across all Southeast Florida beaches at least through the beginning half of the work week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 85 75 86 75 / 20 10 30 0 West Kendall 86 71 88 72 / 20 10 30 10 Opa-Locka 87 73 88 74 / 10 10 30 0 Homestead 85 74 87 74 / 20 10 30 10 Fort Lauderdale 83 74 85 75 / 20 10 30 10 N Ft Lauderdale 84 74 86 74 / 10 10 20 0 Pembroke Pines 88 74 89 75 / 10 10 20 0 West Palm Beach 85 72 87 72 / 10 10 20 0 Boca Raton 85 73 87 73 / 10 10 20 10 Naples 88 72 89 74 / 20 10 20 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Golden Beach
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Mon -- 03:18 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:56 AM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:36 PM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:36 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:35 PM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
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